Constant parameter GMM results for the full sample
| Sargan test | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Kingdom | Standard | 1.7817*** | 1.3449*** | 0.3187** | – | 0.2586 |
| (0.1458) | (0.2647) | (0.1471) | – | |||
| Augmented | 0.9997*** | 1.1259*** | 0.3089** | 0.0160*** | 0.4289 | |
| (0.0176) | (0.2858) | (0.1290) | (0.0011) | |||
| Canada | Standard | 1.7536*** | 1.6404*** | 0.8117*** | – | 0.3287 |
| (0.1705) | (0.2786) | (0.1955) | – | |||
| Augmented | 5.1436*** | 1.6239*** | 0.3265** | −0.0310 | 0.7383 | |
| (1.1107) | (0.2271) | (0.1621) | (0.0100) | |||
| Australia | Standard | 1.1849*** | 0.4671*** | 0.5258*** | – | 0.2053 |
| (0.2116) | (0.0916) | (0.1879) | – | |||
| Augmented | 1.6268*** | 0.5487*** | 0.7800*** | 0.5349** | 0.7975 | |
| (0.1150) | (0.1151) | (0.2571) | (0.1901) | |||
| New Zealand | Standard | 3.7458*** | 0.7886*** | 0.8215*** | – | 0.1376 |
| (0.0797) | (0.0540) | (0.2890) | – | |||
| Augmented | 1.4981*** | 0.6428*** | 0.4049*** | −0.0411*** | 0.4302 | |
| (0.0799) | (0.1156) | (0.1406) | (0.0087) | |||
| Sweden | Standard | 0.7525*** | 1.4415*** | 0.5082** | – | 0.1915 |
| (0.1766) | (0.3284) | (0.2123) | – | |||
| Augmented | −0.8318*** | 1.1942*** | 0.2945** | 0.1441*** | 0.6648 | |
| (0.0231) | (0.3811) | (0.1476) | (0.0159) | |||
| United States | Standard | 1.3516*** | 2.2289*** | 0.5012 | – | 0.6254 |
| (0.1988) | (0.4419) | (0.3146) | – | |||
| Augmented | 1.2051*** | 1.6267*** | 0.7833** | −0.2621 | 0.3776 | |
| (0.1821) | (0.3626) | (0.3412) | (0.6842) | |||
| Japan | Standard | 0.4518** | 1.6097*** | 1.1090*** | – | 0.1039 |
| (0.2183) | (0.1336) | (0.1685) | – | |||
| Augmented | 0.4911** | 1.5800*** | 1.0321*** | 0.0914 | 0.2314 | |
| (0.2173) | (0.1547) | (0.1914) | (0.1656) | |||
| Denmark | Standard | 0.7385*** | 0.9078*** | 0.0561 | – | 0.1074 |
| (0.0858) | (0.0787) | (0.1368) | – | |||
| Augmented | 0.7121*** | 0.9028*** | 0.0675 | 0.5901 | 0.2607 | |
| (0.0876) | (0.0979) | (0.1366) | (0.4862) | |||
| Euro-Area | Standard | 0.8326** | 1.2938*** | 0.2584 | – | 0.2239 |
| (0.3573) | (0.1946) | (0.1995) | – | |||
| Augmented | −2.0375 | 1.0908*** | 0.5412*** | 0.0142 | 0.3793 | |
| (2.4212) | (0.2351) | (0.1664) | (0.0216) | |||
| Switzerland | Standard | 2.2613*** | 1.4127*** | 0.4490** | – | 0.2548 |
| (0.3257) | (0.0772) | (0.2271) | – | |||
| Augmented | 5.8376*** | 1.2209*** | 0.3293** | 0.0408** | 0.3418 | |
| (1.6809) | (0.0965) | (0.1376) | (0.0200) |
| Sargan test | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Kingdom | Standard | 1.7817*** | 1.3449*** | 0.3187** | – | 0.2586 |
| (0.1458) | (0.2647) | (0.1471) | – | |||
| Augmented | 0.9997*** | 1.1259*** | 0.3089** | 0.0160*** | 0.4289 | |
| (0.0176) | (0.2858) | (0.1290) | (0.0011) | |||
| Canada | Standard | 1.7536*** | 1.6404*** | 0.8117*** | – | 0.3287 |
| (0.1705) | (0.2786) | (0.1955) | – | |||
| Augmented | 5.1436*** | 1.6239*** | 0.3265** | −0.0310 | 0.7383 | |
| (1.1107) | (0.2271) | (0.1621) | (0.0100) | |||
| Australia | Standard | 1.1849*** | 0.4671*** | 0.5258*** | – | 0.2053 |
| (0.2116) | (0.0916) | (0.1879) | – | |||
| Augmented | 1.6268*** | 0.5487*** | 0.7800*** | 0.5349** | 0.7975 | |
| (0.1150) | (0.1151) | (0.2571) | (0.1901) | |||
| New Zealand | Standard | 3.7458*** | 0.7886*** | 0.8215*** | – | 0.1376 |
| (0.0797) | (0.0540) | (0.2890) | – | |||
| Augmented | 1.4981*** | 0.6428*** | 0.4049*** | −0.0411*** | 0.4302 | |
| (0.0799) | (0.1156) | (0.1406) | (0.0087) | |||
| Sweden | Standard | 0.7525*** | 1.4415*** | 0.5082** | – | 0.1915 |
| (0.1766) | (0.3284) | (0.2123) | – | |||
| Augmented | −0.8318*** | 1.1942*** | 0.2945** | 0.1441*** | 0.6648 | |
| (0.0231) | (0.3811) | (0.1476) | (0.0159) | |||
| United States | Standard | 1.3516*** | 2.2289*** | 0.5012 | – | 0.6254 |
| (0.1988) | (0.4419) | (0.3146) | – | |||
| Augmented | 1.2051*** | 1.6267*** | 0.7833** | −0.2621 | 0.3776 | |
| (0.1821) | (0.3626) | (0.3412) | (0.6842) | |||
| Japan | Standard | 0.4518** | 1.6097*** | 1.1090*** | – | 0.1039 |
| (0.2183) | (0.1336) | (0.1685) | – | |||
| Augmented | 0.4911** | 1.5800*** | 1.0321*** | 0.0914 | 0.2314 | |
| (0.2173) | (0.1547) | (0.1914) | (0.1656) | |||
| Denmark | Standard | 0.7385*** | 0.9078*** | 0.0561 | – | 0.1074 |
| (0.0858) | (0.0787) | (0.1368) | – | |||
| Augmented | 0.7121*** | 0.9028*** | 0.0675 | 0.5901 | 0.2607 | |
| (0.0876) | (0.0979) | (0.1366) | (0.4862) | |||
| Euro-Area | Standard | 0.8326** | 1.2938*** | 0.2584 | – | 0.2239 |
| (0.3573) | (0.1946) | (0.1995) | – | |||
| Augmented | −2.0375 | 1.0908*** | 0.5412*** | 0.0142 | 0.3793 | |
| (2.4212) | (0.2351) | (0.1664) | (0.0216) | |||
| Switzerland | Standard | 2.2613*** | 1.4127*** | 0.4490** | – | 0.2548 |
| (0.3257) | (0.0772) | (0.2271) | – | |||
| Augmented | 5.8376*** | 1.2209*** | 0.3293** | 0.0408** | 0.3418 | |
| (1.6809) | (0.0965) | (0.1376) | (0.0200) |
Note(s): * significant at 10% level, ** significant at 5% level, *** significant at 1% level
Standard errors in parentheses. The regression specification for the standard Taylor rule is that in equation (2), while the specification for the extended Taylor rule is that in equation (3). Overidentification restrictions are tested using the Sargan J-Test with probabilities reported
Source(s): Authors’ own creation