VECM model
| Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D_LNZSCORE | D_ROE | D_LNPP | D_NEWFLENDER | D_NEWFBOR | D_PRO | |
| L._ce1 | −1.854*** | 0.188 | −0.627*** | 0.723 | 35.35 | 0.318 |
| (0.606) | (0.377) | (0.192) | (0.542) | (84.80) | (0.385) | |
| L._ce2 | −0.742*** | 0.249 | 0.133 | −0.155 | −21.27 | 0.344** |
| (0.262) | (0.163) | (0.0830) | (0.234) | (36.62) | (0.166) | |
| L._ce3 | −2.276 | 0.0239 | −2.136*** | 3.080** | 93.57 | 0.649 |
| (1.472) | (0.914) | (0.466) | (1.316) | (205.8) | (0.935) | |
| LD.LNZSCORE | 0.791* | 0.111 | 0.454*** | −0.932** | −32.42 | −0.141 |
| (0.434) | (0.270) | (0.138) | (0.388) | (60.69) | (0.276) | |
| L2D.LNZSCORE | 0.401 | −0.0501 | 0.143 | −0.785*** | 2.425 | 0.245 |
| (0.328) | (0.204) | (0.104) | (0.293) | (45.81) | (0.208) | |
| L3D.LNZSCORE | −0.0293 | −0.134 | 0.320*** | 0.299 | −90.70* | −0.129 |
| (0.347) | (0.215) | (0.110) | (0.310) | (48.47) | (0.220) | |
| LD.ROE | 1.652** | −0.159 | −0.272 | −0.166 | −24.57 | −1.277*** |
| (0.679) | (0.422) | (0.215) | (0.607) | (94.94) | (0.432) | |
| L2D.ROE | −0.653 | −1.064 | −1.107*** | −0.415 | 157.0 | −0.0989 |
| (1.069) | (0.664) | (0.339) | (0.956) | (149.4) | (0.679) | |
| L3D.ROE | −0.415 | 0.289 | −0.965*** | 1.568* | 196.2 | 0.243 |
| (1.037) | (0.645) | (0.329) | (0.928) | (145.1) | (0.659) | |
| LD.LNPP | −0.0856 | −0.514 | 0.950*** | −2.306*** | 108.8 | −1.058* |
| (0.967) | (0.601) | (0.306) | (0.865) | (135.2) | (0.615) | |
| L2D.LNPP | −0.425 | 0.0644 | 0.316 | −1.165* | 59.46 | −0.538 |
| (0.720) | (0.447) | (0.228) | (0.644) | (100.6) | (0.457) | |
| L3D.LNPP | −0.509 | 0.00385 | 0.371** | −0.763 | 68.60 | −0.158 |
| (0.588) | (0.366) | (0.186) | (0.526) | (82.27) | (0.374) | |
| LD.NEWFLENDER | −0.336 | −0.0887 | −0.241** | 0.0469 | 23.61 | 0.255 |
| (0.359) | (0.223) | (0.114) | (0.321) | (50.21) | (0.228) | |
| L2D.NEWFLENDER | 0.229 | −0.153 | −0.177* | 0.498* | −40.99 | 0.0449 |
| (0.294) | (0.182) | (0.0930) | (0.263) | (41.06) | (0.187) | |
| L3D.NEWFLENDER | −0.149 | −0.210 | −0.0435 | 0.139 | 10.18 | −0.133 |
| (0.291) | (0.181) | (0.0921) | (0.260) | (40.64) | (0.185) | |
| LD.NEWFBOR | −0.0221*** | 0.00303 | −0.000643 | −0.000122 | 0.503 | 0.00393 |
| (0.00620) | (0.00385) | (0.00196) | (0.00554) | (0.866) | (0.00394) | |
| L2D.NEWFBOR | −0.0172*** | 0.00473 | −0.00268 | 0.00520 | −0.537 | 0.00461 |
| (0.00537) | (0.00334) | (0.00170) | (0.00481) | (0.751) | (0.00342) | |
| L3D.NEWFBOR | −0.0118* | −8.60e−05 | −0.000452 | 0.00180 | 0.0117 | 0.00450 |
| (0.00626) | (0.00389) | (0.00198) | (0.00560) | (0.875) | (0.00398) | |
| LD.PRO | −0.977* | −0.0246 | 0.327* | −0.824* | 38.94 | −0.235 |
| (0.535) | (0.333) | (0.170) | (0.479) | (74.86) | (0.340) | |
| L2D.PRO | −0.679* | 0.133 | 0.0308 | 0.286 | 24.13 | 0.382 |
| (0.386) | (0.240) | (0.122) | (0.345) | (53.95) | (0.245) | |
| L3D.PRO | 0.125 | 0.250 | 0.164 | 0.447 | −38.29 | 0.0913 |
| (0.438) | (0.272) | (0.139) | (0.392) | (61.29) | (0.279) | |
| Constant | 0.00455 | 0.0305 | 0.0285** | 0.0140 | 0.000288 | 0.000814 |
| (0.0396) | (0.0246) | (0.0125) | (0.0354) | (5.531) | (0.0251) | |
| Observations | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 |
| Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D_LNZSCORE | D_ROE | D_LNPP | D_NEWFLENDER | D_NEWFBOR | D_PRO | |
| L._ce1 | −1.854*** | 0.188 | −0.627*** | 0.723 | 35.35 | 0.318 |
| (0.606) | (0.377) | (0.192) | (0.542) | (84.80) | (0.385) | |
| L._ce2 | −0.742*** | 0.249 | 0.133 | −0.155 | −21.27 | 0.344** |
| (0.262) | (0.163) | (0.0830) | (0.234) | (36.62) | (0.166) | |
| L._ce3 | −2.276 | 0.0239 | −2.136*** | 3.080** | 93.57 | 0.649 |
| (1.472) | (0.914) | (0.466) | (1.316) | (205.8) | (0.935) | |
| LD.LNZSCORE | 0.791* | 0.111 | 0.454*** | −0.932** | −32.42 | −0.141 |
| (0.434) | (0.270) | (0.138) | (0.388) | (60.69) | (0.276) | |
| L2D.LNZSCORE | 0.401 | −0.0501 | 0.143 | −0.785*** | 2.425 | 0.245 |
| (0.328) | (0.204) | (0.104) | (0.293) | (45.81) | (0.208) | |
| L3D.LNZSCORE | −0.0293 | −0.134 | 0.320*** | 0.299 | −90.70* | −0.129 |
| (0.347) | (0.215) | (0.110) | (0.310) | (48.47) | (0.220) | |
| LD.ROE | 1.652** | −0.159 | −0.272 | −0.166 | −24.57 | −1.277*** |
| (0.679) | (0.422) | (0.215) | (0.607) | (94.94) | (0.432) | |
| L2D.ROE | −0.653 | −1.064 | −1.107*** | −0.415 | 157.0 | −0.0989 |
| (1.069) | (0.664) | (0.339) | (0.956) | (149.4) | (0.679) | |
| L3D.ROE | −0.415 | 0.289 | −0.965*** | 1.568* | 196.2 | 0.243 |
| (1.037) | (0.645) | (0.329) | (0.928) | (145.1) | (0.659) | |
| LD.LNPP | −0.0856 | −0.514 | 0.950*** | −2.306*** | 108.8 | −1.058* |
| (0.967) | (0.601) | (0.306) | (0.865) | (135.2) | (0.615) | |
| L2D.LNPP | −0.425 | 0.0644 | 0.316 | −1.165* | 59.46 | −0.538 |
| (0.720) | (0.447) | (0.228) | (0.644) | (100.6) | (0.457) | |
| L3D.LNPP | −0.509 | 0.00385 | 0.371** | −0.763 | 68.60 | −0.158 |
| (0.588) | (0.366) | (0.186) | (0.526) | (82.27) | (0.374) | |
| LD.NEWFLENDER | −0.336 | −0.0887 | −0.241** | 0.0469 | 23.61 | 0.255 |
| (0.359) | (0.223) | (0.114) | (0.321) | (50.21) | (0.228) | |
| L2D.NEWFLENDER | 0.229 | −0.153 | −0.177* | 0.498* | −40.99 | 0.0449 |
| (0.294) | (0.182) | (0.0930) | (0.263) | (41.06) | (0.187) | |
| L3D.NEWFLENDER | −0.149 | −0.210 | −0.0435 | 0.139 | 10.18 | −0.133 |
| (0.291) | (0.181) | (0.0921) | (0.260) | (40.64) | (0.185) | |
| LD.NEWFBOR | −0.0221*** | 0.00303 | −0.000643 | −0.000122 | 0.503 | 0.00393 |
| (0.00620) | (0.00385) | (0.00196) | (0.00554) | (0.866) | (0.00394) | |
| L2D.NEWFBOR | −0.0172*** | 0.00473 | −0.00268 | 0.00520 | −0.537 | 0.00461 |
| (0.00537) | (0.00334) | (0.00170) | (0.00481) | (0.751) | (0.00342) | |
| L3D.NEWFBOR | −0.0118* | −8.60e−05 | −0.000452 | 0.00180 | 0.0117 | 0.00450 |
| (0.00626) | (0.00389) | (0.00198) | (0.00560) | (0.875) | (0.00398) | |
| LD.PRO | −0.977* | −0.0246 | 0.327* | −0.824* | 38.94 | −0.235 |
| (0.535) | (0.333) | (0.170) | (0.479) | (74.86) | (0.340) | |
| L2D.PRO | −0.679* | 0.133 | 0.0308 | 0.286 | 24.13 | 0.382 |
| (0.386) | (0.240) | (0.122) | (0.345) | (53.95) | (0.245) | |
| L3D.PRO | 0.125 | 0.250 | 0.164 | 0.447 | −38.29 | 0.0913 |
| (0.438) | (0.272) | (0.139) | (0.392) | (61.29) | (0.279) | |
| Constant | 0.00455 | 0.0305 | 0.0285** | 0.0140 | 0.000288 | 0.000814 |
| (0.0396) | (0.0246) | (0.0125) | (0.0354) | (5.531) | (0.0251) | |
| Observations | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 |
Note(s): Standard errors in parentheses ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05 and *p < 0.1. The dependent variable is the natural logarithm of zscore (LNZSCORE), while the dependent variables are ROE, LNPP, NEWFLENDER, NEWFBOR and PRO. The VECM model above uses 4 lags and 3 ranks (Johansen Cointegration Test)
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