Table 5

Cross-sectional regression analysis of cumulative abnormal returns: tariff

VariablesPre-event daysEvent daysPost-event days
(−10, 0)(−5, 0)(−3, 0)(−1, 0)(−1, +1)(0, +1)(0, +3)(0, +5)(0, +10)
TARIFF−0.0007***−0.0006***−0.0005***−0.0004***−0.0003***0.000080.00010.00010.0005***
SIZE0.0033***0.0030***0.0036***0.0014***0.0001−0.0016***−0.0015**−0.0010−0.0019
BTM0.0117***0.0031−0.0013−0.0056−0.00540.00160.00490.00180.0027
ROA−0.0241−0.05923−0.0673**0.01030.02120.0273−0.00600.0237−0.0587
LEV−0.00020.000010.000079.06e−06−8.48e−060.00005−0.00005−0.00013.48e−06
IEF−0.0009**−0.0005*−9.40e−06−0.00010.00010.000090.00030.0008***0.0006*
Constant0.0558*0.0253−0.01680.0060−0.00060.0066−0.0033−0.0421**0-.0273
Industry DummyYesYesYesYesYesYesYesYesYes
R Square0.04920.04370.05310.03160.03660.03540.02630.02920.0178
Prob > F0.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00300.00020.0610
Number of obs1,1061,1061,1061,1061,1061,1061,1061,1061,106

Note(s): None of the independent variables in this study exhibited strong correlations. The USA was excluded from the regression analysis. Tariff = the percentage of export tariffs imposed on goods entering the US, based on President Trump's tariff policy. SIZE = logarithm of total assets; BTM = book-to-market ratio; ROA = net income before taxes divided by total assets; LEV = total liabilities to total equity; IEF = Index of Economic Freedom. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% confidence levels, respectively

Source(s): Authors’ own work

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