Table 1

Diagnostic test results supporting the use of GARCH(1,1)

TestTest specificationt-statisticP-valueConclusion
Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF)Intercept−76.169410.0001***Stationary (reject null hypothesis of unit root)
Trend and Intercept−76.163960.0001***
None−76.144890.0001***
ARCH LM testLag = 110.514260.0012***Significant ARCH effect detected
GARCH(1,1) stationarity checkω = 0.011379Covariance stationary (α+β < 1)
α = 0.072737
β = 0.808777

Note(s): *, ** and *** imply significance at the 10, 5 and 1 percent levels

Source(s): Authors’ own work

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