Table 10

P&L’s of volatility arbitrage strategy

MaturityModelMPLE[e1/v0] (%)AG (%)
A. China 50 ETF options
10–90 daysSVI−0.0019−12.9843446.88
Spline0.00081.9443957.86
>90 daysSVI0.00060.3313953.24
Spline0.00070.4316451.83
AllSVI−0.0013−9.7657348.43
Spline0.00081.5360356.22
B. CSI 300 index options
10–90 daysSVI−0.1463−0.3158452.23
Spline0.91921.0963250.63
>90 daysSVI−0.6928−0.1526949.44
Spline0.54530.2871449.30
AllSVI−0.3186−0.2685351.35
Spline0.72090.661,34649.93
C. Soybean meal futures options
10–90 daysSVI2.01655.0530763.19
Spline2.53063.9731662.66
91–180 daysSVI5.11639.9927665.94
Spline0.79031.7028259.22
>180 daysSVI5.06665.7116160.25
Spline3.71083.4216666.27
AllSVI3.82657.0374463.58
Spline2.14473.0276462.17
D. Copper futures options
10–90 daysSVI19.87121.9930653.59
Spline25.54363.0537159.84
>90 daysSVI144.364016.2320465.69
Spline31.34534.4222251.80
AllSVI69.66837.6951058.43
Spline27.71563.5659356.83

Note(s): SVI: the SSVI model in Gatheral and Jacquier (2014). Spline: 5th-order spline interpolation with one knot at moneyness one. Vol-arb strategy: long/short the option with the market implied volatility most deviated from that of the SVI or spline model among the six options closest to at-the-money. Maturity: in calendar days. MPL: means of arbitrage P&L. E[e1/v0]: average of e1/v0, where e1 is the day-1 arbitrage P&L and v0 is the day-0 option price. A: number of arbitrage days. G (%): percentage of arbitrage days with gains

Source(s): Authors’ own work

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