Table 5.

Out-of-sample validation after SMOTE application

MethodAccuracySpecificityPrecisionRecallF1-scoreAUC
Panel A – SMOTE oversampling: financial ratios as input variables (15 features) – Out of sample validation
RF0.850.870.780.820.800.92
GBT0.800.770.680.870.760.91
DT0.810.830.600.760.670.89
LR0.500.250.410.950.580.85
SVM0.450.160.390.960.56N.A.
Panel B – SMOTE oversampling raw data of financial ratios as input variables (45 features) – Out of sample Validation
RF0.910.890.820.940.880.97
GBT0.870.840.750.930.830.96
DT0.860.840.750.880.810.94
LR0.820.820.710.810.760.87
SVM0.790.800.670.770.72N.A.
Panel C – SMOTE oversampling: raw data as input variables (215 features) – Out of sample Validation
RF0.970.980.860.940.900.99
GBT0.970.970.730.920.820.99
DT0.960.950.980.960.970.99
LR0.940.950.700.900.790.96
SVM0.940.950.690.870.77N.A.

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