Table 11

Institutional trading on expectation errors: an alternative method to decompose book-to-market

Market-to-bookTotal errorFirm-specific errorSector errorValue-to-Book
Panel A: Quarterly change of size-adjusted institutional ownership: ΔIOADJ
Low−0.1333%0.3508%0.3060%0.1053%−0.5303%
(−0.89)(2.71)***(2.21)**(0.68)(−4.50)***
20.0298%0.0130%−0.0000020.0494%−0.1548%
(0.29)(0.14)(−0.00)(0.48)(−1.43)
30.1923%−0.0230%−0.000138−0.1570%−0.0896%
(2.09)**(−0.25)(−0.14)(−1.78)*(−1.17)
4−0.0609%−0.1825%−0.001174−0.0458%0.0924%
(−0.78)(−1.99)**(−1.36)(−0.38)(0.94)
High−0.3328%−0.4594%−0.004770−0.2510%0.3846%
(−2.64)***(−4.29)***(−4.44)***(−2.33)**(2.61)***
L − H0.1995%0.8102%0.7830%0.3563%−0.9150%
(0.83)(4.26)***(3.90)***(1.60)(−3.91)***
Panel B: Quarterly change of the size-adjusted number of institutional investors: ΔNUMADJ
Low0.5559%0.8344%0.9109%−0.0315%−0.2016%
(3.71)***(6.41)***(7.43)***(−0.15)(−1.69)*
20.2549%0.2245%0.1518%0.1646%0.1533%
(2.47)**(2.35)**(1.63)(1.28)(1.50)
3−0.0933%−0.1179%−0.0867%0.0744%−0.1644%
(−1.12)(−1.57)(−1.08)(0.81)(−2.23)**
4−0.3584%−0.3389%−0.3526%−0.2197%−0.2385%
(−4.67)***(−3.96)***(−4.99)***(−1.72)*(−2.83)***
High−0.6745%−0.9127%−0.9338%−0.2961%0.1378%
(−3.79)***(−5.67)***(−6.05)***(−1.65)(0.81)
L – H1.2304%1.7471%1.8448%0.2646%−0.3394%
(4.02)***(6.37)***(7.19)***(0.76)(−1.27)

Note(s): This table reports the time-series average of the cross-sectional mean of the quarterly changes of size-adjusted institutional ownership and the quarterly changes of size-adjusted number of institutional investors in the stock portfolios by market-to-book and its decomposed components, total pricing error (including firm-specific error and sector error) and value-to-book (Rhodes-Kropf et al., 2005). The row L – H reports the differences of the coefficients between low market-to-book (and mispricing and value-to-book components) and high market-to-book (and mispricing and value-to-book components) firms. The sample period is from 1982Q1 to 2015Q4 (136 quarters). t-statistics are reported in parentheses calculated with Newey and West (1987) robust standard errors. The lag is one quarter

*** Significant at the 1% level

** Significant at the 5% level

* Significant at the 10% level

Source(s): Created by authors

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