Two-step system GMM and PCSE estimation methodologies for conventional banks dependent variables for the 2005–2022 period: FSS and leverage determinants
| Two-step system GMM | Robust check: PCSE method | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | Model 6 | Model 7 | Model 8 | Model 9 | Model 10 | |
| FSS(Coef.) | Leverage(Coef.) | FSS(Coef.) | Leverage(Coef.) | FSS(Coef.) | FSS(Coef.) | Leverage(Coef.) | FSS(Coef.) | Leverage(Coef.) | FSS(Coef.) | |
| Past realization effect | ||||||||||
| L.FSS | ***0.915046 | ***0.9424311 | ***0.8761498 | ***0.4754339 | ***0.6405408 | ***0.5981621 | ||||
| L.LEVERAGE | *0.3141438 | ***0.3680938 | ***0.0441469 | ***0.0438479 | ||||||
| Bank-specific variables | ||||||||||
| ASQLNPL | **−0.0543 | 0.3872531 | *0.0038955 | −0.229766 | −0.03118 | ***0.0581703 | 0.0364385 | ***0.0564117 | 0.0541562 | **0.0293916 |
| CAPADEQ | −0.003395 | ***1.443315 | 0.01005 | ***1.110742 | **0.0314962 | **0.0344742 | ***1.577213 | **0.0678635 | ***1.718515 | **0.0930905 |
| COSTINCOME | **−0.0171 | −0.1008008 | −0.00508 | 0.0090628 | 0.0078359 | ***−0.0153322 | **0.0269367 | −0.0008417 | 0.0198552 | 0.0019474 |
| LIQUID | 0.0009895 | 0.0578146 | **0.0063486 | **0.0605264 | *0.007332 | ***−0.0041907 | 0.0214975 | *−0.0058884 | **0.034109 | −0.0064516 |
| LTA | −0.115672 | −0.6793743 | *0.1034206 | 0.43824 | **0.2363698 | **0.1056531 | 0.0834534 | −0.1532094 | 0.1442413 | −0.0920213 |
| TAX | *0.01102 | 0.1411983 | 0.00248 | 0.0432658 | 0.0023306 | ***0.0093888 | 0.0085968 | 0.009617 | *0.0208194 | 0.0022062 |
| DIV | 0.0020 | −0.0308772 | −0.00323 | *−0.0187168 | **−0.0049218 | −0.000145 | −0.0008661 | −0.0003398 | −0.001698 | 0.0002089 |
| Macroeconomic variables | ||||||||||
| (E)Energyintensity | **−0.0824 | −0.0590214 | ***−0.0848092 | *−0.12201 | ||||||
| (S)Unempl | −0.03284 | *−1.507489 | ***−0.1320148 | ***−0.2186528 | ||||||
| (G)GovEff | ***−0.3268373 | **4.232675 | ***−0.4671792 | ***0.4853093 | ||||||
| Fintech | 0.1200034 | *−0.1497917 | ||||||||
| GDPGrowth | −0.0042962 | **−0.0118465 | ||||||||
| Dummy variables | ||||||||||
| Time 2020 | 0.1790 | −0.1455962 | *−0.1284407 | 0.2968135 | **0.0348227 | ***−0.3159323 | 0.6832752 | *−0.1636174 | 0.423501 | −0.0030766 |
| Intercept | 1.4792 | 10.7902 | −1.68753 | *−12.44244 | −4.257467 | 0.5714831 | **−6.466373 | 2.861596 | ***−10.74557 | 2.591893 |
| Instrumental Variables | 9.0000 | 8.0000 | 9.0000 | 10.0000 | 12.0000 | |||||
| Likelihood ratio P-chi2 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| Mean variance inflationary factor | 1.4700 | 1.6000 | 1.2300 | 1.3300 | 1.6600 | 1.4700 | 1.6000 | 1.2300 | 1.3300 | 1.6600 |
| AR(1) | 0.0200 | 0.3210 | 0.0050 | 0.2010 | 0.0060 | |||||
| AR(2) | 0.2370 | 0.2230 | 0.3190 | 0.8650 | 0.1150 | |||||
| Hansen test | 0.1150 | 0.1470 | 0.1010 | 0.1120 | 0.2410 | |||||
| Wald p-value χ2/F-statistics | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| Two-step system GMM | Robust check: PCSE method | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | Model 6 | Model 7 | Model 8 | Model 9 | Model 10 | |
| FSS(Coef.) | Leverage(Coef.) | FSS(Coef.) | Leverage(Coef.) | FSS(Coef.) | FSS(Coef.) | Leverage(Coef.) | FSS(Coef.) | Leverage(Coef.) | FSS(Coef.) | |
| L.FSS | ***0.915046 | ***0.9424311 | ***0.8761498 | ***0.4754339 | ***0.6405408 | ***0.5981621 | ||||
| L.LEVERAGE | *0.3141438 | ***0.3680938 | ***0.0441469 | ***0.0438479 | ||||||
| ASQLNPL | **−0.0543 | 0.3872531 | *0.0038955 | −0.229766 | −0.03118 | ***0.0581703 | 0.0364385 | ***0.0564117 | 0.0541562 | **0.0293916 |
| CAPADEQ | −0.003395 | ***1.443315 | 0.01005 | ***1.110742 | **0.0314962 | **0.0344742 | ***1.577213 | **0.0678635 | ***1.718515 | **0.0930905 |
| COSTINCOME | **−0.0171 | −0.1008008 | −0.00508 | 0.0090628 | 0.0078359 | ***−0.0153322 | **0.0269367 | −0.0008417 | 0.0198552 | 0.0019474 |
| LIQUID | 0.0009895 | 0.0578146 | **0.0063486 | **0.0605264 | *0.007332 | ***−0.0041907 | 0.0214975 | *−0.0058884 | **0.034109 | −0.0064516 |
| LTA | −0.115672 | −0.6793743 | *0.1034206 | 0.43824 | **0.2363698 | **0.1056531 | 0.0834534 | −0.1532094 | 0.1442413 | −0.0920213 |
| TAX | *0.01102 | 0.1411983 | 0.00248 | 0.0432658 | 0.0023306 | ***0.0093888 | 0.0085968 | 0.009617 | *0.0208194 | 0.0022062 |
| DIV | 0.0020 | −0.0308772 | −0.00323 | *−0.0187168 | **−0.0049218 | −0.000145 | −0.0008661 | −0.0003398 | −0.001698 | 0.0002089 |
| (E)Energyintensity | **−0.0824 | −0.0590214 | ***−0.0848092 | *−0.12201 | ||||||
| (S)Unempl | −0.03284 | *−1.507489 | ***−0.1320148 | ***−0.2186528 | ||||||
| (G)GovEff | ***−0.3268373 | **4.232675 | ***−0.4671792 | ***0.4853093 | ||||||
| Fintech | 0.1200034 | *−0.1497917 | ||||||||
| GDPGrowth | −0.0042962 | **−0.0118465 | ||||||||
| Time 2020 | 0.1790 | −0.1455962 | *−0.1284407 | 0.2968135 | **0.0348227 | ***−0.3159323 | 0.6832752 | *−0.1636174 | 0.423501 | −0.0030766 |
| Intercept | 1.4792 | 10.7902 | −1.68753 | *−12.44244 | −4.257467 | 0.5714831 | **−6.466373 | 2.861596 | ***−10.74557 | 2.591893 |
| Instrumental Variables | 9.0000 | 8.0000 | 9.0000 | 10.0000 | 12.0000 | |||||
| Likelihood ratio P-chi2 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| Mean variance inflationary factor | 1.4700 | 1.6000 | 1.2300 | 1.3300 | 1.6600 | 1.4700 | 1.6000 | 1.2300 | 1.3300 | 1.6600 |
| AR(1) | 0.0200 | 0.3210 | 0.0050 | 0.2010 | 0.0060 | |||||
| AR(2) | 0.2370 | 0.2230 | 0.3190 | 0.8650 | 0.1150 | |||||
| Hansen test | 0.1150 | 0.1470 | 0.1010 | 0.1120 | 0.2410 | |||||
| Wald | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
Note(s): Please refer to Table 1 for details of the variables
Source(s): Author’s own work
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