Test of Hypothesis 2: Do analysts incorporate ASC 606 changes in their earnings forecasts?
| PSM-matched sample | Full sample | |
|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | |
| Dependent variable = | AbsAFE | AbsAFE |
| Treat | −0.001* | |
| (−1.702) | ||
| Post | −0.001* | 0.001*** |
| (−1.958) | (3.402) | |
| Treat × Post | 0.003*** | |
| (3.195) | ||
| ASC606ImpactMagnitude | −0.002 | |
| (−0.335) | ||
| Post × ASC606ImpactMagnitude | 0.018* | |
| (1.769) | ||
| LogMVE | −0.002*** | −0.002*** |
| (−8.647) | (−17.571) | |
| MarketToBook | −0.000 | −0.000*** |
| (−1.502) | (−3.633) | |
| LogAnalystFollowing | −0.000 | −0.000 |
| (−0.208) | (−0.741) | |
| Loss | 0.001* | 0.004*** |
| (1.740) | (13.770) | |
| Constant | 0.023*** | 0.020*** |
| (7.459) | (10.941) | |
| Observations | 1,681 | 9,611 |
| R-squared | 0.169 | 0.184 |
| Industry FE | Yes | Yes |
| PSM-matched sample | Full sample | |
|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | |
| Dependent variable = | ||
| −0.001* | ||
| (−1.702) | ||
| −0.001* | 0.001*** | |
| (−1.958) | (3.402) | |
| 0.003*** | ||
| (3.195) | ||
| −0.002 | ||
| (−0.335) | ||
| 0.018* | ||
| (1.769) | ||
| −0.002*** | −0.002*** | |
| (−8.647) | (−17.571) | |
| −0.000 | −0.000*** | |
| (−1.502) | (−3.633) | |
| −0.000 | −0.000 | |
| (−0.208) | (−0.741) | |
| 0.001* | 0.004*** | |
| (1.740) | (13.770) | |
| Constant | 0.023*** | 0.020*** |
| (7.459) | (10.941) | |
| Observations | 1,681 | 9,611 |
| 0.169 | 0.184 | |
| Industry FE | Yes | Yes |
Note(s): This table shows the results of a test of Hypothesis 2 using OLS regressions. The dependent variable, AbsAFE, is the absolute value of the median analyst forecast error for the period of ASC 606 adoption. Column 1 includes a propensity-score matched sample, matched on the treatment effect, which is an indicator equal to one if ASC 606 had a material impact on the firm’s net income in the period of adoption. The matching is done for all covariates in the analysis. Column 2 does not use a PSM sample and instead uses a continuous treatment variable, ASC606ImpactMagnitude. Each regression includes a sample of treatment and control firms for five quarters: Q1 2017–Q1 2018. Post = 1 for Q1 2018, the period of adoption of ASC 606. Each specification includes SIC 2-digit industry fixed effects. Variables are defined in Appendix A. Robust t-statistics are in parenthesis, with statistical significance denoted as ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1
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