Table 8

Pooled mean group post-GFC

PMG/ARDL model (2,4,4,4,4,4,4)
VariableCoefficientStd. errort-statisticProb**
Long run equation
LSUK0.20710.04564.54320.0000**
LGFCF−0.05560.2822−0.19730.8438
LGGFE−0.06150.4544−0.13540.8924
LINF1.01750.032731.1150.0000**
LTOPN2.64610.26869.85140.0000**
LFDI−11.3872.0141−5.65360.0000**
Short run equation
COINTEQ01−0.43750.1312−3.33360.0010**
D(LSUK)−0.07860.1954−0.40240.6878
D(LGFCF)4.70113.08131.52560.1287
D(LGGFE(-2))2.39031.05212.27180.0242**
D(LINF(-2))−0.16080.0546−2.94430.0036**
D(LTOPN)6.09851.93233.15600.0019**
D(LFDI(-1))12.7486.39561.99320.0476**

Note(s): This table presents PMG-ARDL (2,4,4,4,4,4,4) estimates for the post-GFC period, showing long-run coefficients and short-run dynamics via the error correction term and first-differenced explanatory variables. ** indicates 5% significance

Source(s): Authors’ own calculations

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