Probit model estimation
| Total sample | Fewer than 10 employees | Over 10 employees | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |||||
| Variable | Coefficient | p-value | Coefficient | p-value | Coefficient | p-value | Coefficient | p-value |
| Constant | −2.263 | 0.000 | −3.284 | 0.000 | −1.721 | 0.000 | −2.682 | 0.000 |
| Persistence (Y in t−1) | 1.596 | 0.000 | 1.594 | 0.000 | 1.707 | 0.000 | 1.531 | 0.000 |
| Firms’ characteristics | ||||||||
| Micro firms (1) | −0.100 | 0.000 | −0.097 | 0.000 | – | – | – | – |
| Age | −0.020 | 0.000 | −0.020 | 0.000 | −0.044 | 0.000 | −0.010 | 0.000 |
| Age squared | 1.15E−04 | 0.000 | 1.16E−04 | 0.000 | 3.62E−04 | 0.000 | 4.90E−05 | 0.000 |
| Size | 0.201 | 0.000 | 0.202 | 0.000 | 0.007 | 0.268 | 0.265 | 0.000 |
| Productivity | 0.127 | 0.000 | 0.130 | 0.000 | 0.130 | 0.000 | 0.114 | 0.000 |
| Debt | 0.004 | 0.475 | 0.051 | 0.398 | 0.161 | 0.000 | −0.021 | 0.026 |
| Debt squared | −2.43E−05 | 0.598 | −2.86E−05 | 0.536 | −0.011 | 0.014 | 1.54E−04 | 0.010 |
| ROE | 0.069 | 0.000 | 0.068 | 0.000 | 0.060 | 0.000 | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| Technology (2) | ||||||||
| Non-technological | −0.247 | 0.000 | −0.248 | 0.000 | −0.398 | 0.000 | −0.163 | 0.000 |
| Medium-high | −0.210 | 0.000 | −0.207 | 0.000 | −0.443 | 0.000 | −0.109 | 0.003 |
| High | −0.053 | 0.227 | −0.050 | 0.258 | −0.250 | 0.014 | 0.028 | 0.582 |
| Productive sector (3) | ||||||||
| Manufacturing | 0.177 | 0.000 | 0.177 | 0.000 | 0.296 | 0.000 | 0.085 | 0.000 |
| Energy | 0.109 | 0.000 | 0.120 | 0.000 | 0.212 | 0.000 | 0.042 | 0.169 |
| Construction | 0.358 | 0.000 | 0.360 | 0.000 | 0.438 | 0.000 | 0.258 | 0.000 |
| Transportation | 0.288 | 0.000 | 0.291 | 0.000 | 0.336 | 0.000 | 0.218 | 0.000 |
| Hospitality | 0.272 | 0.000 | 0.272 | 0.000 | 0.458 | 0.000 | 0.088 | 0.000 |
| Communications | 0.162 | 0.000 | 0.160 | 0.000 | 0.060 | 0.293 | 0.172 | 0.000 |
| Business services | 0.207 | 0.000 | 0.207 | 0.000 | 0.142 | 0.000 | 0.252 | 0.000 |
| Education | 0.185 | 0.000 | 0.172 | 0.000 | 0.385 | 0.000 | 0.112 | 0.000 |
| Health | 0.203 | 0.000 | 0.200 | 0.000 | 0.103 | 0.000 | 0.229 | 0.000 |
| Other services | 0.234 | 0.000 | 0.228 | 0.000 | 0.226 | 0.000 | 0.228 | 0.000 |
| Localisation | ||||||||
| GCI | – | – | 0.049 | 0.075 | – | – | – | – |
| HCI | – | – | 0.011 | 0.006 | – | – | – | – |
| Control variable | ||||||||
| Country dummies | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | ||||
| Number of observations | 602,604 | 602,604 | 420,961 | 181,643 | ||||
| Log likelihood | −1,26,066.20 | −1,26,100.80 | −55,568.78 | −68,095.20 | ||||
| McFadden R-squared | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.34 | ||||
| Prediction R-squared | 92.13 | 92.15 | 95.70 | 84.00 | ||||
| Total sample | Fewer than 10 employees | Over 10 employees | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |||||
| Variable | Coefficient | Coefficient | Coefficient | Coefficient | ||||
| Constant | −2.263 | −3.284 | −1.721 | −2.682 | ||||
| Persistence (Y in t−1) | 1.596 | 1.594 | 1.707 | 1.531 | ||||
| Micro firms (1) | −0.097 | – | – | – | – | |||
| Age | −0.020 | −0.020 | −0.044 | −0.010 | ||||
| Age squared | 1.15E−04 | 1.16E−04 | 3.62E−04 | 4.90E−05 | ||||
| Size | 0.201 | 0.202 | 0.007 | 0.265 | ||||
| Productivity | 0.127 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.114 | ||||
| Debt | 0.004 | 0.051 | 0.161 | −0.021 | ||||
| Debt squared | −2.43E−05 | −2.86E−05 | −0.011 | 1.54E−04 | ||||
| ROE | 0.069 | 0.068 | 0.060 | 0.058 | ||||
| Non-technological | −0.247 | −0.248 | −0.398 | −0.163 | ||||
| Medium-high | −0.210 | −0.207 | −0.443 | −0.109 | ||||
| High | −0.053 | −0.050 | −0.250 | 0.028 | ||||
| Manufacturing | 0.177 | 0.177 | 0.296 | 0.085 | ||||
| Energy | 0.109 | 0.120 | 0.212 | 0.042 | ||||
| Construction | 0.358 | 0.360 | 0.438 | 0.258 | ||||
| Transportation | 0.288 | 0.291 | 0.336 | 0.218 | ||||
| Hospitality | 0.272 | 0.272 | 0.458 | 0.088 | ||||
| Communications | 0.162 | 0.160 | 0.060 | 0.172 | ||||
| Business services | 0.207 | 0.207 | 0.142 | 0.252 | ||||
| Education | 0.185 | 0.172 | 0.385 | 0.112 | ||||
| Health | 0.203 | 0.200 | 0.103 | 0.229 | ||||
| Other services | 0.234 | 0.228 | 0.226 | 0.228 | ||||
| – | 0.049 | |||||||
| 0.011 | ||||||||
| Country dummies | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | ||||
| Number of observations | 602,604 | 602,604 | 420,961 | 181,643 | ||||
| Log likelihood | −1,26,066.20 | −1,26,100.80 | −55,568.78 | −68,095.20 | ||||
| McFadden | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.34 | ||||
| Prediction | 92.13 | 92.15 | 95.70 | 84.00 | ||||
Note(s): The endogenous variable is a dichotomous variable that takes the value of 1 if it is a high-growth firm and 0 otherwise
Reference categories: (1) Firms with over ten employees, (2) High technology and (3) Commerce The productivity variable is logarithmic
Source(s): Compiled by the authors
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