Summary statistics
| Variables | Obs | Mean | 5th Pctl | 25th Pctl | Median | 75th Pctl | 95th Pctl | Std Dev | Kurtosis | Skewness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health Care | 118 | 0.196 | −0.046 | 0.037 | 0.178 | 0.377 | 0.445 | 0.174 | −1.145 | −0.046 |
| Industrials | 118 | 0.110 | −0.252 | −0.040 | 0.122 | 0.288 | 0.333 | 0.192 | −0.913 | −0.559 |
| Consumer Discretionary | 118 | 0.478 | −0.071 | 0.236 | 0.589 | 0.713 | 0.927 | 0.320 | −0.766 | −0.546 |
| Information Technology | 118 | 0.439 | −0.058 | 0.176 | 0.459 | 0.706 | 0.901 | 0.309 | −1.022 | −0.175 |
| Consumer Staples | 118 | 0.117 | −0.069 | 0.028 | 0.112 | 0.198 | 0.308 | 0.115 | −0.778 | −0.125 |
| Utilities | 118 | 0.040 | −0.107 | −0.025 | 0.047 | 0.101 | 0.181 | 0.087 | −0.273 | −0.225 |
| Financials | 118 | 0.062 | −0.312 | −0.195 | 0.064 | 0.288 | 0.379 | 0.241 | −1.417 | −0.196 |
| Materials | 118 | 0.223 | −0.182 | 0.029 | 0.276 | 0.421 | 0.506 | 0.229 | −1.036 | −0.430 |
| Real Estate | 118 | 0.109 | −0.139 | −0.031 | 0.051 | 0.286 | 0.382 | 0.175 | −1.245 | 0.173 |
| Energy | 118 | −0.153 | −0.484 | −0.352 | −0.123 | −0.016 | 0.283 | 0.232 | −0.111 | 0.487 |
| Communication Services | 118 | 0.264 | −0.104 | 0.060 | 0.286 | 0.472 | 0.563 | 0.224 | −1.102 | −0.219 |
| S&P500 Index | 118 | 0.174 | −0.146 | 0.020 | 0.188 | 0.343 | 0.443 | 0.190 | −1.014 | −0.278 |
| Gold | 118 | 0.178 | 0.027 | 0.140 | 0.180 | 0.226 | 0.283 | 0.071 | 0.225 | −0.534 |
| Crude Oil | 118 | −0.100 | −0.666 | −0.351 | −0.060 | 0.097 | 0.428 | 0.327 | 0.091 | 0.178 |
| CDS Spread | 118 | 0.667 | −0.211 | 0.026 | 0.265 | 0.770 | 3.338 | 1.084 | 6.518 | 2.407 |
| 6-mo T-bill rate | 118 | 0.174 | 0.026 | 0.039 | 0.072 | 0.118 | 0.994 | 0.266 | 4.403 | 2.355 |
| NBUDI | 118 | 0.004 | −0.033 | −0.017 | 0.000 | 0.015 | 0.075 | 0.029 | 0.789 | 1.087 |
| BEI | 118 | 0.115 | −0.406 | −0.078 | 0.222 | 0.339 | 0.500 | 0.287 | −0.697 | −0.478 |
| FRB | 118 | 0.770 | 0.000 | 0.680 | 0.797 | 1.002 | 1.135 | 0.313 | 1.106 | −1.243 |
| Fed Funds Rate | 118 | 0.141 | 0.032 | 0.052 | 0.052 | 0.058 | 1.000 | 0.266 | 6.537 | 2.862 |
| Job Postings | 118 | 0.134 | −0.364 | −0.085 | 0.033 | 0.412 | 0.607 | 0.312 | −1.226 | 0.135 |
| Macro news effect | 118 | 0.153 | −2.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 2.000 | 1.137 | 1.682 | −0.305 |
| Covid news effect | 118 | 0.720 | −1.000 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 3.000 | 1.246 | 1.001 | 0.360 |
| Election effect | 118 | 0.627 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.486 | −1.746 | −0.533 |
| Variables | Obs | Mean | 5th Pctl | 25th Pctl | Median | 75th Pctl | 95th Pctl | Std Dev | Kurtosis | Skewness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health Care | 118 | 0.196 | −0.046 | 0.037 | 0.178 | 0.377 | 0.445 | 0.174 | −1.145 | −0.046 |
| Industrials | 118 | 0.110 | −0.252 | −0.040 | 0.122 | 0.288 | 0.333 | 0.192 | −0.913 | −0.559 |
| Consumer Discretionary | 118 | 0.478 | −0.071 | 0.236 | 0.589 | 0.713 | 0.927 | 0.320 | −0.766 | −0.546 |
| Information Technology | 118 | 0.439 | −0.058 | 0.176 | 0.459 | 0.706 | 0.901 | 0.309 | −1.022 | −0.175 |
| Consumer Staples | 118 | 0.117 | −0.069 | 0.028 | 0.112 | 0.198 | 0.308 | 0.115 | −0.778 | −0.125 |
| Utilities | 118 | 0.040 | −0.107 | −0.025 | 0.047 | 0.101 | 0.181 | 0.087 | −0.273 | −0.225 |
| Financials | 118 | 0.062 | −0.312 | −0.195 | 0.064 | 0.288 | 0.379 | 0.241 | −1.417 | −0.196 |
| Materials | 118 | 0.223 | −0.182 | 0.029 | 0.276 | 0.421 | 0.506 | 0.229 | −1.036 | −0.430 |
| Real Estate | 118 | 0.109 | −0.139 | −0.031 | 0.051 | 0.286 | 0.382 | 0.175 | −1.245 | 0.173 |
| Energy | 118 | −0.153 | −0.484 | −0.352 | −0.123 | −0.016 | 0.283 | 0.232 | −0.111 | 0.487 |
| Communication Services | 118 | 0.264 | −0.104 | 0.060 | 0.286 | 0.472 | 0.563 | 0.224 | −1.102 | −0.219 |
| S&P500 Index | 118 | 0.174 | −0.146 | 0.020 | 0.188 | 0.343 | 0.443 | 0.190 | −1.014 | −0.278 |
| Gold | 118 | 0.178 | 0.027 | 0.140 | 0.180 | 0.226 | 0.283 | 0.071 | 0.225 | −0.534 |
| Crude Oil | 118 | −0.100 | −0.666 | −0.351 | −0.060 | 0.097 | 0.428 | 0.327 | 0.091 | 0.178 |
| CDS Spread | 118 | 0.667 | −0.211 | 0.026 | 0.265 | 0.770 | 3.338 | 1.084 | 6.518 | 2.407 |
| 6-mo T-bill rate | 118 | 0.174 | 0.026 | 0.039 | 0.072 | 0.118 | 0.994 | 0.266 | 4.403 | 2.355 |
| NBUDI | 118 | 0.004 | −0.033 | −0.017 | 0.000 | 0.015 | 0.075 | 0.029 | 0.789 | 1.087 |
| BEI | 118 | 0.115 | −0.406 | −0.078 | 0.222 | 0.339 | 0.500 | 0.287 | −0.697 | −0.478 |
| FRB | 118 | 0.770 | 0.000 | 0.680 | 0.797 | 1.002 | 1.135 | 0.313 | 1.106 | −1.243 |
| Fed Funds Rate | 118 | 0.141 | 0.032 | 0.052 | 0.052 | 0.058 | 1.000 | 0.266 | 6.537 | 2.862 |
| Job Postings | 118 | 0.134 | −0.364 | −0.085 | 0.033 | 0.412 | 0.607 | 0.312 | −1.226 | 0.135 |
| Macro news effect | 118 | 0.153 | −2.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 2.000 | 1.137 | 1.682 | −0.305 |
| Covid news effect | 118 | 0.720 | −1.000 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 3.000 | 1.246 | 1.001 | 0.360 |
| Election effect | 118 | 0.627 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.486 | −1.746 | −0.533 |
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