Significance tests
| <Panel A> one-day out-of-sample pricing errors | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BS | A1 | A2 | R1 | R2 | SV | |
| A1 | 12.9527** | |||||
| A2 | 14.7132** | 4.8408** | ||||
| R1 | 19.2072** | 5.7675** | −0.4589 | |||
| R2 | −8.4919** | −13.3836** | −15.0994** | −15.7245** | ||
| SV | 39.8102** | 26.6276** | 16.4613** | 21.5920** | 24.7122** | |
| SVJ | 72.8611** | 52.5199** | 31.8886** | 46.3709** | 32.0194** | 16.3295** |
| <Panel A> one-day out-of-sample pricing errors | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BS | A1 | A2 | R1 | R2 | SV | |
| A1 | 12.9527** | |||||
| A2 | 14.7132** | 4.8408** | ||||
| R1 | 19.2072** | 5.7675** | −0.4589 | |||
| R2 | −8.4919** | −13.3836** | −15.0994** | −15.7245** | ||
| SV | 39.8102** | 26.6276** | 16.4613** | 21.5920** | 24.7122** | |
| SVJ | 72.8611** | 52.5199** | 31.8886** | 46.3709** | 32.0194** | 16.3295** |
| < Panel B> One-Week Out-of-Sample Pricing Errors | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BS | A1 | A2 | R1 | R2 | SV | |
| A1 | −3.3375** | |||||
| A2 | −24.7282** | −21.0147** | ||||
| R1 | −13.0105** | −9.2679** | 12.5416** | |||
| R2 | −36.4456** | −34.5534** | −22.3350** | −29.9228** | ||
| SV | −3.6198** | −0.5693 | 19.1509** | 7.9624** | 33.5657** | |
| SVJ | 28.0799** | 29.6024** | 47.5929** | 39.0406** | 47.7646** | 27.0174** |
| < Panel B> One-Week Out-of-Sample Pricing Errors | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BS | A1 | A2 | R1 | R2 | SV | |
| A1 | −3.3375** | |||||
| A2 | −24.7282** | −21.0147** | ||||
| R1 | −13.0105** | −9.2679** | 12.5416** | |||
| R2 | −36.4456** | −34.5534** | −22.3350** | −29.9228** | ||
| SV | −3.6198** | −0.5693 | 19.1509** | 7.9624** | 33.5657** | |
| SVJ | 28.0799** | 29.6024** | 47.5929** | 39.0406** | 47.7646** | 27.0174** |
| < Panel C> One-Day Hedging Errors | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BS | A1 | A2 | R1 | R2 | SV | |
| A1 | 19.2039** | |||||
| A2 | 26.2723** | 7.0389** | ||||
| R1 | 1.8144 | −16.1733** | −22.7370** | |||
| R2 | 3.9209** | −13.9917** | −20.5217** | 2.0009* | ||
| SV | 7.5437** | −10.1321** | −16.5604** | 5.4549** | 3.4643** | |
| SVJ | 2.0314 | −15.7196** | −22.1866** | 0.2269 | −1.7525 | −5.1710 |
| < Panel C> One-Day Hedging Errors | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BS | A1 | A2 | R1 | R2 | SV | |
| A1 | 19.2039** | |||||
| A2 | 26.2723** | 7.0389** | ||||
| R1 | 1.8144 | −16.1733** | −22.7370** | |||
| R2 | 3.9209** | −13.9917** | −20.5217** | 2.0009* | ||
| SV | 7.5437** | −10.1321** | −16.5604** | 5.4549** | 3.4643** | |
| SVJ | 2.0314 | −15.7196** | −22.1866** | 0.2269 | −1.7525 | −5.1710 |
| < Panel D> One-Week Hedging Errors | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BS | A1 | A2 | R1 | R2 | SV | |
| A1 | 22.8361** | |||||
| A2 | 38.3946** | 15.8126** | ||||
| R1 | 11.5377** | −9.8808** | −24.4243** | |||
| R2 | 17.2426** | −3.9450** | −18.3580** | 5.4977** | ||
| SV | 15.7878** | −4.7191** | −18.5846** | 4.4718** | −0.8544 | |
| SVJ | 11.0510** | −9.7787** | −23.8568** | −0.1744 | −5.5337** | −4.7690** |
| < Panel D> One-Week Hedging Errors | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BS | A1 | A2 | R1 | R2 | SV | |
| A1 | 22.8361** | |||||
| A2 | 38.3946** | 15.8126** | ||||
| R1 | 11.5377** | −9.8808** | −24.4243** | |||
| R2 | 17.2426** | −3.9450** | −18.3580** | 5.4977** | ||
| SV | 15.7878** | −4.7191** | −18.5846** | 4.4718** | −0.8544 | |
| SVJ | 11.0510** | −9.7787** | −23.8568** | −0.1744 | −5.5337** | −4.7690** |
Note(s): This table reports the t-statistics testing whether the differences in MAE across option pricing models are statistically significant. The null hypothesis is that “there is no difference in MAE between the two option pricing models.” Each cell contains the t-statistic for the difference in MAE between the model listed in the column and the model listed in the row. **, * indicate significance at the 1 and 5% levels, respectively. BS refers to the Black and Scholes (1973) model. The A1 model uses the intercept and strike price as independent variables, while the A2 model includes the intercept, strike price, and squared strike price. The R1 model uses the intercept and moneyness, while the R2 model includes the intercept, moneyness, and squared moneyness. SV and SVJ refer to the stochastic volatility model and the stochastic volatility with jumps model of Bakshi et al. (1997), respectively