Table 2.

Comparison of analog values and actual values

VariableValue20152016201720182019
GDP (108 Yuan)Analog value34.0535.7537.9440.6244.32
Actual value34.0537.4041.9141.3347.71
Relative error0.00%−4.41%−9.48%−1.73%−7.10%
Value added of primary industry (108 Yuan)Analog value8.858.989.0310.6112.20
Actual value8.859.409.9810.8013.13
Relative error0.00%−4.42%−9.50%−1.73%−7.10%
Value added of secondary industry (108 Yuan)Analog value11.6612.1413.0311.4112.22
Actual value11.6612.7014.3911.6113.15
Relative error−0.01%−4.40%−9.47%−1.73%−7.11%
Value added of tertiary industry (108 Yuan)Analog value13.5514.6315.8818.5819.91
Actual value13.5515.3017.5418.9121.43
Relative error−0.01%−4.41%−9.49%−1.74%−7.09%
Per capita disposable income of urban residents (Yuan)Analog value20,708.9021,654.0022,919.8024,528.7026,675.30
Actual value20,627.0022,380.0024,528.0026,539.0028,848.00
Relative error0.40%−3.24%−6.56%−7.57%−7.53%
Per capita disposable income of rural residents (Yuan)Analog value7,908.008,655.539,476.6810,436.4011,504.80
Actual value7,899.008,658.009,498.0010,410.0011,513.00
Relative error0.11%−0.03%−0.22%0.25%−0.07%
Number of books in the library (104 volumes)Analog value5.465.615.625.755.85
Actual value5.535.655.755.926.00
Relative error−1.24%−0.66%−2.23%−2.82%−2.42%
Screening times of ethnic films (time)Analog value1,065.341,434.161,455.241,775.642,023.17
Actual value1,075.001,361.001,562.00
Relative error−0.90%5.38%−6.83%
Annual number of domestic and foreign tourists (104 trips)Analog value168.03247.22343.53465.26631.22
Actual value163.29233.54352.96490.11612.67
Relative error2.90%5.86%−2.67%−5.07%3.03%
Total tourism revenue (104 Yuan)Analog value110,695.00207,704.00325,684.00474,806.00678,109.00
Actual value120,992.00188,189.00326,701.00489,458.00671,657.00
Relative error−8.51%10.37%−0.31%−2.99%0.96%
Per capita road area (square meter)Analog value14.6115.0915.7116.4817.53
Actual value15.3815.2415.9116.3919.27
Relative error−5.03%−0.98%−1.24%0.53%−9.01%
Number of old-age insurance participants (104 people)Analog value10.6511.1111.4911.7512.27
Actual value10.8411.7711.9212.1412.22
Relative error−1.75%−5.66%−3.63%−3.19%0.39%
Number of medical insurance participants (104 people)Analog value16.1716.1616.1116.1416.30
Actual value15.9816.1416.3016.1016.44
Relative error1.16%0.15%−1.16%0.23%−0.83%
Population (104 people)Analog value18.6818.801418.902918.972919.1095
Actual value18.6818.7818.8518.98618.99
Relative error0.00%0.11%0.28%−0.07%0.63%
Per capita years of education (year)Analog value7.898.178.419.049.16
Actual value8.108.408.809.109.50
Relative error−2.61%−2.74%−4.40%−0.67%−3.60%

Source: Authors’ calculations

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