Main methods results
| Method | Accuracy | Specificity | Precision | Recall | F1-score | AUC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel A – Unbalanced data set: financial ratios as input variables (15 features) | ||||||
| RF | 0.90 | 0.96 | 0.90 | 0.75 | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| GBT | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0.83 | 0.93 |
| DT | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.83 | 0.78 | 0.80 | 0.91 |
| LR | 0.77 | 0.73 | 0.74 | 0.80 | 0.77 | 0.85 |
| SVM | 0.73 | 0.77 | 0.74 | 0.68 | 0.70 | N.A.[2] |
| Panel B – Unbalanced data set: raw data of financial ratios as input variables (45 features) | ||||||
| RF | 0.94 | 0.95 | 0.94 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 0.98 |
| GBT | 0.93 | 0.95 | 0.93 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 0.98 |
| DT | 0.91 | 0.93 | 0.90 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.96 |
| LR | 0.82 | 0.96 | 0.92 | 0.59 | 0.71 | 0.90 |
| SVM | 0.76 | 0.96 | 0.92 | 0.45 | 0.58 | N.A. |
| Panel C – Unbalanced data set: raw data as input variables (215 features) | ||||||
| RF | 0.98 | 0.99 | 0.98 | 0.90 | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| GBT | 0.97 | 0.98 | 0.97 | 0.89 | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| DT | 0.96 | 0.99 | 0.89 | 0.77 | 0.83 | 0.97 |
| LR | 0.90 | 0.97 | 0.93 | 0.72 | 0.80 | 0.94 |
| SVM | 0.88 | 0.97 | 0.93 | 0.62 | 0.73 | N.A. |
| Method | Accuracy | Specificity | Precision | Recall | F1-score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 0.82 | |||||
| 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.84 | 0.93 | |||
| 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.83 | 0.78 | 0.80 | 0.91 | |
| 0.77 | 0.73 | 0.74 | 0.80 | 0.77 | 0.85 | |
| 0.73 | 0.77 | 0.74 | 0.68 | 0.70 | N.A. | |
| 0.95 | ||||||
| 0.93 | 0.95 | 0.93 | 0.89 | 0.91 | ||
| 0.91 | 0.93 | 0.90 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.96 | |
| 0.82 | 0.92 | 0.59 | 0.71 | 0.90 | ||
| 0.76 | 0.92 | 0.45 | 0.58 | N.A. | ||
| 0.97 | 0.98 | 0.97 | 0.89 | 0.92 | ||
| 0.96 | 0.89 | 0.77 | 0.83 | 0.97 | ||
| 0.90 | 0.97 | 0.93 | 0.72 | 0.80 | 0.94 | |
| 0.88 | 0.97 | 0.93 | 0.62 | 0.73 | N.A. | |
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