Out-of-sample validation after SMOTE application
| Method | Accuracy | Specificity | Precision | Recall | F1-score | AUC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel A – SMOTE oversampling: financial ratios as input variables (15 features) – Out of sample validation | ||||||
| RF | 0.85 | 0.87 | 0.78 | 0.82 | 0.80 | 0.92 |
| GBT | 0.80 | 0.77 | 0.68 | 0.87 | 0.76 | 0.91 |
| DT | 0.81 | 0.83 | 0.60 | 0.76 | 0.67 | 0.89 |
| LR | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.95 | 0.58 | 0.85 |
| SVM | 0.45 | 0.16 | 0.39 | 0.96 | 0.56 | N.A. |
| Panel B – SMOTE oversampling raw data of financial ratios as input variables (45 features) – Out of sample Validation | ||||||
| RF | 0.91 | 0.89 | 0.82 | 0.94 | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| GBT | 0.87 | 0.84 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 0.83 | 0.96 |
| DT | 0.86 | 0.84 | 0.75 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| LR | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.71 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.87 |
| SVM | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.67 | 0.77 | 0.72 | N.A. |
| Panel C – SMOTE oversampling: raw data as input variables (215 features) – Out of sample Validation | ||||||
| RF | 0.97 | 0.98 | 0.86 | 0.94 | 0.90 | 0.99 |
| GBT | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.73 | 0.92 | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| DT | 0.96 | 0.95 | 0.98 | 0.96 | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| LR | 0.94 | 0.95 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 0.79 | 0.96 |
| SVM | 0.94 | 0.95 | 0.69 | 0.87 | 0.77 | N.A. |
| Method | Accuracy | Specificity | Precision | Recall | F1-score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | 0.87 | 0.78 | 0.82 | 0.80 | 0.92 | |
| 0.80 | 0.77 | 0.68 | 0.87 | 0.76 | 0.91 | |
| 0.81 | 0.83 | 0.60 | 0.76 | 0.67 | 0.89 | |
| 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.95 | 0.58 | 0.85 | |
| 0.45 | 0.16 | 0.39 | 0.96 | 0.56 | N.A. | |
| 0.91 | 0.89 | 0.82 | 0.94 | 0.88 | 0.97 | |
| 0.87 | 0.84 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 0.83 | 0.96 | |
| 0.86 | 0.84 | 0.75 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.94 | |
| 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.71 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.87 | |
| 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.67 | 0.77 | 0.72 | N.A. | |
| 0.97 | 0.98 | 0.86 | 0.94 | 0.90 | 0.99 | |
| 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.73 | 0.92 | 0.82 | 0.99 | |
| 0.96 | 0.95 | 0.98 | 0.96 | 0.97 | 0.99 | |
| 0.94 | 0.95 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 0.79 | 0.96 | |
| 0.94 | 0.95 | 0.69 | 0.87 | 0.77 | N.A. | |
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