Remittances, institutional quality and unemployment in Africa
| Dependent variable: Unemployment | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | |
| Lagged Unemployment | 0.889*** | 0.857*** | 0.768*** | 0.817*** | 0.852*** | 0.863*** | 0.691*** |
| (0.036) | (0.033) | (0.058) | (0.048) | (0.065) | (0.066) | (0.047) | |
| Remittances | −0.109*** | −0.149*** | −0.196*** | −0.067*** | −0.076*** | −0.071*** | −0.195*** |
| (0.022) | (0.026) | (0.030) | (0.024) | (0.017) | (0.020) | (0.040) | |
| Institutional quality | −2.141*** | −2.395*** | −1.440* | −1.478** | −1.462** | 2.110 | |
| (0.694) | (0.751) | (0.755) | (0.721) | (0.720) | (1.490) | ||
| Real GDP growth | −0.072*** | −0.062** | −0.107*** | −0.135*** | −0.151* | ||
| (0.022) | (0.026) | (0.036) | (0.043) | (0.079) | |||
| Inflation | 0.002*** | 0.001 | 0.0001 | 0.006*** | |||
| (0.000) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.002) | ||||
| Financial development | 3.407 | 4.367 | −4.735** | ||||
| (3.572) | (2.851) | (2.370) | |||||
| Trade openness | −0.010** | 0.003 | |||||
| (0.004) | (0.007) | ||||||
| Remittance × Institutional quality | −0.466*** | ||||||
| (0.174) | |||||||
| Constant | 0.958*** | 2.369*** | 3.677*** | 2.098*** | 1.550 | 2.085** | 2.934*** |
| (0.334) | (0.431) | (0.871) | (0.779) | (1.014) | (0.972) | (0.969) | |
| Net/marginal effect (min) | −0.195*** | ||||||
| (0.401) | |||||||
| Net/marginal effect (mean) | −0.408*** | ||||||
| (0.101) | |||||||
| Net/marginal effect (max) | −0.661*** | ||||||
| (0.192) | |||||||
| Country effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Observations | 384 | 384 | 384 | 384 | 384 | 384 | 384 |
| Number of countries | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
| AR(2) | 0.914 | 0.889 | 0.962 | 0.877 | 0.743 | 0.733 | 0.980 |
| Hansen | 0.188 | 0.235 | 0.113 | 0.122 | 0.139 | 0.166 | 0.383 |
| Number of Instruments | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
| Wald χ2 | 2598.49 | 2725.34 | 5394.93 | 8417.98 | 9208.82 | 6859.82 | 10,129.49 |
| [p–value] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] |
| Dependent variable: Unemployment | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | |
| Lagged Unemployment | 0.889*** | 0.857*** | 0.768*** | 0.817*** | 0.852*** | 0.863*** | 0.691*** |
| (0.036) | (0.033) | (0.058) | (0.048) | (0.065) | (0.066) | (0.047) | |
| Remittances | −0.109*** | −0.149*** | −0.196*** | −0.067*** | −0.076*** | −0.071*** | −0.195*** |
| (0.022) | (0.026) | (0.030) | (0.024) | (0.017) | (0.020) | (0.040) | |
| Institutional quality | −2.141*** | −2.395*** | −1.440* | −1.478** | −1.462** | 2.110 | |
| (0.694) | (0.751) | (0.755) | (0.721) | (0.720) | (1.490) | ||
| Real GDP growth | −0.072*** | −0.062** | −0.107*** | −0.135*** | −0.151* | ||
| (0.022) | (0.026) | (0.036) | (0.043) | (0.079) | |||
| Inflation | 0.002*** | 0.001 | 0.0001 | 0.006*** | |||
| (0.000) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.002) | ||||
| Financial development | 3.407 | 4.367 | −4.735** | ||||
| (3.572) | (2.851) | (2.370) | |||||
| Trade openness | −0.010** | 0.003 | |||||
| (0.004) | (0.007) | ||||||
| Remittance × Institutional quality | −0.466*** | ||||||
| (0.174) | |||||||
| Constant | 0.958*** | 2.369*** | 3.677*** | 2.098*** | 1.550 | 2.085** | 2.934*** |
| (0.334) | (0.431) | (0.871) | (0.779) | (1.014) | (0.972) | (0.969) | |
| Net/marginal effect (min) | −0.195*** | ||||||
| (0.401) | |||||||
| Net/marginal effect (mean) | −0.408*** | ||||||
| (0.101) | |||||||
| Net/marginal effect (max) | −0.661*** | ||||||
| (0.192) | |||||||
| Country effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Observations | 384 | 384 | 384 | 384 | 384 | 384 | 384 |
| Number of countries | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
| AR(2) | 0.914 | 0.889 | 0.962 | 0.877 | 0.743 | 0.733 | 0.980 |
| Hansen | 0.188 | 0.235 | 0.113 | 0.122 | 0.139 | 0.166 | 0.383 |
| Number of Instruments | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
| Wald χ2 | 2598.49 | 2725.34 | 5394.93 | 8417.98 | 9208.82 | 6859.82 | 10,129.49 |
| [ | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] |
Note(s): *, **, *** indicate significance at the 10%, 5% and 1% significance level respectively. Robust standard errors are in parentheses
Sharing content requires targeting cookies to be enabled. Please update your cookie preferences to use this feature.