Estimation analysis
| Variable | Returnvnindex | Digitalgsvi | All |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panel 2 - 1. VAR-Granger estimation | |||
| returnVNIndex | – | 10.182*** | 10.182*** |
| digitalGSVI | 1.9011 | – | 1.9011 |
| Variable | returnVN30 | digitalGSVI | All |
| returnVN30 | – | 9.3026*** | 9.3026*** |
| digitalGSVI | 1.4789 | – | 1.4789 |
| Variable | returnVN100 | digitalGSVI | All |
| returnVN100 | – | 11.051*** | 11.051*** |
| digitalGSVI | 1.8535 | – | 1.8535 |
| Variable | All | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| – | 10.182 | 10.182 | |
| 1.9011 | – | 1.9011 | |
| Variable | All | ||
| – | 9.3026 | 9.3026 | |
| 1.4789 | – | 1.4789 | |
| Variable | All | ||
| – | 11.051 | 11.051 | |
| 1.8535 | – | 1.8535 | |
| Variable | Returnvnindex | Returnvn30 | Returnvn100 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coeficient | t-statistic | Coeficient | t-statistic | Coeficient | t-statistic | |
| Panel 2 - 2. OLS estimation | ||||||
| returnt-1 | 0.3526431*** | 5.02 | 0.3309948*** | 4.71 | 0.3509134*** | 5.00 |
| returnt-2 | −0.0760245 | −1.11 | −0.0627852 | −0.91 | −0.0758118 | −1.10 |
| digitalGSVI | −0.0018637 | −0.96 | −0.0015548 | −0.76 | −0.0015325 | −0.75 |
| −0.0052159** | −2.53 | −0.0052877** | −2.45 | −0.005878*** | −2.72 | |
| 0.0028854 | 1.46 | 0.0023829 | 1.15 | 0.002905 | 1.40 | |
| Cons. | 0.0045067* | 1.77 | 0.0050915* | 1.90 | 0.0051313* | 1.92 |
| N | 207 | 207 | 207 | |||
| F-value | 7.76*** | 6.93*** | 7.83*** | |||
| R-Square | 0.1618 | 0.1471 | 0.1630 | |||
| Variable | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coeficient | t-statistic | Coeficient | t-statistic | Coeficient | t-statistic | |
| 0.3526431 | 5.02 | 0.3309948 | 4.71 | 0.3509134 | 5.00 | |
| −0.0760245 | −1.11 | −0.0627852 | −0.91 | −0.0758118 | −1.10 | |
| −0.0018637 | −0.96 | −0.0015548 | −0.76 | −0.0015325 | −0.75 | |
| −0.0052159 | −2.53 | −0.0052877 | −2.45 | −0.005878 | −2.72 | |
| 0.0028854 | 1.46 | 0.0023829 | 1.15 | 0.002905 | 1.40 | |
| Cons. | 0.0045067 | 1.77 | 0.0050915 | 1.90 | 0.0051313 | 1.92 |
| N | 207 | 207 | 207 | |||
| F-value | 7.76 | 6.93 | 7.83 | |||
| R-Square | 0.1618 | 0.1471 | 0.1630 | |||
| Clayton | Gumbel | Gaussian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panel 2–3. Estimated parameters of the pair variables of digitalGSVI and returnVNIndex | |||
| Parameter | −0.06499 | 1 | −0.086† |
| Loglikeihood | 0.4553 | −2.277e-07 | 0.7092 |
| Clayton | Gumbel | Gaussian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panel 2–3. Estimated parameters of the pair variables of | |||
| Parameter | −0.06499 | 1 | −0.086 |
| Loglikeihood | 0.4553 | −2.277e-07 | 0.7092 |
*, **, and *** are significant at the 10, 5 and 1% levels, respectively; The null hypothesis is that the variable in the row is not a Granger cause variable in the column.; † is the fittest estimation
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