Cross-sectional regression analysis of cumulative abnormal returns: tariff
| Variables | Pre-event days | Event days | Post-event days | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (−10, 0) | (−5, 0) | (−3, 0) | (−1, 0) | (−1, +1) | (0, +1) | (0, +3) | (0, +5) | (0, +10) | |
| TARIFF | −0.0007*** | −0.0006*** | −0.0005*** | −0.0004*** | −0.0003*** | 0.00008 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0005*** |
| SIZE | 0.0033*** | 0.0030*** | 0.0036*** | 0.0014*** | 0.0001 | −0.0016*** | −0.0015** | −0.0010 | −0.0019 |
| BTM | 0.0117*** | 0.0031 | −0.0013 | −0.0056 | −0.0054 | 0.0016 | 0.0049 | 0.0018 | 0.0027 |
| ROA | −0.0241 | −0.05923 | −0.0673** | 0.0103 | 0.0212 | 0.0273 | −0.0060 | 0.0237 | −0.0587 |
| LEV | −0.0002 | 0.00001 | 0.00007 | 9.06e−06 | −8.48e−06 | 0.00005 | −0.00005 | −0.0001 | 3.48e−06 |
| IEF | −0.0009** | −0.0005* | −9.40e−06 | −0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00009 | 0.0003 | 0.0008*** | 0.0006* |
| Constant | 0.0558* | 0.0253 | −0.0168 | 0.0060 | −0.0006 | 0.0066 | −0.0033 | −0.0421** | 0-.0273 |
| Industry Dummy | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| R Square | 0.0492 | 0.0437 | 0.0531 | 0.0316 | 0.0366 | 0.0354 | 0.0263 | 0.0292 | 0.0178 |
| Prob > F | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0030 | 0.0002 | 0.0610 |
| Number of obs | 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 |
| Variables | Pre-event days | Event days | Post-event days | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (−10, 0) | (−5, 0) | (−3, 0) | (−1, 0) | (−1, +1) | (0, +1) | (0, +3) | (0, +5) | (0, +10) | |
| TARIFF | −0.0007*** | −0.0006*** | −0.0005*** | −0.0004*** | −0.0003*** | 0.00008 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0005*** |
| SIZE | 0.0033*** | 0.0030*** | 0.0036*** | 0.0014*** | 0.0001 | −0.0016*** | −0.0015** | −0.0010 | −0.0019 |
| BTM | 0.0117*** | 0.0031 | −0.0013 | −0.0056 | −0.0054 | 0.0016 | 0.0049 | 0.0018 | 0.0027 |
| ROA | −0.0241 | −0.05923 | −0.0673** | 0.0103 | 0.0212 | 0.0273 | −0.0060 | 0.0237 | −0.0587 |
| LEV | −0.0002 | 0.00001 | 0.00007 | 9.06e−06 | −8.48e−06 | 0.00005 | −0.00005 | −0.0001 | 3.48e−06 |
| IEF | −0.0009** | −0.0005* | −9.40e−06 | −0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00009 | 0.0003 | 0.0008*** | 0.0006* |
| Constant | 0.0558* | 0.0253 | −0.0168 | 0.0060 | −0.0006 | 0.0066 | −0.0033 | −0.0421** | 0-.0273 |
| 0.0492 | 0.0437 | 0.0531 | 0.0316 | 0.0366 | 0.0354 | 0.0263 | 0.0292 | 0.0178 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0030 | 0.0002 | 0.0610 | |
| 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 | 1,106 | |
Note(s): None of the independent variables in this study exhibited strong correlations. The USA was excluded from the regression analysis. Tariff = the percentage of export tariffs imposed on goods entering the US, based on President Trump's tariff policy. SIZE = logarithm of total assets; BTM = book-to-market ratio; ROA = net income before taxes divided by total assets; LEV = total liabilities to total equity; IEF = Index of Economic Freedom. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% confidence levels, respectively
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