HPM for properties and crime rates for selected towns in Johannesburg
| Town/Model | Variable | Estimate | t-Value | p-Value | Adj. R2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johannesburg (Obs. = 28,626) | |||||
| Model 1 | Intercept | 12.2489*** (0.0211) | 580.81 | 0.000 | |
| lnProperty size | 0.2843** (0.0037) | 76.04 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.168 | |||||
| Model 2 | Intercept | 14.2273*** (0.5377) | 26.46 | 0.000 | |
| lnProperty size | 0.2883*** (0.0037) | 78.63 | 0.000 | ||
| lnRobbery | 0.4677*** (0.0384) | 12.19 | 0.000 | ||
| lnBurglary | −0.6154*** (0.0426) | −14.45 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.2001 | |||||
| Model 3 | Intercept | 10.7229*** (0.5381) | 19.929 | 0.000 | |
| lnProperty size | 0.2843** (0.0037) | 76.062 | 0.000 | ||
| lnTotalRes crime | 0.1067* (0.0376) | 2.838 | 0.0045 | ||
| 0.1682 | |||||
| Randburg (Obs. = 21,362) | |||||
| Model 1 | Intercept | 12.4030*** (0.0181) | 683.98 | 0.000 | |
| lnProperty size | 0.2582*** (0.0034) | 75.83 | 000 | ||
| 0.2121 | |||||
| Model 2 | Intercept | 16.8168*** (0.2911) | 57.77 | 0.000 | |
| lnProperty size | 0.2693*** (0.0033) | 81.29 | 0.000 | ||
| lnRobbery | 0.3716*** (0.0264) | 14.05 | 0.000 | ||
| lnBurglary | −0.8506*** (0.0267) | −31.84 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.2603 | |||||
| Model 3 | Intercept | 15.7078*** (0.2979) | 52.73 | 0.000 | |
| lnProperty size | 0.2585*** (0.0034) | 76.13 | 0.000 | ||
| lnTotalRes crime | −0.2320*** (0.0209) | −11.12 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.2166 | |||||
| Roodeport (Obs. = 24,924) | |||||
| Model 1 | Intercept | 11.8716*** (0.0136) | 875.1 | 0.000 | |
| lnProperty size | 0.3244*** (0.0026) | 125.2 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.3859 | |||||
| Model 2 | Intercept | 16.2447*** (0.2991) | 54.304 | 0.000 | |
| lnProperty size | 0.3265*** (0.0025) | 128.192 | 0.000 | ||
| lnRobbery | 0.1382*** (0.0225) | 6.142 | 0.000 | ||
| lnBurglary | −0.6290*** (0.0248) | −25.396 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.4086 | |||||
| Model 3 | Intercept | 14.6346*** (0.2992) | 48.916 | 0.000 | |
| lnProperty size | 0.3236*** (0.0026) | 125.003 | 0.000 | ||
| lnTotalRes crime | −0.1847*** (0.0199) | −9.245 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.388 | |||||
| Town/Model | Variable | Estimate | Adj. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 12.2489 | 580.81 | 0.000 | ||
| lnProperty size | 0.2843 | 76.04 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.168 | |||||
| Intercept | 14.2273 | 26.46 | 0.000 | ||
| lnProperty size | 0.2883 | 78.63 | 0.000 | ||
| lnRobbery | 0.4677 | 12.19 | 0.000 | ||
| lnBurglary | −0.6154 | −14.45 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.2001 | |||||
| Intercept | 10.7229 | 19.929 | 0.000 | ||
| lnProperty size | 0.2843 | 76.062 | 0.000 | ||
| lnTotalRes crime | 0.1067 | 2.838 | 0.0045 | ||
| 0.1682 | |||||
| Intercept | 12.4030 | 683.98 | 0.000 | ||
| lnProperty size | 0.2582 | 75.83 | 000 | ||
| 0.2121 | |||||
| Intercept | 16.8168 | 57.77 | 0.000 | ||
| lnProperty size | 0.2693 | 81.29 | 0.000 | ||
| lnRobbery | 0.3716 | 14.05 | 0.000 | ||
| lnBurglary | −0.8506 | −31.84 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.2603 | |||||
| Intercept | 15.7078 | 52.73 | 0.000 | ||
| lnProperty size | 0.2585 | 76.13 | 0.000 | ||
| lnTotalRes crime | −0.2320 | −11.12 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.2166 | |||||
| Intercept | 11.8716 | 875.1 | 0.000 | ||
| lnProperty size | 0.3244 | 125.2 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.3859 | |||||
| Intercept | 16.2447 | 54.304 | 0.000 | ||
| lnProperty size | 0.3265 | 128.192 | 0.000 | ||
| lnRobbery | 0.1382 | 6.142 | 0.000 | ||
| lnBurglary | −0.6290 | −25.396 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.4086 | |||||
| Intercept | 14.6346 | 48.916 | 0.000 | ||
| lnProperty size | 0.3236 | 125.003 | 0.000 | ||
| lnTotalRes crime | −0.1847 | −9.245 | 0.000 | ||
| 0.388 | |||||
Number of bedroom and bathrooms are excluded because there was not enough variability in them to fit the model. ***, *** and *indicate 1, 5 and 10% significance levels, respectively. S.E. are in parenthesis. TotalRes crime is the sum of robbery and burglary at residential premises