Summary of behaviour of different assets in short- and long-term period
| Asset: Net spillover | Stable conditions | Short-term role (1-5 Days) | Long-term role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin −6,16 | Hedging behaviour. Conditional diversifier. Speculative asset | Net receiver of shocks: safe haven role | Higher volatility: speculative asset. Can also play a hedging role |
| Gold −10,69 | Dual role as hedge and safe haven due to moderate connectedness and negative net spillover. Can be used as a diversifier to reduce overall portfolio volatility | Strong safe-haven, absorbing shocks effectively | Hedging behaviour: Stable store of value Decoupling from other assets over time |
| WTI (Oil) −11,81 | Cyclical risk receiver and transmitter | Net receiver; driven by demand/supply shocks | Adjust portfolios to mitigate risks associated with WTI |
| SP500 +11,36 | Risk Amplifier (High TO: 70.21%) drives returns but increases risk | Net transmitter; drives global equity contagion | Essential but high-risk equity exposure |
| DAX/CAC +19,91/+22,45: higher spillover transmitter | Risk amplifiers, driving returns but increasing exposure. Limited diversification potential | Net transmitter: regional shock amplifiers. Highly sensitive to European market conditions Risky in downturns | Persistent amplifiers, sustaining risk transmission. Requires diversification to mitigate spillovers |
| FTSE +3,36 | Risk amplifier | Volatile, risk-reactive | transmits at lower intensity |
| FTSE.MIB +13,77 | Risk amplifier (high to: 84.17). Ties to European equity risk | Behaves as a strong net transmitter: Pair FTSE.MIB with short-term hedges (Gold) | High correlation with stocks necessitates proactive hedging strategies |
| Nikkei −32,32 | Moderate diversifier | Low global spillovers. Safe-haven equity | Hedging behaviour |
| Wheat −11,47 | Diversifier with traditional assets, hedging behaviour | Isolated (73.52% own variance); spikes during supply crises | Long-term inflation/food-security hedge |
| Gas −9,92 | Diversifier with traditional assets, hedging behaviour | Minimal spillovers; short-term price volatility | Energy market stabilizer |
| Asset: Net spillover | Stable conditions | Short-term role (1-5 Days) | Long-term role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | Hedging behaviour. Conditional diversifier. Speculative asset | Net receiver of shocks: safe haven role | Higher volatility: speculative asset. Can also play a hedging role |
| Gold | Dual role as hedge and safe haven due to moderate connectedness and negative net spillover. Can be used as a diversifier to reduce overall portfolio volatility | Strong safe-haven, absorbing shocks effectively | Hedging behaviour: Stable store of value |
| WTI (Oil) | Cyclical risk receiver and transmitter | Net receiver; driven by demand/supply shocks | Adjust portfolios to mitigate risks associated with WTI |
| SP500 | Risk Amplifier (High TO: 70.21%) drives returns but increases risk | Net transmitter; drives global equity contagion | Essential but high-risk equity exposure |
| DAX/CAC | Risk amplifiers, driving returns but increasing exposure. Limited diversification potential | Net transmitter: regional shock amplifiers. Highly sensitive to European market conditions | Persistent amplifiers, sustaining risk transmission. Requires diversification to mitigate spillovers |
| FTSE | Risk amplifier | Volatile, risk-reactive | transmits at lower intensity |
| FTSE.MIB | Risk amplifier (high to: 84.17). Ties to European equity risk | Behaves as a strong net transmitter: Pair FTSE.MIB with short-term hedges (Gold) | High correlation with stocks necessitates proactive hedging strategies |
| Nikkei | Moderate diversifier | Low global spillovers. Safe-haven equity | Hedging behaviour |
| Wheat | Diversifier with traditional assets, hedging behaviour | Isolated (73.52% own variance); spikes during supply crises | Long-term inflation/food-security hedge |
| Gas | Diversifier with traditional assets, hedging behaviour | Minimal spillovers; short-term price volatility | Energy market stabilizer |
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