Table 4. Pooled logit regression result...

Table 4.

Pooled logit regression result — transition to negotiation period (1), and from negotiation period into resolution period (2)

	(1)	(2)
PDSI, 5-yr TA	0.699 (0.601)	$-$ 1.725 (1.061)
Average Precip., 5-yr TA	$-$ 0.00511 (0.0398)	$-$ 0.0430 (0.0360)
Average Temp., 5-yr TA	0.126 (0.109)	0.189 (0.120)
L.Av. Surrounding Streamflow	0.0000146 (0.0000135)	0.0000285* (0.0000170)
L2.Av. Surrounding Streamflow	0.00000853 (0.0000101)	0.0000294* (0.0000168)
Av. Surrounding Streamflow	0.0000290 (0.0000551)	0.0000250 (0.0000158)
Pop Density, County	3.762** (1.488)	0.105 (1.330)
Real PCI, County	0.000404* (0.000237)	0.000740** (0.000341)
Pres. Democrat Run	225.3** (113.9)	2.067 (8.900)
Resolutions Elsewhere	$-$ 0.721** (0.305)	$-$ 0.436*** (0.132)
Winters Starts Elsewhere	$-$ 0.370*** (0.0655)	1.089** (0.495)
Federal Outlays to States (Log Mil $)	$-$ 376.3** (190.8)	$-$ 2.696 (2.792)
L.Federal Outlays to States (Log Mil $)	96.05** (48.55)	$-$ 0.468 (2.333)
L2.Federal Outlays to States (Log Mil $)	15.58** (6.815)	$-$ 4.275* (2.213)
Federal Outlays, Water (Log Mil $)	390.1* (199.1)	18.28** (8.635)
Neg. Duration		$-$ 0.0861* (0.0452)
Constant	$-$ 740.6** (373.6)	$-$ 84.05** (35.22)
Year Effects	Yes	Yes
State Effects	Yes	Yes
Observations	3552	3633

	(1)	(2)
PDSI, 5-yr TA	0.699 (0.601)	$-$ 1.725 (1.061)
Average Precip., 5-yr TA	$-$ 0.00511 (0.0398)	$-$ 0.0430 (0.0360)
Average Temp., 5-yr TA	0.126 (0.109)	0.189 (0.120)
L.Av. Surrounding Streamflow	0.0000146 (0.0000135)	0.0000285* (0.0000170)
L2.Av. Surrounding Streamflow	0.00000853 (0.0000101)	0.0000294* (0.0000168)
Av. Surrounding Streamflow	0.0000290 (0.0000551)	0.0000250 (0.0000158)
Pop Density, County	3.762** (1.488)	0.105 (1.330)
Real PCI, County	0.000404* (0.000237)	0.000740** (0.000341)
Pres. Democrat Run	225.3** (113.9)	2.067 (8.900)
Resolutions Elsewhere	$-$ 0.721** (0.305)	$-$ 0.436*** (0.132)
Winters Starts Elsewhere	$-$ 0.370*** (0.0655)	1.089** (0.495)
Federal Outlays to States (Log Mil $)	$-$ 376.3** (190.8)	$-$ 2.696 (2.792)
L.Federal Outlays to States (Log Mil $)	96.05** (48.55)	$-$ 0.468 (2.333)
L2.Federal Outlays to States (Log Mil $)	15.58** (6.815)	$-$ 4.275* (2.213)
Federal Outlays, Water (Log Mil $)	390.1* (199.1)	18.28** (8.635)
Neg. Duration		$-$ 0.0861* (0.0452)
Constant	$-$ 740.6** (373.6)	$-$ 84.05** (35.22)
Year Effects	Yes	Yes
State Effects	Yes	Yes
Observations	3552	3633

Note:

Standard errors in parentheses.

Coefficients are Reported Log Odds.

Errors Clustered at State level.

* $p < 0.1$ ⁠, ** $p < 0.05$ ⁠, *** $p < 0.01$

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