Estimated long-run coefficients using the ARDL Approach
| Variable . | Model 1 (closing price) . | Model 2 (EUR/GBP) . | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| . | Coefficient . | Std. Error . | t-Statistic . | Prob . | . | Coefficient . | Std. Error . | t-Statistic . | Prob . |
| C | 523.811 | 190.798 | 2.745 | 0.007 | C | 0.376 | 0.048 | 7.818 | 0 |
| @TREND | 0.358 | 0.19175 | 1.866 | 0.064 | @TREND | −0.000029 | 0.000021 | −1.386 | 0.168 |
| CLOSE_PRICE (−1)* | −0.074 | 0.02974 | −2.482 | 0.014 | EUR_GBP(-1)* | −0.441 | 0.056 | −7.838 | 0 |
| SCORE** | −77.726 | 45.947 | −1.692 | 0.093 | SCORE** | 0.079 | 0.008 | 10.0312 | 0 |
| Variable . | Model 1 (closing price) . | Model 2 (EUR/GBP) . | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| . | Coefficient . | Std. Error . | t-Statistic . | Prob . | . | Coefficient . | Std. Error . | t-Statistic . | Prob . |
| C | 523.811 | 190.798 | 2.745 | 0.007 | C | 0.376 | 0.048 | 7.818 | 0 |
| @TREND | 0.358 | 0.19175 | 1.866 | 0.064 | @TREND | −0.000029 | 0.000021 | −1.386 | 0.168 |
| CLOSE_PRICE (−1)* | −0.074 | 0.02974 | −2.482 | 0.014 | EUR_GBP(-1)* | −0.441 | 0.056 | −7.838 | 0 |
| SCORE** | −77.726 | 45.947 | −1.692 | 0.093 | SCORE** | 0.079 | 0.008 | 10.0312 | 0 |