Results for sectoral corporate profits and climate risk nexus without the role of green innovation
| Sector | Physical climate risks | Transition climate risks | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lag | PDL01 | PDL02 | Lag | PDL01 | PDL02 | |||||
| Communication service | 0.7503*** (0.0808) | −0.1750** (0.0850) | 2 | −0.4446* (0.2350) | 0.2695* (0.0157) | 0.7341*** (0.0792) | 0.2234*** (0.0837) | 2 | 0.6079*** (0.2165) | −0.3844*** (0.1381) |
| Consumer discretionary | 0.6738*** (0.0844) | 0.0546*** (0.0204) | 2 | 0.1534** (0.0625) | −0.0988** (0.0434) | 0.5980*** (0.0826) | 0.0549*** (0.0185) | 2 | 0.1806*** (0.0550) | −0.1258*** (0.0384) |
| Consumer staple | 0.7593*** (0.0676) | 0.0380*** (0.0123) | 3 | 0.0624** (0.0245) | −0.0244* (0.0126) | 0.7574*** (0.0704) | 0.0407*** (0.0146 | 2 | 0.1166*** (0.0435) | −0.0759** (0.0305) |
| Energy | 0.1977* (0.1100) | −0.4438* (0.2345) | 2 | −1.3809** (0.6928) | 0.9370** (0.4743) | 0.2045* (0.1057) | 0.4929*** (0.1679) | 2 | 1.3507*** (0.4753) | −0.8577*** (0.3191) |
| Financial | −0.0989 (0.1092) | 0.4839*** (0.1649) | 4 | 0.6892*** (0.2492) | −0.2053*** (0.0907) | −0.0662 (0.1122) | 0.4586*** (0.1593) | 3 | 0.8851*** (0.3185) | −0.4265** (0.1647) |
| Health care | 0.7675*** (0.0662) | −0.0298** (0.0152) | 2 | −0.1073*** (0.0398) | 0.0775*** (0.0268) | 0.7764*** (0.0656) | −0.0237** (0.0102) | 4 | −0.0398** (0.0159) | 0.0160*** (0.0058) |
| Industrial | 0.5502*** (0.0909) | −0.0224* (0.0121) | 4 | −0.0363** (0.0182) | 0.0139** (0.0066) | 0.5587*** (0.0904) | −0.0285* (0.0166) | 2 | −0.0901** (0.0441) | 0.0615** (0.0283) |
| Information technology | 0.8450*** (0.0748) | −0.0472 (0.0298) | 2 | −0.1575** (0.0778) | 0.1103** (0.0523) | 0.8182*** (0.0709) | −0.0330** (0.0156) | 4 | −0.0622** (0.0245) | 0.0291*** (0.0093) |
| Material | 0.6747** (0.0938) | 0.0284** (0.0109) | 4 | 0.0483*** (0.0174) | −0.0198*** (0.0068) | 0.6219*** (0.0881) | −0.0254** (0.0103) | 4 | −0.0432*** (0.0160) | 0.0177*** (0.0059) |
| Real estate | 0.8850*** (0.0552) | 0.0088* (0.0048) | 2 | 0.0234* (0.0126) | −0.0146* (0.0081) | 0.8902*** (0.0499) | −0.0039 (0.0030) | 3 | −0.0104* (0.0059) | 0.0064** (0.0030) |
| Utility | 0.5321*** (0.0937) | −0.0208 (0.0159) | 2 | −0.0844** (0.0419) | 0.0636** (0.0269) | 0.5584*** (0.0884) | 0.0243* (0.0132) | 4 | 0.0394* (0.0211) | −0.0150* (0.0080) |
| Sector | Physical climate risks | Transition climate risks | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lag | PDL01 | PDL02 | Lag | PDL01 | PDL02 | |||||
| Communication service | 0.7503*** (0.0808) | −0.1750** (0.0850) | 2 | −0.4446* (0.2350) | 0.2695* (0.0157) | 0.7341*** (0.0792) | 0.2234*** (0.0837) | 2 | 0.6079*** (0.2165) | −0.3844*** (0.1381) |
| Consumer discretionary | 0.6738*** (0.0844) | 0.0546*** (0.0204) | 2 | 0.1534** (0.0625) | −0.0988** (0.0434) | 0.5980*** (0.0826) | 0.0549*** (0.0185) | 2 | 0.1806*** (0.0550) | −0.1258*** (0.0384) |
| Consumer staple | 0.7593*** (0.0676) | 0.0380*** (0.0123) | 3 | 0.0624** (0.0245) | −0.0244* (0.0126) | 0.7574*** (0.0704) | 0.0407*** (0.0146 | 2 | 0.1166*** (0.0435) | −0.0759** (0.0305) |
| Energy | 0.1977* (0.1100) | −0.4438* (0.2345) | 2 | −1.3809** (0.6928) | 0.9370** (0.4743) | 0.2045* (0.1057) | 0.4929*** (0.1679) | 2 | 1.3507*** (0.4753) | −0.8577*** (0.3191) |
| Financial | −0.0989 (0.1092) | 0.4839*** (0.1649) | 4 | 0.6892*** (0.2492) | −0.2053*** (0.0907) | −0.0662 (0.1122) | 0.4586*** (0.1593) | 3 | 0.8851*** (0.3185) | −0.4265** (0.1647) |
| Health care | 0.7675*** (0.0662) | −0.0298** (0.0152) | 2 | −0.1073*** (0.0398) | 0.0775*** (0.0268) | 0.7764*** (0.0656) | −0.0237** (0.0102) | 4 | −0.0398** (0.0159) | 0.0160*** (0.0058) |
| Industrial | 0.5502*** (0.0909) | −0.0224* (0.0121) | 4 | −0.0363** (0.0182) | 0.0139** (0.0066) | 0.5587*** (0.0904) | −0.0285* (0.0166) | 2 | −0.0901** (0.0441) | 0.0615** (0.0283) |
| Information technology | 0.8450*** (0.0748) | −0.0472 (0.0298) | 2 | −0.1575** (0.0778) | 0.1103** (0.0523) | 0.8182*** (0.0709) | −0.0330** (0.0156) | 4 | −0.0622** (0.0245) | 0.0291*** (0.0093) |
| Material | 0.6747** (0.0938) | 0.0284** (0.0109) | 4 | 0.0483*** (0.0174) | −0.0198*** (0.0068) | 0.6219*** (0.0881) | −0.0254** (0.0103) | 4 | −0.0432*** (0.0160) | 0.0177*** (0.0059) |
| Real estate | 0.8850*** (0.0552) | 0.0088* (0.0048) | 2 | 0.0234* (0.0126) | −0.0146* (0.0081) | 0.8902*** (0.0499) | −0.0039 (0.0030) | 3 | −0.0104* (0.0059) | 0.0064** (0.0030) |
| Utility | 0.5321*** (0.0937) | −0.0208 (0.0159) | 2 | −0.0844** (0.0419) | 0.0636** (0.0269) | 0.5584*** (0.0884) | 0.0243* (0.0132) | 4 | 0.0394* (0.0211) | −0.0150* (0.0080) |
Note(s): This table reports the ADL-MIDAS estimation results for the effect of climate risk on corporate profits without including control variables (e.g., technological innovations). For parsimony, the ADL-MIDAS model is estimated with a polynomial degree (PLD/Almon) of 2, or 3 when the lag length of 2 is found to be inefficient. The effect of each explanatory variable is obtained by summing the coefficients of the two polynomial degrees (PLD01 and PLD02), as determined using a Wald test. The lag length used corresponds to the optimal lag for the independent variable. Values in parentheses are standard errors. ***, **, and * denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively
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