Pooled mean group full sample
| PMG/ARDL model (4,8,8,8,8,8,8,8) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Coefficient | Std. error | t-statistic | Prob** |
| Long run equation | ||||
| LSUK | 0.2270 | 0.0497 | 4.5624 | 0.0000** |
| LGFCF | 2.7912 | 0.4037 | 6.9127 | 0.0000** |
| LGGFE | 1.6730 | 0.5154 | 3.2458 | 0.0014** |
| LINF | 0.5645 | 0.0406 | 13.886 | 0.0000** |
| LTOPN | −1.2377 | 0.1843 | −6.7138 | 0.0000** |
| LFDI | 14.642 | 1.8053 | 8.1107 | 0.0000** |
| DUMMY_GFC | −0.5323 | 0.0629 | −8.4516 | 0.0000** |
| Short run equation | ||||
| COINTEQ01 | −0.3995 | 0.1577 | −2.5321 | 0.0121** |
| D(LSUK) | 0.0671 | 0.0993 | 0.6751 | 0.5004 |
| D(LGFCF) | 4.2471 | 2.5424 | 1.6704 | 0.0964 |
| D(LGGFE(-2)) | 2.8326 | 2.6373 | 1.0740 | 0.2841 |
| D(LINF(-6)) | 0.2954 | 0.1380 | 2.1398 | 0.0336** |
| D(LTOPN) | 3.5552 | 4.6708 | 0.7611 | 0.4475 |
| D(LFDI) | 1.8872 | 12.316 | 0.1532 | 0.8784 |
| D(DUMMY_GFC) | 0.0777 | 0.3711 | 0.2095 | 0.8342 |
| PMG/ARDL model (4,8,8,8,8,8,8,8) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Coefficient | Std. error | Prob** | |
| 0.2270 | 0.0497 | 4.5624 | 0.0000** | |
| 2.7912 | 0.4037 | 6.9127 | 0.0000** | |
| 1.6730 | 0.5154 | 3.2458 | 0.0014** | |
| 0.5645 | 0.0406 | 13.886 | 0.0000** | |
| −1.2377 | 0.1843 | −6.7138 | 0.0000** | |
| 14.642 | 1.8053 | 8.1107 | 0.0000** | |
| −0.5323 | 0.0629 | −8.4516 | 0.0000** | |
| COINTEQ01 | −0.3995 | 0.1577 | −2.5321 | 0.0121** |
| D | 0.0671 | 0.0993 | 0.6751 | 0.5004 |
| D | 4.2471 | 2.5424 | 1.6704 | 0.0964 |
| D | 2.8326 | 2.6373 | 1.0740 | 0.2841 |
| D | 0.2954 | 0.1380 | 2.1398 | 0.0336** |
| D | 3.5552 | 4.6708 | 0.7611 | 0.4475 |
| D | 1.8872 | 12.316 | 0.1532 | 0.8784 |
| D | 0.0777 | 0.3711 | 0.2095 | 0.8342 |
Note(s): This table shows PMG-ARDL (4,8,8,8,8,8,8,8) estimates for the full-sample period, reporting long-run coefficients and short-run adjustments through the error correction term and first- or lagged-differenced variables. Statistical significance at 5% is indicated by**
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