Pre-Estimation Analysis
| Variable | Obs. | Mean | SD | Min | Max | Dickey-Fuller | Phillips-Perron |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel 1 - 1. Descriptive statistics and stationary test | |||||||
| digitalGSVI | 209 | 0.8934456 | 1.048732 | −2.236945 | 6.389808 | −8.356*** | −8.562*** |
| returnVNIndex | 209 | 0.0009842 | 0.0267742 | −0.1025858 | 0.1027658 | −10.203*** | −10.013*** |
| returnVN30 | 209 | 0.0015518 | 0.0277948 | −0.1057483 | 0.1014413 | −10.333*** | −10.170*** |
| returnVN100 | 209 | 0.0015375 | 0.0280615 | −0.1006965 | 0.1004145 | −10.199*** | −10.026*** |
| Variable | Obs. | Mean | Min | Max | Dickey-Fuller | Phillips-Perron | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 | 0.8934456 | 1.048732 | −2.236945 | 6.389808 | −8.356 | −8.562 | |
| 209 | 0.0009842 | 0.0267742 | −0.1025858 | 0.1027658 | −10.203 | −10.013 | |
| 209 | 0.0015518 | 0.0277948 | −0.1057483 | 0.1014413 | −10.333 | −10.170 | |
| 209 | 0.0015375 | 0.0280615 | −0.1006965 | 0.1004145 | −10.199 | −10.026 | |
| Lag/Rank | FPE | AIC | HQIC | SBIC | LL | Eigenvalue | Trace statistic | 5% critical value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel 1–2. Optimal lag selection test and co-integration test | ||||||||
| Model 1: returnVNIndex = f(digitalGSVI) | ||||||||
| 0 | 0.000804 | −1.45052 | −1.43741 | −1.4181 | 153.41551 | 101.3143 | 15.41 | |
| 1 | 0.000544 | −1.83993 | −1.80059* | −1.74267* | 188.03613 | 0.28430 | 32.0731 | 3.76 |
| 2 | 0.000534* | −1.85918* | −1.79361 | −1.69708 | 204.07266 | 0.14354 | ||
| 3 | 0.000545 | −1.83917 | −1.74738 | −1.61223 | ||||
| Model 2: returnVN30 = f(digitalGSVI) | ||||||||
| 0 | 0.000869 | −1.37205 | −1.35894 | −1.33963 | 143.51846 | 101.3389 | 15.41 | |
| 1 | 0.000595 | −1.75071 | −1.71137* | −1.65345* | 178.00572 | 0.28338 | 32.3643 | 3.76 |
| 2 | 0.000588* | −1.76279* | −1.69723 | −1.6007 | 194.18788 | 0.14474 | ||
| 3 | 0.0006 | −1.74222 | −1.65043 | −1.51529 | ||||
| Model 3: returnVN100 = f(digitalGSVI) | ||||||||
| 0 | 0.000886 | −1.35264 | −1.33952 | −1.32022 | 143.51512 | 101.6002 | 15.41 | |
| 1 | 0.000598 | −1.74545 | −1.70611* | −1.64819* | 178.2343 | 0.28498 | 32.1618 | 3.76 |
| 2 | 0.000587* | −1.76393* | −1.69836 | −1.60183 | 194.31521 | 0.14390 | ||
| 3 | 0.000603 | −1.73714 | −1.64535 | −1.5102 | ||||
| Lag/Rank | Eigenvalue | Trace statistic | 5% critical value | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1: | ||||||||
| 0 | 0.000804 | −1.45052 | −1.43741 | −1.4181 | 153.41551 | 101.3143 | 15.41 | |
| 1 | 0.000544 | −1.83993 | −1.80059 | −1.74267 | 188.03613 | 0.28430 | 32.0731 | 3.76 |
| 2 | 0.000534 | −1.85918 | −1.79361 | −1.69708 | 204.07266 | 0.14354 | ||
| 3 | 0.000545 | −1.83917 | −1.74738 | −1.61223 | ||||
| Model 2: | ||||||||
| 0 | 0.000869 | −1.37205 | −1.35894 | −1.33963 | 143.51846 | 101.3389 | 15.41 | |
| 1 | 0.000595 | −1.75071 | −1.71137 | −1.65345 | 178.00572 | 0.28338 | 32.3643 | 3.76 |
| 2 | 0.000588 | −1.76279 | −1.69723 | −1.6007 | 194.18788 | 0.14474 | ||
| 3 | 0.0006 | −1.74222 | −1.65043 | −1.51529 | ||||
| Model 3: return | ||||||||
| 0 | 0.000886 | −1.35264 | −1.33952 | −1.32022 | 143.51512 | 101.6002 | 15.41 | |
| 1 | 0.000598 | −1.74545 | −1.70611 | −1.64819 | 178.2343 | 0.28498 | 32.1618 | 3.76 |
| 2 | 0.000587 | −1.76393 | −1.69836 | −1.60183 | 194.31521 | 0.14390 | ||
| 3 | 0.000603 | −1.73714 | −1.64535 | −1.5102 | ||||
* is the suggestion of lag-order selection; *** indicates that the variable is stationary at significance levels of 1%
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