Summary of causal feedback loops in WLC estimation
| Loop ID | Loop name | Loop variables | Type | Main driver | Main consequence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Seismic investment & longevity | Regional Conditions → Seismic Resistance → Construction Costs → Building Life → Regional Conditions | Reinforcing | Regional conditions | Increased investment in durable, long-life buildings |
| R2 | Seismic operational savings | Regional conditions → Seismic resistance → Maintenance frequency → Operational costs | Reinforcing | Seismic resistance | Lower maintenance and operating costs |
| R3 | Energy efficiency loop | Energy measures → Equipment efficiency → Operation/renewal cost → Maintenance frequency → Maintenance cost | Reinforcing | Energy saving measures | Reduced lifecycle costs and resource use |
| R4 | Green certification feedback | Certification cost → Renewable resources used → Carbon sequestration → Environmental evaluation | Reinforcing | Certification efforts | Increased sustainability and justification of green costs |
| R5 | Resilience & maintenance reduction | Seismic resistance → Hazard resilience → Maintenance frequency → Maintenance cost | Reinforcing | Seismic resistance | Reduced damage and long-term maintenance costs |
| R6 | Durable materials demand cycle | Demand & supply → Material quality → Material durability → Construction quality → Demand & supply | Reinforcing | Market demand | Higher construction quality and lifecycle performance |
| R7 | Smart tech efficiency loop | Technology → Automation/Smart Systems → Maintenance Tech → Equipment efficiency → Technology | Reinforcing | Technology adoption | Higher system efficiency and predictive maintenance |
| R8 | Occupancy behaviour feedback | Occupant behaviour → Occupancy hours → Maintenance tech → Maintenance frequency → Occupant behaviour | Reinforcing | Occupant awareness | Reduced wear, costs, and more sustainable user practices |
| R9 | Regional seismic quality loop | Region → Seismic resistance → Construction quality → Resilience → Region | Reinforcing | Regional risk profile | Safer buildings aligned with local hazard conditions |
| R10 | Regional material durability | Region → Material durability → Construction technology → Building life → Maintenance frequency | Reinforcing | Climate/Geographic conditions | Reduced frequency of maintenance |
| R11 | Risk mitigation feedback | Region → Seismic resistance → Construction quality → Risk mitigation | Reinforcing | Seismic risk | Stronger construction and reduced seismic vulnerability |
| B1 | Seismic cost-value loop | Seismic resistance → Construction cost → Maintenance cost → Building life → Seismic resistance | Balancing | Seismic design standards | Long-term savings balance high initial costs |
| B2 | Upfront vs lifespan cost | Regional conditions → Seismic resistance → Building life → Upfront acquisition cost | Balancing | Regional risk | Justifies high acquisition cost via extended lifespan |
| B3 | Resilience & environmental impact | Seismic resistance → Hazard resilience → Environmental impact → Renewal cycles | Balancing | Seismic resilience | Reduces lifecycle environmental impact |
| B4 | Cost-benefit trade-off loop | Cost vs benefit → Upfront cost → Construction cost → Operational/Renewal cost → Cost vs benefit | Balancing | Cost-efficiency consideration | Aligns high upfront cost with long-term efficiency gains |
| B5 | Inflation impact loop | Inflation → Construction/Maintenance cost → Nominal cost → Real cost → Inflation | Balancing | Inflation | Adjusts financial decisions based on real vs nominal value |
| B6 | Environmental compliance feedback | Legislative/Economic changes → Environmental cost → Evaluation → Externalities → Policy changes | Balancing | Regulatory environment | Adapts policies to manage unintended environmental impacts |
| B7 | Durability investment loop | Material durability → Maintenance cost → Replacement frequency → Material quality → Material durability | Balancing | Material quality | Encourages durable material use for lifecycle cost stability |
| B8 | Insurance & resilience loop | Hazard resilience → Insurance/Risk mitigation → Unforeseen events → Hazard resilience | Balancing | Natural hazard exposure | Improves risk planning through resilient design |
| B9 | Tech depreciation cycle | Technology → Depreciation → Efficiency → Operational/Renewal cost → Technology | Balancing | Tech lifecycle | Maintains performance through reinvestment |
| B10 | Occupancy-cost adjustment | Occupancy type → Occupant behaviour → Maintenance cost → Operational cost → Occupancy type | Balancing | Occupant behaviour | Aligns occupancy patterns with cost-efficient usage |
| B11 | Resilience-cost feedback | Hazard resilience → Insurance/Risk → Construction cost → Hazard resilience | Balancing | Risk management | Reinforces resilient design by reducing financial exposure |
| B12 | Eco-Cost reduction loop | Environmental cost → Greenstar rating → Renewable use → Carbon sequestration → Environmental cost | Balancing | Green certification systems | Drives down environmental costs through sustainable choices |
| Loop | Loop name | Loop variables | Type | Main driver | Main consequence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Seismic investment & longevity | Regional Conditions → Seismic Resistance → Construction Costs → Building Life → Regional Conditions | Reinforcing | Regional conditions | Increased investment in durable, long-life buildings |
| R2 | Seismic operational savings | Regional conditions → Seismic resistance → Maintenance frequency → Operational costs | Reinforcing | Seismic resistance | Lower maintenance and operating costs |
| R3 | Energy efficiency loop | Energy measures → Equipment efficiency → Operation/renewal cost → Maintenance frequency → Maintenance cost | Reinforcing | Energy saving measures | Reduced lifecycle costs and resource use |
| R4 | Green certification feedback | Certification cost → Renewable resources used → Carbon sequestration → Environmental evaluation | Reinforcing | Certification efforts | Increased sustainability and justification of green costs |
| R5 | Resilience & maintenance reduction | Seismic resistance → Hazard resilience → Maintenance frequency → Maintenance cost | Reinforcing | Seismic resistance | Reduced damage and long-term maintenance costs |
| R6 | Durable materials demand cycle | Demand & supply → Material quality → Material durability → Construction quality → Demand & supply | Reinforcing | Market demand | Higher construction quality and lifecycle performance |
| R7 | Smart tech efficiency loop | Technology → Automation/Smart Systems → Maintenance Tech → Equipment efficiency → Technology | Reinforcing | Technology adoption | Higher system efficiency and predictive maintenance |
| R8 | Occupancy behaviour feedback | Occupant behaviour → Occupancy hours → Maintenance tech → Maintenance frequency → Occupant behaviour | Reinforcing | Occupant awareness | Reduced wear, costs, and more sustainable user practices |
| R9 | Regional seismic quality loop | Region → Seismic resistance → Construction quality → Resilience → Region | Reinforcing | Regional risk profile | Safer buildings aligned with local hazard conditions |
| R10 | Regional material durability | Region → Material durability → Construction technology → Building life → Maintenance frequency | Reinforcing | Climate/Geographic conditions | Reduced frequency of maintenance |
| R11 | Risk mitigation feedback | Region → Seismic resistance → Construction quality → Risk mitigation | Reinforcing | Seismic risk | Stronger construction and reduced seismic vulnerability |
| B1 | Seismic cost-value loop | Seismic resistance → Construction cost → Maintenance cost → Building life → Seismic resistance | Balancing | Seismic design standards | Long-term savings balance high initial costs |
| B2 | Upfront vs lifespan cost | Regional conditions → Seismic resistance → Building life → Upfront acquisition cost | Balancing | Regional risk | Justifies high acquisition cost via extended lifespan |
| B3 | Resilience & environmental impact | Seismic resistance → Hazard resilience → Environmental impact → Renewal cycles | Balancing | Seismic resilience | Reduces lifecycle environmental impact |
| B4 | Cost-benefit trade-off loop | Cost vs benefit → Upfront cost → Construction cost → Operational/Renewal cost → Cost vs benefit | Balancing | Cost-efficiency consideration | Aligns high upfront cost with long-term efficiency gains |
| B5 | Inflation impact loop | Inflation → Construction/Maintenance cost → Nominal cost → Real cost → Inflation | Balancing | Inflation | Adjusts financial decisions based on real vs nominal value |
| B6 | Environmental compliance feedback | Legislative/Economic changes → Environmental cost → Evaluation → Externalities → Policy changes | Balancing | Regulatory environment | Adapts policies to manage unintended environmental impacts |
| B7 | Durability investment loop | Material durability → Maintenance cost → Replacement frequency → Material quality → Material durability | Balancing | Material quality | Encourages durable material use for lifecycle cost stability |
| B8 | Insurance & resilience loop | Hazard resilience → Insurance/Risk mitigation → Unforeseen events → Hazard resilience | Balancing | Natural hazard exposure | Improves risk planning through resilient design |
| B9 | Tech depreciation cycle | Technology → Depreciation → Efficiency → Operational/Renewal cost → Technology | Balancing | Tech lifecycle | Maintains performance through reinvestment |
| B10 | Occupancy-cost adjustment | Occupancy type → Occupant behaviour → Maintenance cost → Operational cost → Occupancy type | Balancing | Occupant behaviour | Aligns occupancy patterns with cost-efficient usage |
| B11 | Resilience-cost feedback | Hazard resilience → Insurance/Risk → Construction cost → Hazard resilience | Balancing | Risk management | Reinforces resilient design by reducing financial exposure |
| B12 | Eco-Cost reduction loop | Environmental cost → Greenstar rating → Renewable use → Carbon sequestration → Environmental cost | Balancing | Green certification systems | Drives down environmental costs through sustainable choices |
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