Table 9

Summary of behaviour of different assets in short- and long-term period

Asset: Net spilloverStable conditionsShort-term role (1-5 Days)Long-term role
Bitcoin
−6,16
Hedging behaviour. Conditional diversifier. Speculative assetNet receiver of shocks: safe haven roleHigher volatility: speculative asset. Can also play a hedging role
Gold
−10,69
Dual role as hedge and safe haven due to moderate connectedness and negative net spillover. Can be used as a diversifier to reduce overall portfolio volatilityStrong safe-haven, absorbing shocks effectivelyHedging behaviour: Stable store of value
Decoupling from other assets over time
WTI (Oil)
−11,81
Cyclical risk receiver and transmitterNet receiver; driven by demand/supply shocksAdjust portfolios to mitigate risks associated with WTI
SP500
+11,36
Risk Amplifier (High TO: 70.21%) drives returns but increases riskNet transmitter; drives global equity contagionEssential but high-risk equity exposure
DAX/CAC
+19,91/+22,45: higher spillover transmitter
Risk amplifiers, driving returns but increasing exposure. Limited diversification potentialNet transmitter: regional shock amplifiers. Highly sensitive to European market conditions
Risky in downturns
Persistent amplifiers, sustaining risk transmission. Requires diversification to mitigate spillovers
FTSE
+3,36
Risk amplifierVolatile, risk-reactivetransmits at lower intensity
FTSE.MIB
+13,77
Risk amplifier (high to: 84.17). Ties to European equity riskBehaves as a strong net transmitter: Pair FTSE.MIB with short-term hedges (Gold)High correlation with stocks necessitates proactive hedging strategies
Nikkei
−32,32
Moderate diversifierLow global spillovers. Safe-haven equityHedging behaviour
Wheat
−11,47
Diversifier with traditional assets, hedging behaviourIsolated (73.52% own variance); spikes during supply crisesLong-term inflation/food-security hedge
Gas
−9,92
Diversifier with traditional assets, hedging behaviourMinimal spillovers; short-term price volatilityEnergy market stabilizer

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