Table 15.

Patent outcomes of Phase II awards

Headcount
 0-4991-910-4950-249
Panel A: Average Marginal Effect of Probability of Patenting
Win Phase II0.067***0.073**0.0120.023
Observations1,683572642156
ControlsYesYesYesYes
WeightsYesYesYesYes
p-value09e-104e-92e-3
Panel B: Average Marginal Effect of Probability of Patenting for Firms Without Prior Patents
Win Phase II0.0420.064*0.133** 
Observations760324195 
ControlsYesYesYes 
WeightsYesYesYes 
p-value3e-40.0120.017 
Panel C: OLS Regression Estimating ln (Forward Patents) (If Any)
Win Phase II−0.1130.500−0.1280.212
Observations3546117165
ControlsYesYesYesYes
WeightsYesYesYesYes
Adj. R20.1480.0070.1980.018
Note(s):

***p < 0.01; **p < 0.05; *p < 0.1. Patent outcomes are reported for the NASA SBIR proposal pool of 2002–2012. The outcome in Panels A and B is the Average Marginal Effect of the probability of patenting for the full sample (Panel A) and the firms without prior patents (Panel B). The subsample of the largest firms in Panel B is excluded for statistical reasons. Panel C reports the coefficients of an OLS regression on the number of forward patents, conditional on patenting. The treated (with Phase II award) observations are compared to untreated (not selected for Phase II award) with a Propensity Score Matching methodology. Controls include year fixed effects and fixed effects for the NASA Center receiving the proposal

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