Some recent historical extreme weather events
| Event | Description | Event damages | FAR | Growth rate, (decimal) | Return period, (years) | Firm event liability, | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 Russian heatwave | Warmest July since records began. Return period reduced from 99 years (1960s) to 33 years (Otto et al., 2012) | $15bln | 33 | $0.10bln | 0.05% | ||
| 2011 Thailand flooding | Worst flooding in past 50 years (EM-DAT, n.d., Promchote et al., 2016; Rayer et al., 2021) | $52bln | 0.575 | 15 | $1.6bln | 0.8% | |
| 2015–2017 South African drought | Western Cape drought and possible Cape Town “day zero” (EM-DAT, n.d., Otto et al., 2018b) | $1.74bln | 0.70 | 100 | $0.004bln | 0.002% | |
| 2017 hurricane season including hurricane Harvey | Flooding. Precipitation intensities increased from 1-in-100-year events (late twentieth century) to 1-in-16-year events (Emanuel, 2017) | $265bln | 16 | $6.6bln | 3% | ||
| 2020 Siberian heatwave | Verkhoyansk June temperature of 38 °C (Sakha Republic, Russia) Probability increased at least 600-fold (Ciavarella et al., 2021). Damage based on Sakha Republic permafrost degradation (Streletskiy et al., 2019) | $21.3bln | 0.018 | 130 | $0.046bln | 0.02% | |
| 2022 hurricane Ian | Charlotte and Lee Counties (Florida) and North Carolina, USA, 28 August to 2 October (NOAA, 2023). Attribution estimated from 2017 hurricane season | $115bln | 0.84 | 0.027 | 16 | $2.9bln | 1% |
| 2023 Mediterranean heat dome | July Mediterranean extreme heat. Probability increased at least 1000-fold (Zachariah et al., 2023). Estimated GDP percentage country costs: Greece 0.9pp, Spain 1.0pp, Italy 0.5pp, and France 0.1pp (Subran et al., 2023) 2022 GDP figures (World Bank, n.d.) imply $29bn damages | $29bln | 10 | $0.78bln | 0.4% | ||
| 2023 US heat dome | July southern USA heatwave. Probability increased at least 1000-fold (Zachariah et al., 2023). Estimated costs of 0.3pp of US GDP (Subran et al., 2023) 2022 GDP figures (World Bank, n.d.) imply $76bn damages | $76bln | 15 | $1.4bln | 0.7% |
| Event | Description | Event damages | FAR | Growth rate, | Return period, | Firm event liability, | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 Russian heatwave | Warmest July since records began. Return period reduced from 99 years (1960s) to 33 years ( | $15bln | 33 | $0.10bln | 0.05% | ||
| 2011 Thailand flooding | Worst flooding in past 50 years ( | $52bln | 0.575 | 15 | $1.6bln | 0.8% | |
| 2015–2017 South African drought | Western Cape drought and possible Cape Town “day zero” ( | $1.74bln | 0.70 | 100 | $0.004bln | 0.002% | |
| 2017 hurricane season including hurricane Harvey | Flooding. Precipitation intensities increased from 1-in-100-year events (late twentieth century) to 1-in-16-year events ( | $265bln | 16 | $6.6bln | 3% | ||
| 2020 Siberian heatwave | Verkhoyansk June temperature of 38 °C (Sakha Republic, Russia) | $21.3bln | 0.018 | 130 | $0.046bln | 0.02% | |
| 2022 hurricane Ian | Charlotte and Lee Counties (Florida) and North Carolina, USA, 28 August to 2 October ( | $115bln | 0.84 | 0.027 | 16 | $2.9bln | 1% |
| 2023 Mediterranean heat dome | July Mediterranean extreme heat. Probability increased at least 1000-fold ( | $29bln | 10 | $0.78bln | 0.4% | ||
| 2023 US heat dome | July southern USA heatwave. Probability increased at least 1000-fold ( | $76bln | 15 | $1.4bln | 0.7% |