Pooled mean group post-GFC
| PMG/ARDL model (2,4,4,4,4,4,4) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Coefficient | Std. error | t-statistic | Prob** |
| Long run equation | ||||
| LSUK | 0.2071 | 0.0456 | 4.5432 | 0.0000** |
| LGFCF | −0.0556 | 0.2822 | −0.1973 | 0.8438 |
| LGGFE | −0.0615 | 0.4544 | −0.1354 | 0.8924 |
| LINF | 1.0175 | 0.0327 | 31.115 | 0.0000** |
| LTOPN | 2.6461 | 0.2686 | 9.8514 | 0.0000** |
| LFDI | −11.387 | 2.0141 | −5.6536 | 0.0000** |
| Short run equation | ||||
| COINTEQ01 | −0.4375 | 0.1312 | −3.3336 | 0.0010** |
| D(LSUK) | −0.0786 | 0.1954 | −0.4024 | 0.6878 |
| D(LGFCF) | 4.7011 | 3.0813 | 1.5256 | 0.1287 |
| D(LGGFE(-2)) | 2.3903 | 1.0521 | 2.2718 | 0.0242** |
| D(LINF(-2)) | −0.1608 | 0.0546 | −2.9443 | 0.0036** |
| D(LTOPN) | 6.0985 | 1.9323 | 3.1560 | 0.0019** |
| D(LFDI(-1)) | 12.748 | 6.3956 | 1.9932 | 0.0476** |
| PMG/ARDL model (2,4,4,4,4,4,4) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Coefficient | Std. error | Prob** | |
| 0.2071 | 0.0456 | 4.5432 | 0.0000** | |
| −0.0556 | 0.2822 | −0.1973 | 0.8438 | |
| −0.0615 | 0.4544 | −0.1354 | 0.8924 | |
| 1.0175 | 0.0327 | 31.115 | 0.0000** | |
| 2.6461 | 0.2686 | 9.8514 | 0.0000** | |
| −11.387 | 2.0141 | −5.6536 | 0.0000** | |
| COINTEQ01 | −0.4375 | 0.1312 | −3.3336 | 0.0010** |
| D | −0.0786 | 0.1954 | −0.4024 | 0.6878 |
| D | 4.7011 | 3.0813 | 1.5256 | 0.1287 |
| D | 2.3903 | 1.0521 | 2.2718 | 0.0242** |
| D | −0.1608 | 0.0546 | −2.9443 | 0.0036** |
| D | 6.0985 | 1.9323 | 3.1560 | 0.0019** |
| D | 12.748 | 6.3956 | 1.9932 | 0.0476** |
Note(s): This table presents PMG-ARDL (2,4,4,4,4,4,4) estimates for the post-GFC period, showing long-run coefficients and short-run dynamics via the error correction term and first-differenced explanatory variables. ** indicates 5% significance
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