Model prediction results
| Year | Actual value | MLR | GM(1,4) | DGM(1,4) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 360,648 | 359,310 | 360,648 | 360,648 |
| 2011 | 387,043 | 389,557 | 334,937 | 387,347 |
| 2012 | 402,138 | 402,319 | 443,049 | 401,598 |
| 2013 | 416,913 | 416,683 | 430,654 | 416,883 |
| 2014 | 428,334 | 427,132 | 430,908 | 428,588 |
| 2015 | 434,113 | 432,066 | 432,731 | 434,282 |
| 2016 | 441,492 | 441,256 | 440,690 | 441,455 |
| 2017 | 455,827 | 457,810 | 457,092 | 455,454 |
| 2018 | 471,925 | 474,651 | 474,177 | 472,207 |
| 2019 | 487,488 | 488,577 | 488,349 | 487,847 |
| 2020 | 498,314 | 495,034 | 495,001 | 497,766 |
| 2021 | 524,000 | 523,841 | 525,624 | 524,105 |
| MAPE | – | 0.32% | 0.77% | 0.06% |
| Year | Actual value | MLR | GM(1,4) | DGM(1,4) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 360,648 | 359,310 | 360,648 | 360,648 |
| 2011 | 387,043 | 389,557 | 334,937 | 387,347 |
| 2012 | 402,138 | 402,319 | 443,049 | 401,598 |
| 2013 | 416,913 | 416,683 | 430,654 | 416,883 |
| 2014 | 428,334 | 427,132 | 430,908 | 428,588 |
| 2015 | 434,113 | 432,066 | 432,731 | 434,282 |
| 2016 | 441,492 | 441,256 | 440,690 | 441,455 |
| 2017 | 455,827 | 457,810 | 457,092 | 455,454 |
| 2018 | 471,925 | 474,651 | 474,177 | 472,207 |
| 2019 | 487,488 | 488,577 | 488,349 | 487,847 |
| 2020 | 498,314 | 495,034 | 495,001 | 497,766 |
| 2021 | 524,000 | 523,841 | 525,624 | 524,105 |
| MAPE | – | 0.32% | 0.77% |
Sharing content requires targeting cookies to be enabled. Please update your cookie preferences to use this feature.