Estimated shorn-run coefficients using the ARDL Approach
| . | Model 1 (closing price) . | Model 2 (EUR/GBP) . | Model 3 (USD/GBP) . | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable . | Coefficient . | Std. Error . | t-Statistic . | Prob . | Coefficient . | Std. Error . | t-Statistic . | Prob . | Coefficient . | Std. Error . | t-Statistic . | Prob . |
| C | 523.81 | 160.94 | 3.25 | 0.001 | 0.376 | 0.0475 | 7.909 | 0 | 0.028 | 0.013 | 2.128 | 0.035 |
| @TREND | 0.3577 | 0.1684 | 2.124 | 0.035 | −0.00003 | 0.00002 | −1.389 | 0.1663 | 0.000009 | 0.000013 | 0.692 | 0.489 |
| SCORE01 | −61.165 | 5.3832 | −11.362 | 0 | 0.559 | 0.0563 | 9.933 | 0 | 0.011 | 0.005 | 2.276 | 0.024 |
| CointEq(−1)* | −0.0738 | 0.0229 | −3.22 | 0.002 | −0.441 | 0.056 | −7.869 | 0 | 0.964 | 0.018 | 53.77 | 0 |
| . | Model 1 (closing price) . | Model 2 (EUR/GBP) . | Model 3 (USD/GBP) . | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable . | Coefficient . | Std. Error . | t-Statistic . | Prob . | Coefficient . | Std. Error . | t-Statistic . | Prob . | Coefficient . | Std. Error . | t-Statistic . | Prob . |
| C | 523.81 | 160.94 | 3.25 | 0.001 | 0.376 | 0.0475 | 7.909 | 0 | 0.028 | 0.013 | 2.128 | 0.035 |
| @TREND | 0.3577 | 0.1684 | 2.124 | 0.035 | −0.00003 | 0.00002 | −1.389 | 0.1663 | 0.000009 | 0.000013 | 0.692 | 0.489 |
| SCORE01 | −61.165 | 5.3832 | −11.362 | 0 | 0.559 | 0.0563 | 9.933 | 0 | 0.011 | 0.005 | 2.276 | 0.024 |
| CointEq(−1)* | −0.0738 | 0.0229 | −3.22 | 0.002 | −0.441 | 0.056 | −7.869 | 0 | 0.964 | 0.018 | 53.77 | 0 |