Instrumental variable two-stage least squares
Dependent variable = | The first IV | The second IV | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial_D | ETR1 | Financial_Ratio | ETR1 | Financial_D | ETR1 | Financial_Ratio | ETR1 | |
| First stage | Second stage | First stage | Second stage | First stage | Second stage | First stage | Second stage | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | |
| Predicted_Financial | −0.298*** | −1.244*** | −0.313*** | −1.201*** | ||||
| (−3.102) | (−3.066) | (−3.208) | (−3.250) | |||||
| Percentage_FinancialCEO_Province | 0.478*** | 0.115*** | ||||||
| (5.752) | (5.513) | |||||||
| Percentage_FinancialExe_Province | 0.692*** | 0.180*** | ||||||
| (5.745) | (5.993) | |||||||
| SOE | −0.101*** | −0.027** | −0.020*** | −0.022** | −0.103*** | −0.029*** | −0.020*** | −0.021** |
| (−13.066) | (−2.560) | (−10.248) | (−2.377) | (−13.257) | (−2.662) | (−10.448) | (−2.458) | |
| Size | 0.017*** | 0.017*** | −0.002** | 0.010*** | 0.017*** | 0.017*** | −0.002** | 0.010*** |
| (5.766) | (7.150) | (−2.062) | (5.776) | (5.769) | (7.155) | (−2.086) | (5.911) | |
| Age | 0.006 | 0.000 | 0.007*** | 0.007* | 0.006 | 0.001 | 0.007*** | 0.007** |
| (1.460) | (0.198) | (6.513) | (1.940) | (1.429) | (0.237) | (6.466) | (1.969) | |
| Tangibility | −0.132*** | −0.015 | −0.015 | 0.006 | −0.128*** | −0.017 | −0.014 | 0.007 |
| (−3.512) | (−0.631) | (−1.559) | (0.280) | (−3.415) | (−0.698) | (−1.477) | (0.309) | |
| Lev | 0.006 | 0.031*** | −0.003 | 0.026** | 0.008 | 0.031*** | −0.002 | 0.026** |
| (0.337) | (3.059) | (−0.605) | (2.467) | (0.449) | (3.014) | (−0.454) | (2.518) | |
| RD | −1.259*** | −1.043*** | −0.427*** | −1.198*** | −1.278*** | −1.061*** | −0.433*** | −1.180*** |
| (−5.644) | (−6.157) | (−7.646) | (−5.723) | (−5.725) | (−6.171) | (−7.751) | (−6.000) | |
| ROA | 0.021 | 0.148*** | 0.042*** | 0.194*** | 0.025 | 0.149*** | 0.043*** | 0.192*** |
| (0.337) | (4.232) | (2.642) | (4.962) | (0.390) | (4.180) | (2.703) | (5.037) | |
| Growth | 0.017*** | 0.018*** | 0.003*** | 0.017*** | 0.017*** | 0.018*** | 0.003*** | 0.017*** |
| (3.356) | (5.442) | (2.672) | (5.341) | (3.374) | (5.443) | (2.679) | (5.434) | |
| Duality | 0.010 | 0.005 | 0.005** | 0.008* | 0.010 | 0.005 | 0.005** | 0.008* |
| (1.332) | (1.178) | (2.494) | (1.702) | (1.286) | (1.197) | (2.441) | (1.697) | |
| Independence | 0.037 | 0.054* | 0.020 | 0.068** | 0.031 | 0.055* | 0.018 | 0.067** |
| (0.661) | (1.748) | (1.421) | (2.101) | (0.560) | (1.745) | (1.303) | (2.105) | |
| Female | −0.015 | 0.022 | 0.006 | 0.034* | −0.016 | 0.021 | 0.006 | 0.033* |
| (−0.500) | (1.274) | (0.814) | (1.936) | (−0.507) | (1.253) | (0.772) | (1.940) | |
| Loss | 0.011 | −0.018** | 0.006* | −0.013* | 0.011 | −0.017** | 0.006** | −0.013* |
| (0.826) | (−2.454) | (1.944) | (−1.704) | (0.853) | (−2.395) | (1.965) | (−1.775) | |
| TotalAccruals | 0.148*** | 0.025 | 0.025** | 0.012 | 0.146*** | 0.027 | 0.024** | 0.010 |
| (3.642) | (0.925) | (2.445) | (0.464) | (3.606) | (0.996) | (2.397) | (0.429) | |
| TMT_Age | −0.320*** | −0.111*** | −0.103*** | −0.144*** | −0.324*** | −0.116*** | −0.104*** | −0.140*** |
| (−7.519) | (−2.966) | (−9.684) | (−3.080) | (−7.594) | (−3.042) | (−9.792) | (−3.207) | |
| TMT_Foreign | 0.187*** | 0.076*** | 0.066*** | 0.102*** | 0.184*** | 0.079*** | 0.065*** | 0.099*** |
| (6.353) | (3.081) | (8.937) | (3.204) | (6.254) | (3.151) | (8.813) | (3.339) | |
| TMT_Academic | 0.121*** | 0.037** | 0.034*** | 0.044** | 0.117*** | 0.039** | 0.033*** | 0.042** |
| (4.956) | (2.084) | (5.574) | (2.232) | (4.788) | (2.155) | (5.391) | (2.269) | |
| _cons | 1.071*** | 0.171 | 0.434*** | 0.391** | 1.073*** | 0.186 | 0.436*** | 0.373** |
| (6.135) | (1.242) | (9.939) | (1.987) | (6.143) | (1.333) | (9.973) | (2.035) | |
| Year fixed effects? | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry fixed effects? | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| First-stage Cragg and Donald test | p = 0.0000 | / | p = 0.0000 | / | p = 0.0000 | / | p = 0.0000 | / |
| Minimum eigenvalue statistic | 33.0874 | / | 30.3976 | / | 33.0074 | / | 35.9147 | / |
| Wald χ2 | / | 825.4 | / | 806.51 | / | 803.1 | / | 824.31 |
| Adjusted R2 | 0.073 | / | 0.072 | / | 0.073 | / | 0.072 | / |
| No. of obs | 18,429 | 18,429 | 18,429 | 18,429 | 18,429 | 18,429 | 18,429 | 18,429 |
| The first IV | The second IV | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial_D | ETR1 | Financial_Ratio | ETR1 | Financial_D | ETR1 | Financial_Ratio | ETR1 | |
| First stage | Second stage | First stage | Second stage | First stage | Second stage | First stage | Second stage | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | |
| −0.298*** | −1.244*** | −0.313*** | −1.201*** | |||||
| (−3.102) | (−3.066) | (−3.208) | (−3.250) | |||||
| 0.478*** | 0.115*** | |||||||
| (5.752) | (5.513) | |||||||
| 0.692*** | 0.180*** | |||||||
| (5.745) | (5.993) | |||||||
| −0.101*** | −0.027** | −0.020*** | −0.022** | −0.103*** | −0.029*** | −0.020*** | −0.021** | |
| (−13.066) | (−2.560) | (−10.248) | (−2.377) | (−13.257) | (−2.662) | (−10.448) | (−2.458) | |
| 0.017*** | 0.017*** | −0.002** | 0.010*** | 0.017*** | 0.017*** | −0.002** | 0.010*** | |
| (5.766) | (7.150) | (−2.062) | (5.776) | (5.769) | (7.155) | (−2.086) | (5.911) | |
| 0.006 | 0.000 | 0.007*** | 0.007* | 0.006 | 0.001 | 0.007*** | 0.007** | |
| (1.460) | (0.198) | (6.513) | (1.940) | (1.429) | (0.237) | (6.466) | (1.969) | |
| −0.132*** | −0.015 | −0.015 | 0.006 | −0.128*** | −0.017 | −0.014 | 0.007 | |
| (−3.512) | (−0.631) | (−1.559) | (0.280) | (−3.415) | (−0.698) | (−1.477) | (0.309) | |
| 0.006 | 0.031*** | −0.003 | 0.026** | 0.008 | 0.031*** | −0.002 | 0.026** | |
| (0.337) | (3.059) | (−0.605) | (2.467) | (0.449) | (3.014) | (−0.454) | (2.518) | |
| −1.259*** | −1.043*** | −0.427*** | −1.198*** | −1.278*** | −1.061*** | −0.433*** | −1.180*** | |
| (−5.644) | (−6.157) | (−7.646) | (−5.723) | (−5.725) | (−6.171) | (−7.751) | (−6.000) | |
| 0.021 | 0.148*** | 0.042*** | 0.194*** | 0.025 | 0.149*** | 0.043*** | 0.192*** | |
| (0.337) | (4.232) | (2.642) | (4.962) | (0.390) | (4.180) | (2.703) | (5.037) | |
| 0.017*** | 0.018*** | 0.003*** | 0.017*** | 0.017*** | 0.018*** | 0.003*** | 0.017*** | |
| (3.356) | (5.442) | (2.672) | (5.341) | (3.374) | (5.443) | (2.679) | (5.434) | |
| 0.010 | 0.005 | 0.005** | 0.008* | 0.010 | 0.005 | 0.005** | 0.008* | |
| (1.332) | (1.178) | (2.494) | (1.702) | (1.286) | (1.197) | (2.441) | (1.697) | |
| 0.037 | 0.054* | 0.020 | 0.068** | 0.031 | 0.055* | 0.018 | 0.067** | |
| (0.661) | (1.748) | (1.421) | (2.101) | (0.560) | (1.745) | (1.303) | (2.105) | |
| −0.015 | 0.022 | 0.006 | 0.034* | −0.016 | 0.021 | 0.006 | 0.033* | |
| (−0.500) | (1.274) | (0.814) | (1.936) | (−0.507) | (1.253) | (0.772) | (1.940) | |
| 0.011 | −0.018** | 0.006* | −0.013* | 0.011 | −0.017** | 0.006** | −0.013* | |
| (0.826) | (−2.454) | (1.944) | (−1.704) | (0.853) | (−2.395) | (1.965) | (−1.775) | |
| 0.148*** | 0.025 | 0.025** | 0.012 | 0.146*** | 0.027 | 0.024** | 0.010 | |
| (3.642) | (0.925) | (2.445) | (0.464) | (3.606) | (0.996) | (2.397) | (0.429) | |
| −0.320*** | −0.111*** | −0.103*** | −0.144*** | −0.324*** | −0.116*** | −0.104*** | −0.140*** | |
| (−7.519) | (−2.966) | (−9.684) | (−3.080) | (−7.594) | (−3.042) | (−9.792) | (−3.207) | |
| 0.187*** | 0.076*** | 0.066*** | 0.102*** | 0.184*** | 0.079*** | 0.065*** | 0.099*** | |
| (6.353) | (3.081) | (8.937) | (3.204) | (6.254) | (3.151) | (8.813) | (3.339) | |
| 0.121*** | 0.037** | 0.034*** | 0.044** | 0.117*** | 0.039** | 0.033*** | 0.042** | |
| (4.956) | (2.084) | (5.574) | (2.232) | (4.788) | (2.155) | (5.391) | (2.269) | |
| 1.071*** | 0.171 | 0.434*** | 0.391** | 1.073*** | 0.186 | 0.436*** | 0.373** | |
| (6.135) | (1.242) | (9.939) | (1.987) | (6.143) | (1.333) | (9.973) | (2.035) | |
| Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| / | / | / | / | |||||
| 33.0874 | / | 30.3976 | / | 33.0074 | / | 35.9147 | / | |
| / | 825.4 | / | 806.51 | / | 803.1 | / | 824.31 | |
| 0.073 | / | 0.072 | / | 0.073 | / | 0.072 | / | |
| 18,429 | 18,429 | 18,429 | 18,429 | 18,429 | 18,429 | 18,429 | 18,429 | |
Note(s): This table reports the results of the IV-2SLS estimation examining the effect of financially experienced top executives on corporate tax avoidance. We construct two province-level instruments: (1) Percentage_FinancialCEO_Province, defined as the proportion of CEOs with prior financial institution experience among all CEOs in the same province in the preceding year, excluding the focal firm; and (2) Percentage_FinancialExe_Province, calculated as the ratio of financially experienced top executives to all top executives in other firms within the same province in the prior year. All models control for industry- and year-level fixed effects. All control variables are lagged by one year except for Growth and Loss. ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively