Parameter estimates for the MEM, SAMEM, and MS SAMEM, information criteria and the maximized value of Log–likelihood; dependent variable: high–low range for the INE; predetermined variable: high–low range for the WTI. Sample period: 26 March 2018–19 July 2023
| ω | α | β | δ1 | δ2 | a1 | a2 | p11 | p22 | LOGLIK | AIC | BIC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 5.40 | 0.23 | 0.61 | 3.32 | −4994.90 | 8.37 | 8.39 | |||||
| (1.49) | (0.05) | (0.08) | (0.20) | |||||||||
| SAMEM | 6.77 | 0.18 | 0.44 | 0.27 | 3.59 | −4942.90 | 8.29 | 8.31 | ||||
| (2.45) | (0.05) | (0.15) | (0.03) | (0.24) | ||||||||
| MS SAMEM | 3.72 | 0.08 | 0.61 | 0.34 | 0.89 | 8.54 | 1.30 | 0.90 | 0.57 | −4796.01 | 8.05 | 8.09 |
| (1.67) | (0.03) | (0.14) | (0.03) | (0.13) | (0.83) | (0.17) | (0.02) | (0.08) |
| LOGLIK | AIC | BIC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 5.40 | 0.23 | 0.61 | 3.32 | −4994.90 | 8.37 | 8.39 | |||||
| (1.49) | (0.05) | (0.08) | (0.20) | |||||||||
| SAMEM | 6.77 | 0.18 | 0.44 | 0.27 | 3.59 | −4942.90 | 8.29 | 8.31 | ||||
| (2.45) | (0.05) | (0.15) | (0.03) | (0.24) | ||||||||
| MS SAMEM | 3.72 | 0.08 | 0.61 | 0.34 | 0.89 | 8.54 | 1.30 | 0.90 | 0.57 | −4796.01 | 8.05 | 8.09 |
| (1.67) | (0.03) | (0.14) | (0.03) | (0.13) | (0.83) | (0.17) | (0.02) | (0.08) |
Source(s): Authors’ calculations from Eikon Datastream data
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