Price of Risk Estimates: Estimation with Intercept, Small Cross-Section.
| Short Sample (1960-2014) | Full Sample (1928-2014) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T = 55 and N = 7 | T = 87 and N = 7 | ||||||
| Reported Dec. | Garbage Dec. | P-J Dec. | Q4-Q4 Dec. | Unfiltered T.A. | Reported Dec. | Unfiltered T.A. | |
| const | 6.98 | 7.29 | 3.24 | −1.33 | −2.73 | 7.10 | −3.50 |
| t(const)sh | 1.87 | 1.67 | 0.72 | −0.23 | −0.61 | 1.60 | −0.73 |
| Btrp c.i.95% | (−6.3,14.7) | (−7.6,23.0) | (−7.9,12.3) | (−15.8,11.0) | (−6.9,11.9) | (−4.1,14.4) | (−11.8,7.7) |
| λ | 1.41 | 0.07 | 4.57 | 2.28 | 3.64 | 2.58 | 4.03 |
| t(λ)sh | 1.57 | 0.05 | 2.10 | 1.92 | 2.18 | 1.63 | 2.21 |
| Btrp c.i.95% | (−1.2,3.6) | (−5.1,4.8) | (0.7,7.9) | (0.1,4.3) | (−2.2,4.8) | (−3.0,4.9) | (0.2,6.2) |
| GRS-FAR c.i.95% | disjointed | disjointed | disjointed | disjointed | (2.3, 5.7) | disjointed | empty |
| implied γ | 80.98 | 0.85 | 44.03 | 104.93 | 53.59 | 53.90 | 24.62 |
| t(βHML), p-value | 0.01 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| F(βi = βj), p-value | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.06 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.00 |
| Short Sample (1960-2014) | Full Sample (1928-2014) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T = 55 and | T = 87 and | ||||||
| Reported Dec. | Garbage Dec. | P-J Dec. | Q4-Q4 Dec. | Unfiltered T.A. | Reported Dec. | Unfiltered T.A. | |
| 6.98 | 7.29 | 3.24 | −1.33 | −2.73 | 7.10 | −3.50 | |
| 1.87 | 1.67 | 0.72 | −0.23 | −0.61 | 1.60 | −0.73 | |
| Btrp c.i.95% | (−6.3,14.7) | (−7.6,23.0) | (−7.9,12.3) | (−15.8,11.0) | (−6.9,11.9) | (−4.1,14.4) | (−11.8,7.7) |
| 1.41 | 0.07 | 4.57 | 2.28 | 3.64 | 2.58 | 4.03 | |
| 1.57 | 0.05 | 2.10 | 1.92 | 2.18 | 1.63 | 2.21 | |
| Btrp c.i.95% | (−1.2,3.6) | (−5.1,4.8) | (0.7,7.9) | (0.1,4.3) | (−2.2,4.8) | (−3.0,4.9) | (0.2,6.2) |
| GRS-FAR c.i.95% | disjointed | disjointed | disjointed | disjointed | (2.3, 5.7) | disjointed | empty |
| implied γ | 80.98 | 0.85 | 44.03 | 104.93 | 53.59 | 53.90 | 24.62 |
| 0.01 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 0.09 | |
| F(βi = βj), p-value | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.06 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.00 |
Description: This table complements Table 5 in the main paper and provides results for estimation with an intercept λ0.
Interpretation: P-J, Q4-Q4, and unfiltered consumption are significandy priced according to bootstrap confidence intervals even in the short sample, when testing with an intercept is likely to become more powerful than with N = 31∕N = 21.
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