Correlation coefficient matrix for regression variables
| Pearson correlation coefficients, N = 118 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| p-values are in parenthesis | |||||||||||
| CDS spread | Six-month treasury bill rate | Gold futures | NBUDI | BEI | FRB | Crude oil Futures | Fed funds rate | Job postings | Covid news effect | Macro news effect | |
| CDS Spread | 1 | ||||||||||
| Six-month Treasury Bill Rate | −0.171 | 1 | |||||||||
| (0.065) | |||||||||||
| Gold | −0.062 | −0.440 | 1 | ||||||||
| (0.505) | (<0.0001) | ||||||||||
| NBUDI | 0.273 | 0.122 | −0.361 | 1 | |||||||
| (0.003) | (0.188) | (<0.0001) | |||||||||
| BEI | 0.044 | −0.075 | 0.389 | −0.726 | 1 | ||||||
| (0.638) | (0.422) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | ||||||||
| FRB | 0.180 | −0.569 | 0.626 | −0.386 | 0.731 | 1 | |||||
| (0.051) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | |||||||
| Crude Oil | 0.048 | 0.218 | 0.252 | −0.554 | 0.907 | 0.582 | 1 | ||||
| (0.607) | (0.018) | (0.006) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | ||||||
| Fed Funds Rate | −0.157 | 0.899 | −0.600 | 0.066 | −0.216 | −0.770 | 0.013 | 1 | |||
| (0.089) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (0.477) | 0.019) | (<0.0001) | (0.893) | |||||
| Job Postings | 0.161 | 0.026 | 0.199 | −0.500 | 0.890 | 0.661 | 0.912 | −0.117 | 1 | ||
| (0.082) | (0.779) | (0.030) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (0.207) | ||||
| Covid news effect | −0.030 | −0.318 | 0.097 | 0.204 | −0.185 | 0.069 | −0.291 | −0.345 | −0.283 | 1 | |
| (0.747) | (0.000) | (0.298) | (0.026) | (0.045) | (0.456) | (0.001) | (0.000) | (0.002) | |||
| Macro news effect | −0.037 | 0.107 | −0.140 | 0.011 | −0.022 | −0.116 | 0.020 | 0.109 | 0.030 | 0.024 | 1 |
| (0.691) | (0.251) | (0.131) | (0.902) | (0.817) | (0.210) | (0.828) | (0.240) | (0.747) | (0.794) | ||
| Pearson correlation coefficients, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDS spread | Six-month treasury bill rate | Gold futures | NBUDI | BEI | FRB | Crude oil | Fed funds rate | Job postings | Covid news effect | Macro news effect | |
| CDS Spread | 1 | ||||||||||
| Six-month Treasury Bill Rate | −0.171 | 1 | |||||||||
| (0.065) | |||||||||||
| Gold | −0.062 | −0.440 | 1 | ||||||||
| (0.505) | (<0.0001) | ||||||||||
| NBUDI | 0.273 | 0.122 | −0.361 | 1 | |||||||
| (0.003) | (0.188) | (<0.0001) | |||||||||
| BEI | 0.044 | −0.075 | 0.389 | −0.726 | 1 | ||||||
| (0.638) | (0.422) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | ||||||||
| FRB | 0.180 | −0.569 | 0.626 | −0.386 | 0.731 | 1 | |||||
| (0.051) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | |||||||
| Crude Oil | 0.048 | 0.218 | 0.252 | −0.554 | 0.907 | 0.582 | 1 | ||||
| (0.607) | (0.018) | (0.006) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | ||||||
| Fed Funds Rate | −0.157 | 0.899 | −0.600 | 0.066 | −0.216 | −0.770 | 0.013 | 1 | |||
| (0.089) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (0.477) | 0.019) | (<0.0001) | (0.893) | |||||
| Job Postings | 0.161 | 0.026 | 0.199 | −0.500 | 0.890 | 0.661 | 0.912 | −0.117 | 1 | ||
| (0.082) | (0.779) | (0.030) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (<0.0001) | (0.207) | ||||
| Covid news effect | −0.030 | −0.318 | 0.097 | 0.204 | −0.185 | 0.069 | −0.291 | −0.345 | −0.283 | 1 | |
| (0.747) | (0.000) | (0.298) | (0.026) | (0.045) | (0.456) | (0.001) | (0.000) | (0.002) | |||
| Macro news effect | −0.037 | 0.107 | −0.140 | 0.011 | −0.022 | −0.116 | 0.020 | 0.109 | 0.030 | 0.024 | 1 |
| (0.691) | (0.251) | (0.131) | (0.902) | (0.817) | (0.210) | (0.828) | (0.240) | (0.747) | (0.794) | ||
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