Multinomial logit model results and marginal effects by age cohort (reference give business to family) (N = 471)
| 55 and over cohort (n = 123) | 54 and under cohort (n = 348) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exit intention | Coeff | Std. err | Marginal effects | Coeff | Std. err | Marginal effects | |
| Sell to family | |||||||
| SEW | −0.19 | 0.42 | 0.006 | −0.49*** | 0.19 | −0.024 | |
| Rural | −0.90 | 1.08 | −0.026 | 0.84*** | 0.35 | 0.132 | |
| Family ownership | 1.35 | 1.01 | 0.051 | 0.76 | 0.49 | 0.118 | |
| Female owner | −0.08 | 0.97 | 0.001 | −1.21*** | 0.38 | −0.133 | |
| BIPOC owner | −0.74 | 1.16 | 0.007 | 0.39 | 0.33 | 0.080 | |
| Business age | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.000 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.000 | |
| Sole proprietorship | −1.69** | 0.85 | −0.050 | −0.96*** | 0.34 | −0.121 | |
| Ln business income | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.003 | −0.10 | 0.06 | −0.011 | |
| Employees | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.001 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.001 | |
| Wholesale | 1.20 | 0.91 | 0.045 | −0.06 | 0.41 | 0.023 | |
| Production | 0.35 | 0.84 | 0.016 | −0.58 | 0.46 | −0.010 | |
| Constant | −1.63 | 3.92 | 2.80** | 1.30 | |||
| Sell to outsider | |||||||
| SEW | −0.27 | 0.21 | 0.006 | −0.74*** | 0.16 | −0.098 | |
| Rural | −2.85* | 1.69 | −0.170 | −0.64* | 0.38 | −0.129 | |
| Family ownership | 0.91 | 0.77 | 0.058 | −0.41 | 0.35 | −0.079 | |
| Female owner | −0.93 | 0.73 | −0.055 | −0.30 | 0.35 | −0.010 | |
| BIPOC owner | −1.43 | 0.90 | −0.033 | −0.30 | 0.33 | −0.030 | |
| Business age | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.000 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.003 | |
| Sole proprietorship | −0.93 | 0.77 | −0.035 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.023 | |
| Ln business income | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.008 | −0.03 | 0.07 | −0.003 | |
| Employees | −0.06** | 0.03 | −0.003 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.001 | |
| Wholesale | 0.34 | 0.96 | 0.020 | −0.70* | 0.38 | −0.111 | |
| Production | 1.66 | 1.12 | 0.112 | −1.26*** | 0.43 | −0.177 | |
| Constant | 0.34 | 2.47 | 4.60*** | 1.16 | |||
| Liquidate | |||||||
| SEW | −0.62*** | 0.19 | −0.140 | −0.92*** | 0.18 | −0.051 | |
| Rural | −0.03 | 0.48 | 0.111 | −0.73* | 0.39 | −0.054 | |
| Family ownership | −0.16 | 0.52 | −0.101 | −1.01** | 0.43 | −0.080 | |
| Female owner | −0.06 | 0.50 | 0.019 | −0.25 | 0.41 | 0.001 | |
| BIPOC owner | −1.51** | 0.77 | −0.309 | −1.84*** | 0.49 | −0.143 | |
| Business age | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.002 | −0.03 | 0.02 | −0.002 | |
| Sole proprietorship | −0.49 | 0.50 | −0.053 | 0.42 | 0.39 | 0.045 | |
| Ln business income | −0.08 | 0.10 | −0.024 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 0.002 | |
| Employees | −0.02 | 0.03 | −0.004 | −0.04* | 0.02 | −0.003 | |
| Wholesale | −0.08 | 0.62 | −0.057 | −0.62 | 0.43 | −0.034 | |
| Production | −0.35 | 0.81 | −0.153 | −1.50*** | 0.55 | −0.086 | |
| Constant | 4.79*** | 1.65 | 5.92*** | 1.47 | |||
| Model fit statistics | |||||||
| Wald Chi2/Sig | 73.36/0.00 | 145.57/0.00 | |||||
| Psuedo R2 | 0.20 | 0.20 | |||||
| AIC | 295.92 | 775.04 | |||||
| Hosmer–Lemeshow | 14.08/0.72 | 23.34/0.18 | |||||
| 55 and over cohort ( | 54 and under cohort ( | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exit intention | Coeff | Std. err | Marginal effects | Coeff | Std. err | Marginal effects | |
| SEW | −0.19 | 0.42 | 0.006 | −0.49*** | 0.19 | −0.024 | |
| Rural | −0.90 | 1.08 | −0.026 | 0.84*** | 0.35 | 0.132 | |
| Family ownership | 1.35 | 1.01 | 0.051 | 0.76 | 0.49 | 0.118 | |
| Female owner | −0.08 | 0.97 | 0.001 | −1.21*** | 0.38 | −0.133 | |
| BIPOC owner | −0.74 | 1.16 | 0.007 | 0.39 | 0.33 | 0.080 | |
| Business age | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.000 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.000 | |
| Sole proprietorship | −1.69** | 0.85 | −0.050 | −0.96*** | 0.34 | −0.121 | |
| Ln business income | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.003 | −0.10 | 0.06 | −0.011 | |
| Employees | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.001 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.001 | |
| Wholesale | 1.20 | 0.91 | 0.045 | −0.06 | 0.41 | 0.023 | |
| Production | 0.35 | 0.84 | 0.016 | −0.58 | 0.46 | −0.010 | |
| Constant | −1.63 | 3.92 | 2.80** | 1.30 | |||
| SEW | −0.27 | 0.21 | 0.006 | −0.74*** | 0.16 | −0.098 | |
| Rural | −2.85* | 1.69 | −0.170 | −0.64* | 0.38 | −0.129 | |
| Family ownership | 0.91 | 0.77 | 0.058 | −0.41 | 0.35 | −0.079 | |
| Female owner | −0.93 | 0.73 | −0.055 | −0.30 | 0.35 | −0.010 | |
| BIPOC owner | −1.43 | 0.90 | −0.033 | −0.30 | 0.33 | −0.030 | |
| Business age | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.000 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.003 | |
| Sole proprietorship | −0.93 | 0.77 | −0.035 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.023 | |
| Ln business income | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.008 | −0.03 | 0.07 | −0.003 | |
| Employees | −0.06** | 0.03 | −0.003 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.001 | |
| Wholesale | 0.34 | 0.96 | 0.020 | −0.70* | 0.38 | −0.111 | |
| Production | 1.66 | 1.12 | 0.112 | −1.26*** | 0.43 | −0.177 | |
| Constant | 0.34 | 2.47 | 4.60*** | 1.16 | |||
| SEW | −0.62*** | 0.19 | −0.140 | −0.92*** | 0.18 | −0.051 | |
| Rural | −0.03 | 0.48 | 0.111 | −0.73* | 0.39 | −0.054 | |
| Family ownership | −0.16 | 0.52 | −0.101 | −1.01** | 0.43 | −0.080 | |
| Female owner | −0.06 | 0.50 | 0.019 | −0.25 | 0.41 | 0.001 | |
| BIPOC owner | −1.51** | 0.77 | −0.309 | −1.84*** | 0.49 | −0.143 | |
| Business age | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.002 | −0.03 | 0.02 | −0.002 | |
| Sole proprietorship | −0.49 | 0.50 | −0.053 | 0.42 | 0.39 | 0.045 | |
| Ln business income | −0.08 | 0.10 | −0.024 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 0.002 | |
| Employees | −0.02 | 0.03 | −0.004 | −0.04* | 0.02 | −0.003 | |
| Wholesale | −0.08 | 0.62 | −0.057 | −0.62 | 0.43 | −0.034 | |
| Production | −0.35 | 0.81 | −0.153 | −1.50*** | 0.55 | −0.086 | |
| Constant | 4.79*** | 1.65 | 5.92*** | 1.47 | |||
| Wald Chi2/Sig | 73.36/0.00 | 145.57/0.00 | |||||
| Psuedo | 0.20 | 0.20 | |||||
| AIC | 295.92 | 775.04 | |||||
| Hosmer–Lemeshow | 14.08/0.72 | 23.34/0.18 | |||||
Note(s): *p < 0.10; **p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01. Robust standard errors. Production includes agriculture, mining, construction, manufacturing; Wholesale includes wholesale trade and food services; Services (reference) includes trade professions such as finance, education, healthcare, and entertainment. Rural: remote area and/or town less than 10,000 people
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