Export performance of selected products affected in Russia and Ukraine and growth in alternative markets
| Product category | Export change to Russia/Ukraine (2022–2024 vs 2017–2021) | Export change to rest of the world | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cut flowers | Strong contraction | Moderate expansion | Evidence consistent with market reorientation toward alternative destinations |
| Processed coffee products | Bilateral contraction | Significant expansion | Trade growth outside conflict markets suggests partial trade diversion |
| Preserved foods | Decline in Ukraine | Stable to moderate growth in other markets | Export resilience with possible diversification |
| Seafood products | Bilateral reduction | Expansion in global markets | Evidence consistent with reallocation of export flows |
| Agricultural processed goods | Moderate decline | Moderate growth | Partial compensation through broader market expansion |
| Product category | Export change to Russia/Ukraine (2022–2024 vs 2017–2021) | Export change to rest of the world | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cut flowers | Strong contraction | Moderate expansion | Evidence consistent with market reorientation toward alternative destinations |
| Processed coffee products | Bilateral contraction | Significant expansion | Trade growth outside conflict markets suggests partial trade diversion |
| Preserved foods | Decline in Ukraine | Stable to moderate growth in other markets | Export resilience with possible diversification |
| Seafood products | Bilateral reduction | Expansion in global markets | Evidence consistent with reallocation of export flows |
| Agricultural processed goods | Moderate decline | Moderate growth | Partial compensation through broader market expansion |
Export changes are calculated as the difference between the postconflict period (2022–2024) and the preconflict period (2017–2021). Positive values indicate export expansion, while negative values indicate contraction