Clark and west (C-W) test results for in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts: ADL-MIDAS without green innovation versus AR benchmark
| ADL-MIDAS (PCR) vs AR | ADL-MIDAS (TCR) vs AR | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In-sample | Out-of-sample | In-sample | Out-of-sample | |||||
| h = 4 | h = 8 | h = 12 | h = 4 | h = 8 | h = 12 | |||
| Communication service | 3.0164*** | 2.1952*** | 0.8963 | 0.8960 | 0.5772 | 1.1790 | 1.2969* | 1.2969* |
| Consumer discretionary | 5.1115*** | 4.7343*** | 4.9786*** | 4.9788*** | 4.8856*** | 4.9463*** | 5.0533*** | 5.0535*** |
| Consumer staple | 2.5733*** | 2.6224*** | 2.8472*** | 2.8470*** | 3.7651*** | 3.8112*** | 4.0871*** | 4.0870*** |
| Energy | 1.4398* | 1.4679* | 2.0515*** | 2.0510*** | 2.3858*** | 2.3127*** | 2.4776*** | 2.4779*** |
| Financial | 2.5275*** | 2.5854*** | 2.6853*** | 2.6851*** | 2.2205*** | 2.2916*** | 2.3367*** | 2.3360*** |
| Health care | 4.0604*** | 4.2328*** | 4.2486*** | 4.2485*** | 3.6853*** | 2.1996*** | 2.1136*** | 2.1140*** |
| Industrial | 4.1417*** | 3.4894*** | 3.5091*** | 3.5090*** | 4.0298*** | 3.4823*** | 3.9224*** | 3.9222*** |
| Information technology | 8.1263*** | 7.8829*** | 7.7260*** | 7.7270*** | 5.3707*** | 5.0284*** | 4.4867*** | 4.4865*** |
| Material | 3.5664*** | 3.5731*** | 3.6343*** | 3.6342*** | 5.0079*** | 4.9753*** | 5.0397*** | 5.0335*** |
| Real estate | 10.6043*** | 11.0586*** | 11.2924*** | 11.2921*** | 10.5536*** | 11.0143*** | 11.3121*** | 11.3123*** |
| Utility | 0.9924 | 0.9612 | 0.9791 | 0.8761 | 0.8935 | 0.8270 | 0.9360 | 0.8893 |
| ADL-MIDAS (PCR) vs AR | ADL-MIDAS (TCR) vs AR | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In-sample | Out-of-sample | In-sample | Out-of-sample | |||||
| h = 4 | h = 8 | h = 12 | h = 4 | h = 8 | h = 12 | |||
| Communication service | 3.0164*** | 2.1952*** | 0.8963 | 0.8960 | 0.5772 | 1.1790 | 1.2969* | 1.2969* |
| Consumer discretionary | 5.1115*** | 4.7343*** | 4.9786*** | 4.9788*** | 4.8856*** | 4.9463*** | 5.0533*** | 5.0535*** |
| Consumer staple | 2.5733*** | 2.6224*** | 2.8472*** | 2.8470*** | 3.7651*** | 3.8112*** | 4.0871*** | 4.0870*** |
| Energy | 1.4398* | 1.4679* | 2.0515*** | 2.0510*** | 2.3858*** | 2.3127*** | 2.4776*** | 2.4779*** |
| Financial | 2.5275*** | 2.5854*** | 2.6853*** | 2.6851*** | 2.2205*** | 2.2916*** | 2.3367*** | 2.3360*** |
| Health care | 4.0604*** | 4.2328*** | 4.2486*** | 4.2485*** | 3.6853*** | 2.1996*** | 2.1136*** | 2.1140*** |
| Industrial | 4.1417*** | 3.4894*** | 3.5091*** | 3.5090*** | 4.0298*** | 3.4823*** | 3.9224*** | 3.9222*** |
| Information technology | 8.1263*** | 7.8829*** | 7.7260*** | 7.7270*** | 5.3707*** | 5.0284*** | 4.4867*** | 4.4865*** |
| Material | 3.5664*** | 3.5731*** | 3.6343*** | 3.6342*** | 5.0079*** | 4.9753*** | 5.0397*** | 5.0335*** |
| Real estate | 10.6043*** | 11.0586*** | 11.2924*** | 11.2921*** | 10.5536*** | 11.0143*** | 11.3121*** | 11.3123*** |
| Utility | 0.9924 | 0.9612 | 0.9791 | 0.8761 | 0.8935 | 0.8270 | 0.9360 | 0.8893 |
Note(s): The C-W test t-statistic is based on the critical values of 1.28, 1.64, and 2.00 for 10%, 5 and 1% levels of significance, respectively
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