Pooled mean group pre-GFC
| PMG/ARDL model (2,2,2,2,2,2,2) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Coefficient | Std. error | t-statistic | Prob** |
| Long run equation | ||||
| LSUK | 0.1650 | 0.0065 | 25.265 | 0.0000** |
| LGFCF | −2.8325 | 0.2482 | −11.409 | 0.0000** |
| LGGFE | 0.9335 | 0.1665 | 5.6057 | 0.0000** |
| LINF | 0.2927 | 0.0242 | 12.070 | 0.0000** |
| LTOPN | 0.9389 | 0.0960 | 9.7727 | 0.0000** |
| LFDI | 3.2056 | 0.3946 | 8.1220 | 0.0000** |
| Short run equation | ||||
| COINTEQ01 | −0.1650 | 0.0515 | −3.2055 | 0.0021** |
| D(LSUK) | 0.0251 | 0.0262 | 0.9550 | 0.3430 |
| D(LGFCF) | −5.2304 | 7.0610 | −0.7407 | 0.4615 |
| D(LGGFE) | 21.823 | 7.8041 | 2.7963 | 0.0068** |
| D(LINF) | 0.0221 | 0.3771 | 0.0586 | 0.9534 |
| D(LTOPN) | 1.0354 | 5.6673 | 0.1826 | 0.8556 |
| D(LFDI) | −6.1431 | 27.503 | −0.2233 | 0.8239 |
| PMG/ARDL model (2,2,2,2,2,2,2) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Coefficient | Std. error | Prob** | |
| 0.1650 | 0.0065 | 25.265 | 0.0000** | |
| −2.8325 | 0.2482 | −11.409 | 0.0000** | |
| 0.9335 | 0.1665 | 5.6057 | 0.0000** | |
| 0.2927 | 0.0242 | 12.070 | 0.0000** | |
| 0.9389 | 0.0960 | 9.7727 | 0.0000** | |
| 3.2056 | 0.3946 | 8.1220 | 0.0000** | |
| COINTEQ01 | −0.1650 | 0.0515 | −3.2055 | 0.0021** |
| D( | 0.0251 | 0.0262 | 0.9550 | 0.3430 |
| D( | −5.2304 | 7.0610 | −0.7407 | 0.4615 |
| D( | 21.823 | 7.8041 | 2.7963 | 0.0068** |
| D( | 0.0221 | 0.3771 | 0.0586 | 0.9534 |
| D( | 1.0354 | 5.6673 | 0.1826 | 0.8556 |
| D( | −6.1431 | 27.503 | −0.2233 | 0.8239 |
Note(s): This table presents PMG-ARDL (2,2,2,2,2,2,2) estimates for the pre-GFC period, reporting long-run coefficients, short-run dynamics through the error correction term and significance at the 5% level**
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