Institutional trading on expectation errors: regression analysis
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ΔIO | ΔNUM | ΔIO | ΔNUM | ΔIOADJ | ΔNUMADJ | |
| Glamour | 0.0028 | 2.2153 | 0.0021 | −1.6506 | 0.0327 | 0.0670 |
| (2.57)** | (5.53)*** | (1.71)* | (−2.57)** | (6.68)*** | (9.90)*** | |
| Glamour * Low FSCORE | −0.0022 | −1.5163 | −0.0004 | −0.3915 | −0.0055 | −0.0088 |
| (−2.54)** | (−4.89)*** | (−0.69) | (−2.54)** | (−2.05)** | (−3.90)*** | |
| Glamour * Mid FSCORE | −0.0007 | −0.4950 | −0.0002 | −0.2894 | −0.0010 | −0.0038 |
| (−1.30) | (−2.70)*** | (−0.42) | (−2.07)** | (−0.59) | (−2.42)** | |
| Middle | 0.0028 | 1.2643 | 0.0027 | −2.2985 | 0.0304 | 0.0594 |
| (2.92)*** | (5.28)*** | (2.36)** | (−3.41)*** | (6.66)*** | (9.61)*** | |
| Middle * Low FSCORE | −0.0016 | −0.6492 | −0.0007 | 0.0052 | −0.0049 | −0.0055 |
| (−3.76)*** | (−4.38)*** | (−1.97)* | (0.06) | (−3.23)*** | (−3.38)*** | |
| Middle * High FSCORE | 0.0001 | 0.0342 | −0.0002 | −0.0436 | 0.0019 | 0.0018 |
| (0.26) | (0.28) | (−0.61) | (−0.42) | (1.50) | (1.57) | |
| Value | −0.0010 | 0.2348 | −0.0005 | −2.3640 | 0.0155 | 0.0447 |
| (−0.87) | (1.61) | (−0.44) | (−3.93)*** | (2.99)*** | (7.18)*** | |
| Value * Mid FSCORE | 0.0025 | 0.5025 | 0.0017 | 0.0018 | 0.0104 | 0.0116 |
| (4.60)*** | (5.72)*** | (3.54)*** | (0.03) | (4.22)*** | (5.93)*** | |
| Value * High FSCORE | 0.0035 | 0.6231 | 0.0020 | −0.0441 | 0.0131 | 0.0150 |
| (5.21)*** | (4.68)*** | (3.47)*** | (−0.45) | (4.38)*** | (6.26)*** | |
| SIZE | 0.0002 | 0.6722 | −0.0042 | −0.0076 | ||
| (1.06) | (5.00)*** | (−9.66)*** | (−12.02)*** | |||
| INVOP | 0.0010 | 0.1413 | 0.0017 | 0.0025 | ||
| (2.59)** | (1.62) | (0.78) | (1.31) | |||
| AG | 0.0002 | 0.0033 | −0.0010 | 0.0013 | ||
| (0.59) | (0.04) | (−0.55) | (0.70) | |||
| MOM | 0.0085 | 2.2451 | 0.0273 | 0.0390 | ||
| (14.43)*** | (12.81)*** | (11.67)*** | (13.46)*** | |||
| TURN | −0.0043 | −1.3606 | −0.0196 | −0.0359 | ||
| (−6.01)*** | (−8.30)*** | (−7.43)*** | (−11.29)*** | |||
| ROE | 0.0008 | 0.0312 | 0.0062 | 0.0041 | ||
| (4.20)*** | (1.06) | (3.57)*** | (4.15)*** | |||
| DY | −0.0091 | −6.0749 | 0.0269 | −0.0262 | ||
| (−1.32) | (−2.09)** | (0.90) | (−0.90) | |||
| IVOL | 0.0062 | 1.5533 | 0.0256 | −0.0185 | ||
| (2.05)** | (1.85)* | (1.73)* | (−1.41) | |||
| LEV | −0.0012 | −0.1124 | −0.0092 | −0.0124 | ||
| (−1.55) | (−0.61) | (−2.55)** | (−3.72)*** | |||
| CASH | 0.0014 | −0.0122 | 0.0004 | −0.0067 | ||
| (1.67)* | (−0.06) | (0.09) | (−1.60) | |||
| SUE | 0.0005 | 0.2057 | 0.0029 | 0.0046 | ||
| (8.36)*** | (10.46)*** | (9.27)*** | (14.95)*** | |||
| ΔSPINDEX | 0.0062 | 20.3572 | 0.0424 | 0.2113 | ||
| (1.55) | (9.64)*** | (2.10)** | (2.87)*** | |||
| R-squared | 0.037 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.171 | 0.020 | 0.044 |
| N of firms | 11,856 | 11,856 | 10,194 | 10,194 | 10,194 | 10,194 |
| N | 430,110 | 430,110 | 374,783 | 374,783 | 374,783 | 374,783 |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ΔIO | ΔNUM | ΔIO | ΔNUM | ΔIOADJ | ΔNUMADJ | |
| Glamour | 0.0028 | 2.2153 | 0.0021 | −1.6506 | 0.0327 | 0.0670 |
| (2.57)** | (5.53)*** | (1.71)* | (−2.57)** | (6.68)*** | (9.90)*** | |
| Glamour * Low FSCORE | −0.0022 | −1.5163 | −0.0004 | −0.3915 | −0.0055 | −0.0088 |
| (−2.54)** | (−4.89)*** | (−0.69) | (−2.54)** | (−2.05)** | (−3.90)*** | |
| Glamour * Mid FSCORE | −0.0007 | −0.4950 | −0.0002 | −0.2894 | −0.0010 | −0.0038 |
| (−1.30) | (−2.70)*** | (−0.42) | (−2.07)** | (−0.59) | (−2.42)** | |
| Middle | 0.0028 | 1.2643 | 0.0027 | −2.2985 | 0.0304 | 0.0594 |
| (2.92)*** | (5.28)*** | (2.36)** | (−3.41)*** | (6.66)*** | (9.61)*** | |
| Middle * Low FSCORE | −0.0016 | −0.6492 | −0.0007 | 0.0052 | −0.0049 | −0.0055 |
| (−3.76)*** | (−4.38)*** | (−1.97)* | (0.06) | (−3.23)*** | (−3.38)*** | |
| Middle * High FSCORE | 0.0001 | 0.0342 | −0.0002 | −0.0436 | 0.0019 | 0.0018 |
| (0.26) | (0.28) | (−0.61) | (−0.42) | (1.50) | (1.57) | |
| Value | −0.0010 | 0.2348 | −0.0005 | −2.3640 | 0.0155 | 0.0447 |
| (−0.87) | (1.61) | (−0.44) | (−3.93)*** | (2.99)*** | (7.18)*** | |
| Value * Mid FSCORE | 0.0025 | 0.5025 | 0.0017 | 0.0018 | 0.0104 | 0.0116 |
| (4.60)*** | (5.72)*** | (3.54)*** | (0.03) | (4.22)*** | (5.93)*** | |
| Value * High FSCORE | 0.0035 | 0.6231 | 0.0020 | −0.0441 | 0.0131 | 0.0150 |
| (5.21)*** | (4.68)*** | (3.47)*** | (−0.45) | (4.38)*** | (6.26)*** | |
| SIZE | 0.0002 | 0.6722 | −0.0042 | −0.0076 | ||
| (1.06) | (5.00)*** | (−9.66)*** | (−12.02)*** | |||
| INVOP | 0.0010 | 0.1413 | 0.0017 | 0.0025 | ||
| (2.59)** | (1.62) | (0.78) | (1.31) | |||
| AG | 0.0002 | 0.0033 | −0.0010 | 0.0013 | ||
| (0.59) | (0.04) | (−0.55) | (0.70) | |||
| MOM | 0.0085 | 2.2451 | 0.0273 | 0.0390 | ||
| (14.43)*** | (12.81)*** | (11.67)*** | (13.46)*** | |||
| TURN | −0.0043 | −1.3606 | −0.0196 | −0.0359 | ||
| (−6.01)*** | (−8.30)*** | (−7.43)*** | (−11.29)*** | |||
| ROE | 0.0008 | 0.0312 | 0.0062 | 0.0041 | ||
| (4.20)*** | (1.06) | (3.57)*** | (4.15)*** | |||
| DY | −0.0091 | −6.0749 | 0.0269 | −0.0262 | ||
| (−1.32) | (−2.09)** | (0.90) | (−0.90) | |||
| IVOL | 0.0062 | 1.5533 | 0.0256 | −0.0185 | ||
| (2.05)** | (1.85)* | (1.73)* | (−1.41) | |||
| LEV | −0.0012 | −0.1124 | −0.0092 | −0.0124 | ||
| (−1.55) | (−0.61) | (−2.55)** | (−3.72)*** | |||
| CASH | 0.0014 | −0.0122 | 0.0004 | −0.0067 | ||
| (1.67)* | (−0.06) | (0.09) | (−1.60) | |||
| SUE | 0.0005 | 0.2057 | 0.0029 | 0.0046 | ||
| (8.36)*** | (10.46)*** | (9.27)*** | (14.95)*** | |||
| ΔSPINDEX | 0.0062 | 20.3572 | 0.0424 | 0.2113 | ||
| (1.55) | (9.64)*** | (2.10)** | (2.87)*** | |||
| 0.037 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.171 | 0.020 | 0.044 | |
| 11,856 | 11,856 | 10,194 | 10,194 | 10,194 | 10,194 | |
| 430,110 | 430,110 | 374,783 | 374,783 | 374,783 | 374,783 |
Note(s): This table presents the estimations results of the institutional trading on expectation errors using model (3) in Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regressions. The dependent variables are the change of institutional ownership, the change of the number of institutional investors, the size-adjusted change of the institutional ownership and the size-adjusted change of the number of institutional investors in each quarter. The indicator variables Glamour, Middle and Value equal to 1 if the firms are in the groups of glamour stock, middle stock and value stock, respectively. The dummy variables LowFSCORE, MidFSCORE and HighFSCORE equal to 1 if the firms have FSCORE less than four, between four and six and greater than six, respectively. The t-statistics are reported in parentheses calculated with Newey and West (1987) robust standard errors. The lag is one quarter. The sample period is from 1982Q1 to 2015Q4 (136 quarters)
*** Significant at the 1% level
** Significant at the 5% level
* Significant at the 10% level
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