From the point of view of a successful scenario writer for Royal Dutch Shell, there are several there are several artful techniques that go into crafting and presenting business scenarios. The first is art of keeping it short. To do this at Shell the author produced two different products based on two distinct mental disciplines: (1) thorough research leading to rich, fully articulated stories (the full scenario book); and (2) the distillation of these stories into essential concepts and images (a little book that was widely read and distributed). Any scenario author seeks to create new patterns of thinking in the mind of the managers. Therefore, model the scenario as if it were a stage set created by words. The managers are the actors who will animate it by their participation in each alternative scenario world. This then is the design goal for any scenario writing: engage the managers to step into the play and make it their own. The author’s method is to stimulate the development of scenarios in their minds to the point that they are just not hearing a memorable story but they are experimenting with it and imagining alternatives.
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1 April 2003
Technical Paper|
April 01 2003
The art and strategy of scenario writing Available to Purchase
Betty S. Flowers
Betty S. Flowers
Until her appointment this year as Director of the LBJ Library and Museum, Betty Sue Flowers was Kelleher Professor of English and member of the Distinguished Teachers Academy at the University of Texas at Austin. She is also a poet, editor, and business consultant (bflowers@uts.cc.utexas.edu). She has served as a moderator for executive seminars at the Aspen Institute for Humanistic Studies, consultant for NASA, member of the Envisioning Network for General Motors, Visiting Advisor to the Secretary of the Navy, and editor of Global Scenarios for Shell International in London and for the World Business Council in Geneva (on scenarios for global sustainable development and, most recently, on the future of biotechnology).
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Publisher: Emerald Publishing
Online ISSN: 1758-9568
Print ISSN: 1087-8572
© Company
2003
Strategy & Leadership (2003) 31 (2): 29–33.
Citation
Flowers BS (2003), "The art and strategy of scenario writing". Strategy & Leadership, Vol. 31 No. 2 pp. 29–33, doi: https://doi.org/10.1108/10878570310698098
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