Role of uncertainty factors
| (1) | (2) | (3) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Overall (TCI) | Short-term (TCI) | Long-term (TCI) |
| Panel A: VIX | |||
| VIX | 0.444*** | 0.121*** | 0.657*** |
| (0.021) | (0.020) | (0.024) | |
| Constant | 24.076*** | 18.612*** | 27.803*** |
| (0.491) | (0.460) | (0.557) | |
| R-squared | 0.274 | 0.031 | 0.392 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.274 | 0.030 | 0.392 |
| Panel B: OVX | |||
| OVX | 0.153*** | 0.058*** | 0.201*** |
| (0.007) | (0.006) | (0.008) | |
| Constant | 26.889*** | 18.645*** | 33.094*** |
| (0.361) | (0.336) | (0.436) | |
| R-squared | 0.285 | 0.062 | 0.324 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.285 | 0.061 | 0.323 |
| Panel C: GVZ | |||
| OVX | 0.153*** | 0.058*** | 0.201*** |
| (0.007) | (0.006) | (0.008) | |
| Constant | 26.889*** | 18.645*** | 33.094*** |
| (0.361) | (0.336) | (0.436) | |
| R-squared | 0.285 | 0.062 | 0.324 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.285 | 0.061 | 0.323 |
| GVZ | 0.530*** | −0.015 | 1.031*** |
| (0.039) | (0.034) | (0.042) | |
| Constant | 24.901*** | 21.520*** | 24.881*** |
| (0.682) | (0.594) | (0.742) | |
| R-squared | 0.135 | 0.000 | 0.333 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.134 | −0.001 | 0.332 |
| Panel D: GPR | |||
| GPR | 0.014*** | 0.025*** | −0.013*** |
| (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | |
| Constant | 32.166*** | 18.366*** | 43.759*** |
| (0.426) | (0.335) | (0.530) | |
| R-squared | 0.016 | 0.075 | 0.009 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.015 | 0.074 | 0.008 |
| Panel E: EPU | |||
| EPU | 0.025*** | 0.001*** | 0.047*** |
| (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.002) | |
| Constant | 29.825*** | 21.068*** | 34.806*** |
| (0.328) | (0.290) | (0.357) | |
| R-squared | 0.155 | 0.001 | 0.350 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.155 | −0.000 | 0.349 |
| Panel F: RAI | |||
| RAI | 1.819*** | 0.373*** | 2.676*** |
| (0.138) | (0.119) | (0.167) | |
| Constant | 28.013*** | 20.087*** | 33.676*** |
| (0.483) | (0.417) | (0.581) | |
| R-squared | 0.128 | 0.008 | 0.179 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.127 | 0.007 | 0.179 |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Overall (TCI) | Short-term (TCI) | Long-term (TCI) |
| VIX | 0.444*** | 0.121*** | 0.657*** |
| (0.021) | (0.020) | (0.024) | |
| Constant | 24.076*** | 18.612*** | 27.803*** |
| (0.491) | (0.460) | (0.557) | |
| 0.274 | 0.031 | 0.392 | |
| Adjusted | 0.274 | 0.030 | 0.392 |
| OVX | 0.153*** | 0.058*** | 0.201*** |
| (0.007) | (0.006) | (0.008) | |
| Constant | 26.889*** | 18.645*** | 33.094*** |
| (0.361) | (0.336) | (0.436) | |
| 0.285 | 0.062 | 0.324 | |
| Adjusted | 0.285 | 0.061 | 0.323 |
| OVX | 0.153*** | 0.058*** | 0.201*** |
| (0.007) | (0.006) | (0.008) | |
| Constant | 26.889*** | 18.645*** | 33.094*** |
| (0.361) | (0.336) | (0.436) | |
| 0.285 | 0.062 | 0.324 | |
| Adjusted | 0.285 | 0.061 | 0.323 |
| GVZ | 0.530*** | −0.015 | 1.031*** |
| (0.039) | (0.034) | (0.042) | |
| Constant | 24.901*** | 21.520*** | 24.881*** |
| (0.682) | (0.594) | (0.742) | |
| 0.135 | 0.000 | 0.333 | |
| Adjusted | 0.134 | −0.001 | 0.332 |
| GPR | 0.014*** | 0.025*** | −0.013*** |
| (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | |
| Constant | 32.166*** | 18.366*** | 43.759*** |
| (0.426) | (0.335) | (0.530) | |
| 0.016 | 0.075 | 0.009 | |
| Adjusted | 0.015 | 0.074 | 0.008 |
| EPU | 0.025*** | 0.001*** | 0.047*** |
| (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.002) | |
| Constant | 29.825*** | 21.068*** | 34.806*** |
| (0.328) | (0.290) | (0.357) | |
| 0.155 | 0.001 | 0.350 | |
| Adjusted | 0.155 | −0.000 | 0.349 |
| RAI | 1.819*** | 0.373*** | 2.676*** |
| (0.138) | (0.119) | (0.167) | |
| Constant | 28.013*** | 20.087*** | 33.676*** |
| (0.483) | (0.417) | (0.581) | |
| 0.128 | 0.008 | 0.179 | |
| Adjusted | 0.127 | 0.007 | 0.179 |
Note(s): This table presents the results for the impact of global factors on the connectedness. Panels A to F shows the findings for VIX, OVX, GVZ, GPR, EPU and RAI as independent variable using respective TCI values as dependent variable estimated above section. All models are estimated using the OLS estimator with 1,193 observations. Standard errors are in parentheses. ***, **, * denote significance at 1%, 5% and 10% significance level
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