Relationship between corporate contributions and stock returns.
| One-day window | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abnormal returns | ||||||||
| Variables | Abnormal returns (1) | Raw returns (2) | Firm controls (3) | Intensive margins (4) | Regulated industry (5) | Industry donations (6) | Abnormal dummy (7) | One-week window (8) |
| Panel A: 2009–2010 data | ||||||||
| Donations to Democrats/$100,000 | 0.00195 | 0.00197 | 0.00194 | 0.00180 | 0.00193 | 0.00127 | 0.09766 | 0.00689 |
| (0.00054) | (0.00053) | (0.00055) | (0.00054) | (0.00055) | (0.00058) | (0.02576) | (0.00182) | |
| Donations to Republicans/$100,000 | −0.00148 | −0.00140 | −0.00159 | −0.00150 | −0.00157 | −0.00106 | −0.07738 | −0.00702 |
| (0.00054) | (0.00052) | (0.00056) | (0.00058) | (0.00056) | (0.00052) | (0.02533) | (0.00190) | |
| Regulated industry dummy | 0.00043 (0.00181) | |||||||
| Industry donations to Democrats/$100,000 | 0.00030 (0.00016) | |||||||
| Industry donations to Republicans/$100,000 | −0.00028 (0.00013) | |||||||
| Observations | 500 | 500 | 496 | 292 | 496 | 496 | 496 | 496 |
| Panel B: 2007–2008 data | ||||||||
| Donations to Democrats/$100,000 | 0.00207 | 0.00200 | 0.00190 | 0.00191 | 0.00188 | 0.00150 | 0.10470 | 0.00797 |
| (0.00083) | (0.00082) | (0.00087) | (0.00083) | (0.00085) | (0.00082) | (0.03785) | (0.00273) | |
| Donations to Republicans/$100,000 | −0.00149 | −0.00133 | −0.00144 | −0.00149 | −0.00142 | −0.00106 | −0.07891 | −0.00758 |
| (0.00080) | (0.00078) | (0.00082) | (0.00079) | (0.00081) | (0.00077) | (0.03624) | (0.00250) | |
| Regulated industry dummy | 0.00051 (0.00176) | |||||||
| Industry donations to Democrats/$100,000 | 0.00023 (0.00020) | |||||||
| Industry donations to Republicans/$100,000 | −0.00021 (0.00017) | |||||||
| Observations | 500 | 500 | 496 | 284 | 496 | 496 | 496 | 496 |
| Firm-specific controls | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| One-day window | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abnormal returns | ||||||||
| Variables | Abnormal returns (1) | Raw returns (2) | Firm controls (3) | Intensive margins (4) | Regulated industry (5) | Industry donations (6) | Abnormal dummy (7) | One-week window (8) |
| Donations to Democrats/$100,000 | 0.00195 | 0.00197 | 0.00194 | 0.00180 | 0.00193 | 0.00127 | 0.09766 | 0.00689 |
| (0.00054) | (0.00053) | (0.00055) | (0.00054) | (0.00055) | (0.00058) | (0.02576) | (0.00182) | |
| Donations to Republicans/$100,000 | −0.00148 | −0.00140 | −0.00159 | −0.00150 | −0.00157 | −0.00106 | −0.07738 | −0.00702 |
| (0.00054) | (0.00052) | (0.00056) | (0.00058) | (0.00056) | (0.00052) | (0.02533) | (0.00190) | |
| Regulated industry dummy | 0.00043 (0.00181) | |||||||
| Industry donations to Democrats/$100,000 | 0.00030 (0.00016) | |||||||
| Industry donations to Republicans/$100,000 | −0.00028 (0.00013) | |||||||
| Observations | 500 | 500 | 496 | 292 | 496 | 496 | 496 | 496 |
| Donations to Democrats/$100,000 | 0.00207 | 0.00200 | 0.00190 | 0.00191 | 0.00188 | 0.00150 | 0.10470 | 0.00797 |
| (0.00083) | (0.00082) | (0.00087) | (0.00083) | (0.00085) | (0.00082) | (0.03785) | (0.00273) | |
| Donations to Republicans/$100,000 | −0.00149 | −0.00133 | −0.00144 | −0.00149 | −0.00142 | −0.00106 | −0.07891 | −0.00758 |
| (0.00080) | (0.00078) | (0.00082) | (0.00079) | (0.00081) | (0.00077) | (0.03624) | (0.00250) | |
| Regulated industry dummy | 0.00051 (0.00176) | |||||||
| Industry donations to Democrats/$100,000 | 0.00023 (0.00020) | |||||||
| Industry donations to Republicans/$100,000 | −0.00021 (0.00017) | |||||||
| Observations | 500 | 500 | 496 | 284 | 496 | 496 | 496 | 496 |
| Firm-specific controls | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Note: Robust standard errors clustered by industry in parentheses. One-day return calculated as of May 2, 2011, the first trading day after Bin Laden’s capture. One-week return calculated as of May 6, 2011. Firm-specific controls are log of total assets (proxy for firm size), fixed-to-total assets ratio (proxy for asset tangibility), total assets-to-total liabilities (proxy for leverage), earnings before interest and taxes-to-total assets (proxy for operating profitability), and sales growth (proxy for growth opportunities). Regulated industries refer to railroad, public utilities, banking, finance, and insurance industries (SIC codes 40, 48, 49, 60, 61, and 63). “Abnormal dummy” is a dummy variable that takes a value of one if abnormal returns were positive.
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