Table 5:

Climate change exposure and the costs of high leverage: Political affiliation.

Blue StatesRed States
 (1)(2)(3)(4)
CCEXPOt-2 × HLEVt-2-0.0086**
(-2.19)
-0.0085**
(-2.21)
-0.0030
(-0.29)
-0.0024
(-0.23)
CCEXPOt-20.0050
(1.47)
0.0049
(1.48)
0.0092
(1.24)
0.0086
(1.18)
CSRt-2 × HLEVt-2 0.0075*
(1.89)
 0.0077
(1.15)
CSRt-2 -0.0098***
(-3.79)
 -0.0081
(-1.62)
HLEVt-2-0.0183***
(-2.95)
-0.0194***
(-3.05)
-0.0170
(-1.53)
-0.0168
(-1.51)
SIZEt0.0648***
(6.59)
0.0657***
(6.68)
0.0914***
(6.76)
0.0910***
(6.73)
COMPETITIONt-0.0519
(-0.24)
-0.0359
(-0.17)
0.3359
(0.93)
0.3429
(0.95)
PROFITt-1-0.0707**
(-2.17)
-0.0720**
(-2.21)
-0.1179*
(-1.94)
-0.1188*
(-1.95)
PROFITt-2-0.0575
(-1.48)
-0.0589
(-1.52)
-0.0367
(-0.71)
-0.0365
(- 0.70)
INVESTMENTt-1-0.0229
(-0.21)
-0.0297
(- 0.27)
0.1420
(1.05)
0.1415
(1.04)
INVESTMENTt-2-0.1000
(-1.04)
-0.1025
(-1.07)
-0.2534*
(-1.75)
-0.2524*
(-1.74)
SELLEXPt-10.0541
(0.61)
0.0537
(0.60)
-0.0298
(-0.47)
-0.0308
(-0.49)
SELLEXPt-20.0306
(0.52)
0.0317
(0.54)
0.0654
(1.24)
0.0639
(1.21)
COGSt-1-0.4116***
(-9.50)
-0.4120***
( - 9.47)
-0.3085***
(-5.84)
-0.3119***
(-5.92)
COGSt-20.2259***
(6.12)
0.2229***
(6.04)
0.0878*
(1.79)
0.0862*
(1.76)
PENALTYt-1-0.0006
(-1.35)
-0.0006
(-1.37)
-0.0013*
(-1.71)
-0.0013ast
(-1.74)
PENALTYt-2-0.0013***
(-3.08)
-0.0012***
(-3.03)
-0.0000
(-0.06)
-0.0001
(-0.08)
CONSTANT-0.0818
(-0.71)
-0.0937
(-0.82)
-0.4597*
(-1.93)
-0.4636*
(-1.94)
N9,9509,9505,0085,008
R-squared16.52%16.69%35.51%35.57%
Firm F.E.YYYY
Year × Industry F.E.YYYY
Note: This table reports the results of the effect of climate exposure on high leverage costs in states with Democratic or Republican affiliation. Models 1 and 2 report regression results for the subsample with firms headquartered in blue states; Models 3 and 4 report regression results for the subsample with firms headquartered in red states. We classify a state as blue if it voted Democratic and red if it voted Republican in the last presidential election. The dependent variable is industry-adjusted sales growth (SALES_G). The main variable of interest is the interaction term between industry-adjusted climate change exposure (CCEXPO) and a dummy variable that equals 1 if, in that year, the firm’s long-term debt-to-assets ratio ranks in the top three deciles of the overall sample (HLEV). Additional variable definitions are in the Appendix. All control variables are adjusted to their industry-year means and are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles. Further, we require that each industry-year contains at least four firms to be qualified in the analysis so that the industry-year mean is not biased toward outliers. The sample period is 2004—2020. The t-statistics based on heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors and clustered at the firm level are reported in parentheses. Asterisks denote statistical significance at the 1% (***), 5% (**), or 10% (*) level.

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