Multivariate DID regression of different M&A classifications
| Cross-industry deals | All deals | Within-industry deals | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ln_(1 + Count) | Ln_(1 + Count) | Ln_(1 + Count) | |||||||
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | |
| Panel A: Multivariate DID regression result of M&As classified by diversification | |||||||||
| Intercept | −0.053 | −0.190*** | −0.190* | −0.116*** | −0.126 | −0.127 | 0.021 | −0.068 | −0.068 |
| (−1.33) | (−1.89) | (−1.88) | (−3.10) | (−1.34) | (−1.34) | (0.63) | (−0.73) | (−0.73) | |
| Pilot × During | −0.056** | −0.058** | −0.057** | −0.031 | −0.035 | −0.035 | 0.003 | −0.005 | −0.005 |
| (−2.52) | (−2.57) | (−2.56) | (−1.43) | (−1.60) | (−1.59) | (0.12) | (−0.24) | (−0.23) | |
| Pilot × After | −0.025 | −0.019 | −0.019 | −0.015 | −0.014 | −0.014 | 0.010 | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| (−1.07) | (−0.78) | (−0.78) | (−0.62) | (−0.56) | (−0.56) | (0.42) | (0.16) | (0.16) | |
| Pilot | 0.020 | 0.005 | −0.017 | ||||||
| (1.06) | (0.27) | (−1.03) | |||||||
| During | 0.003 | 0.009 | 0.009 | −0.012 | 0.006 | 0.006 | −0.007 | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| (0.23) | (0.59) | (0.59) | (−0.92) | (0.41) | (0.40) | (−0.57) | (0.19) | (0.19) | |
| After | −0.065*** (−4.44) | −0.044*** (−2.70) | −0.044*** (−2.70) | −0.076*** (−5.25) | −0.042** (−2.53) | −0.042** (−2.53) | −0.053*** (−3.92) | −0.021 (−1.33) | −0.021 (−1.33) |
| ROA | −0.165*** | 0.074 | 0.074 | −0.072 | 0.082 | 0.082 | −0.014 | 0.094 | 0.094 |
| (−2.72) | (1.06) | (1.05) | (−1.43) | (1.29) | (1.28) | (−0.30) | (1.39) | (1.39) | |
| MB_Ratio | −0.005** | −0.002 | −0.002 | −0.006*** | −0.003* | −0.003* | −0.004***p | −0.002 | −0.002 |
| (−2.21) | (−0.94) | (−0.94) | (−3.84) | (−1.76) | (−1.75) | (−2.62) | (−1.33) | (−1.33) | |
| Leverage | −0.038* | −0.059* | −0.059* | −0.071*** | −0.044 | −0.044 | −0.037* (−1.95) | −0.025 (−0.81) | −0.025 (−0.81) |
| (−1.68) | (−1.86) | (−1.86) | (−3.47) | (−1.49) | (−1.49) | ||||
| Ln_MV | 0.060*** | 0.070*** | 0.070*** | 0.010*** | 0.113*** | 0.113*** | 0.069*** | 0.097*** | 0.097*** |
| (7.14) | (6.15) | (6.12) | (12.77) | (11.82) | (11.79) | (9.29) | (10.52) | (10.49) | |
| Ln_Sales | −0.003 | −0.004 | −0.004 | −0.013 | −0.036** | −0.036** | −0.023*** | −0.047*** | −0.047*** |
| (−0.33) | (−0.22) | (−0.22) | (−1.63) | (−2.28) | (−2.27) | (−3.18) | (−3.00) | (−3.00) | |
| CAPEX | −0.209*** | 0.256** | 0.256** | −0.132*** (−3.05) | 0.177*** (3.13) | 0.177*** (3.13) | −0.001 (−0.02) | 0.156*** (2.71) | 0.156*** (2.70) |
| (−2.80) | (2.53) | (2.52) | |||||||
| RDX | 0.033 (0.76) | 0.075 (1.15) | 0.075 (1.14) | 0.004 (0.16) | 0.049* (1.69) | 0.049* (1.68) | −0.030 (−0.99) | 0.066* (1.73) | 0.066* (1.72) |
| Cash | −0.037*** (−3.04) | −0.003 (−0.24) | −0.003 (−0.24) | −0.026*** (−3.15) | −0.025*** (−2.70) | −0.025*** (−2.69) | −0.018* (−1.75) | −0.034*** (−2.82) | −0.034*** (−2.82) |
| Fixed effect | No | Firm | Firm & Industry | No | Firm | Firm & Industry | No | Firm | Firm & Industry |
| Cluster standard error | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| R2 | 0.047 | 0.319 | 0.319 | 0.079 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 0.039 | 0.307 | 0.307 |
| Obs | 9,092 | 9,092 | 9,092 | 13,265 | 13,265 | 13,265 | 10,849 | 10,849 | 10,849 |
| Pilot (control) firms | 400 (754) | 400 (754) | 400 (754) | 584 (1,150) | 584 (1,150) | 584 (1,150) | 473 (934) | 473 (934) | 473 (934) |
| Cross-industry deals | All deals | Within-industry deals | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | |
| −0.053 | −0.190*** | −0.190* | −0.116*** | −0.126 | −0.127 | 0.021 | −0.068 | −0.068 | |
| (−1.33) | (−1.89) | (−1.88) | (−3.10) | (−1.34) | (−1.34) | (0.63) | (−0.73) | (−0.73) | |
| −0.025 | −0.019 | −0.019 | −0.015 | −0.014 | −0.014 | 0.010 | 0.004 | 0.004 | |
| (−1.07) | (−0.78) | (−0.78) | (−0.62) | (−0.56) | (−0.56) | (0.42) | (0.16) | (0.16) | |
| 0.020 | 0.005 | −0.017 | |||||||
| (1.06) | (0.27) | (−1.03) | |||||||
| 0.003 | 0.009 | 0.009 | −0.012 | 0.006 | 0.006 | −0.007 | 0.003 | 0.003 | |
| (0.23) | (0.59) | (0.59) | (−0.92) | (0.41) | (0.40) | (−0.57) | (0.19) | (0.19) | |
| −0.065*** (−4.44) | −0.044*** (−2.70) | −0.044*** (−2.70) | −0.076*** (−5.25) | −0.042** (−2.53) | −0.042** (−2.53) | −0.053*** (−3.92) | −0.021 (−1.33) | −0.021 (−1.33) | |
| −0.165*** | 0.074 | 0.074 | −0.072 | 0.082 | 0.082 | −0.014 | 0.094 | 0.094 | |
| (−2.72) | (1.06) | (1.05) | (−1.43) | (1.29) | (1.28) | (−0.30) | (1.39) | (1.39) | |
| −0.005** | −0.002 | −0.002 | −0.006*** | −0.003* | −0.003* | −0.004***p | −0.002 | −0.002 | |
| (−2.21) | (−0.94) | (−0.94) | (−3.84) | (−1.76) | (−1.75) | (−2.62) | (−1.33) | (−1.33) | |
| −0.038* | −0.059* | −0.059* | −0.071*** | −0.044 | −0.044 | −0.037* (−1.95) | −0.025 (−0.81) | −0.025 (−0.81) | |
| (−1.68) | (−1.86) | (−1.86) | (−3.47) | (−1.49) | (−1.49) | ||||
| 0.060*** | 0.070*** | 0.070*** | 0.010*** | 0.113*** | 0.113*** | 0.069*** | 0.097*** | 0.097*** | |
| (7.14) | (6.15) | (6.12) | (12.77) | (11.82) | (11.79) | (9.29) | (10.52) | (10.49) | |
| −0.003 | −0.004 | −0.004 | −0.013 | −0.036** | −0.036** | −0.023*** | −0.047*** | −0.047*** | |
| (−0.33) | (−0.22) | (−0.22) | (−1.63) | (−2.28) | (−2.27) | (−3.18) | (−3.00) | (−3.00) | |
| −0.209*** | 0.256** | 0.256** | −0.132*** (−3.05) | 0.177*** (3.13) | 0.177*** (3.13) | −0.001 (−0.02) | 0.156*** (2.71) | 0.156*** (2.70) | |
| (−2.80) | (2.53) | (2.52) | |||||||
| 0.033 (0.76) | 0.075 (1.15) | 0.075 (1.14) | 0.004 (0.16) | 0.049* (1.69) | 0.049* (1.68) | −0.030 (−0.99) | 0.066* (1.73) | 0.066* (1.72) | |
| −0.037*** (−3.04) | −0.003 (−0.24) | −0.003 (−0.24) | −0.026*** (−3.15) | −0.025*** (−2.70) | −0.025*** (−2.69) | −0.018* (−1.75) | −0.034*** (−2.82) | −0.034*** (−2.82) | |
| Fixed effect | No | Firm | Firm & Industry | No | Firm | Firm & Industry | No | Firm | Firm & Industry |
| Cluster standard error | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| 0.047 | 0.319 | 0.319 | 0.079 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 0.039 | 0.307 | 0.307 | |
| 9,092 | 9,092 | 9,092 | 13,265 | 13,265 | 13,265 | 10,849 | 10,849 | 10,849 | |
| Pilot (control) firms | 400 (754) | 400 (754) | 400 (754) | 584 (1,150) | 584 (1,150) | 584 (1,150) | 473 (934) | 473 (934) | 473 (934) |
| Negative CAR deals | Positive CAR deals | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ln_(1 + Count) | Ln_(1 + Count) | |||||
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
| Panel B: Multivariate DID regression result of M&As classified by CAR | ||||||
| Intercept | −0.184*** | −0.773*** (−7.57) | −0.773*** (−7.56) | 0.162*** (6.19) | 0.712*** (7.11) | 0.712*** (7.09) |
| (−4.98) | ||||||
| Pilot × During | −0.062*** (−2.61) | −0.067*** (−2.78) | −0.067*** (−2.78) | 0.031 (1.27) | 0.034 (1.41) | 0.034 (1.41) |
| Pilot × After | −0.041 (−1.59) | −0.039 (−1.50) | −0.039 (−1.50) | 0.030 (1.18) | 0.031 (1.21) | 0.031 (1.21) |
| Pilot | 0.014 (0.77) | −0.019 (−1.16) | ||||
| During | −0.023 (−1.64) | −0.045*** (−3.02) | −0.045*** (−3.01) | 0.021 (1.42) | 0.081*** (5.01) | 0.081*** (4.99) |
| After | −0.050*** (−3.37) | −0.053*** (−3.13) | −0.053*** (−3.12) | −0.054*** (−3.53) | 0.011 (0.63) | 0.011 (0.63) |
| ROA | 0.079 (1.58) | 0.235*** (3.51) | 0.235*** (3.50) | −0.192*** (−3.86) | −0.159** (−2.06) | −0.159** (−2.05) |
| MB_Ratio | 0.000 (0.24) | 0.002 (1.05) | 0.002 (1.04) | −0.012*** (−5.91) | −0.010*** (−4.96) | −0.010*** (−4.95) |
| Leverage | −0.039* (−1.84) | 0.006 (0.20) | 0.006 (0.20) | −0.046*** (−2.94) | −0.065** (−2.04) | −0.065** (−2.03) |
| Ln_MV | 0.114*** (15.28) | 0.172*** (17.11) | 0.172*** (17.06) | 0.003 (0.39) | −0.040*** (−3.78) | −0.040*** (−3.77) |
| Ln_Sales | −0.038*** (−5.35) | −0.021 (−1.25) | −0.021 (−1.25) | 0.018*** (2.59) | −0.026 (−1.50) | −0.026 (−1.49) |
| CAPEX | −0.204*** (−5.20) | 0.115* (1.71) | 0.115* (1.70) | 0.016 (0.53) | 0.098* (1.90) | 0.098* (1.89) |
| RDX | 0.033 (1.18) | 0.122*** (3.03) | 0.122*** (3.02) | −0.024 (−0.58) | −0.008 (−0.15) | −0.008 (−0.15) |
| Cash | −0.031*** (−3.50) | −0.025** (−2.21) | −0.025** (−2.21) | −0.012 (−1.16) | −0.022* (−1.66) | −0.022* (−1.65) |
| Fixed effect | No | Firm | Firm & Industry | No | Firm | Firm & Industry |
| Cluster standard error | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| R2 | 0.091 | 0.333 | 0.332 | 0.017 | 0.196 | 0.196 |
| Obs | 11,461 | 11,461 | 11,461 | 8,483 | 8,483 | 8,483 |
| Pilot (control) firms | 494 (974) | 494 (974) | 494 (974) | 376 (715) | 376 (715) | 376 (715) |
| Negative CAR deals | Positive CAR deals | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
| −0.184*** | −0.773*** (−7.57) | −0.773*** (−7.56) | 0.162*** (6.19) | 0.712*** | 0.712*** (7.09) | |
| (−4.98) | ||||||
| −0.041 (−1.59) | −0.039 (−1.50) | −0.039 (−1.50) | 0.030 (1.18) | 0.031 (1.21) | 0.031 (1.21) | |
| 0.014 (0.77) | −0.019 (−1.16) | |||||
| −0.023 (−1.64) | −0.045*** (−3.02) | −0.045*** (−3.01) | 0.021 (1.42) | 0.081*** (5.01) | 0.081*** (4.99) | |
| −0.050*** (−3.37) | −0.053*** (−3.13) | −0.053*** (−3.12) | −0.054*** (−3.53) | 0.011 (0.63) | 0.011 (0.63) | |
| 0.079 (1.58) | 0.235*** | 0.235*** | −0.192*** (−3.86) | −0.159** (−2.06) | −0.159** (−2.05) | |
| 0.000 (0.24) | 0.002 (1.05) | 0.002 (1.04) | −0.012*** (−5.91) | −0.010*** (−4.96) | −0.010*** (−4.95) | |
| −0.039* (−1.84) | 0.006 (0.20) | 0.006 (0.20) | −0.046*** (−2.94) | −0.065** (−2.04) | −0.065** (−2.03) | |
| 0.114*** (15.28) | 0.172*** | 0.172*** (17.06) | 0.003 (0.39) | −0.040*** (−3.78) | −0.040*** (−3.77) | |
| −0.038*** (−5.35) | −0.021 (−1.25) | −0.021 (−1.25) | 0.018*** | −0.026 (−1.50) | −0.026 (−1.49) | |
| −0.204*** (−5.20) | 0.115* (1.71) | 0.115* (1.70) | 0.016 (0.53) | 0.098* (1.90) | 0.098* (1.89) | |
| 0.033 (1.18) | 0.122*** (3.03) | 0.122*** | −0.024 (−0.58) | −0.008 (−0.15) | −0.008 (−0.15) | |
| −0.031*** (−3.50) | −0.025** | −0.025** (−2.21) | −0.012 (−1.16) | −0.022* (−1.66) | −0.022* | |
| Fixed effect | No | Firm | Firm & Industry | No | Firm | Firm & Industry |
| Cluster standard error | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| 0.091 | 0.333 | 0.332 | 0.017 | 0.196 | 0.196 | |
| 11,461 | 11,461 | 11,461 | 8,483 | 8,483 | 8,483 | |
| Pilot (control) firms | 494 (974) | 494 (974) | 494 (974) | 376 (715) | 376 (715) | 376 (715) |
Note(s): This table reports the results of multivariate DID regressions on the number of M&As for the pilot and the control firms over the periods before, during and after Regulation SHO's pilot program. Panel A reports the results of M&As classified by diversification, while Panel B reports the results of M&As classified by CAR. We estimate the multivariate DID panel regression as follows
In this model, Ln_(1 + Counti,t) is the natural logarithm of (1 + Counti,t), while Counti,t is the total number of M&As announced by firm i in a given year t. Piloti equals one if firm i belongs to the pilot group and zero otherwise. Aftert is a dummy variable that equals one if the year is during the Post period (2007 to 2010). Xi,t is the set of controlling variables including return on assets (ROA), market-to-book ratio (MB_Ratio), leverage (Leverage), size (Ln_MV), sales (Ln_Sales), capital expenditures (CAPEX), R&D expenditures (RDX) and cash and short-term investment (Cash). If we add a firm fixed effect in the panel regression, we omit Piloti in that column to avoid multicollinearity. We cluster the standard errors at the firm level. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level, respectively
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