Lifecycle stages of framing uncertainty and key actors
| Stage | Description | Supply-side drivers | Demand-side drivers | Examples |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emergence | New frames appear when existing interpretations no longer fit | Futurists, theorists, consultants, innovative scholars | Leaders sensing gaps in prevailing frames | VUCA, BANI, PUMO |
| Diffusion | Frames spread through institutions and platforms | Consulting firms, trainers, educators, influencers | Managers, HR teams, journalists, online communities | VUCA in leadership programmes; BANI on LinkedIn |
| Stabilisation | Frames become standard vocabulary | Business schools, coaching firms, certification programmes | Organisations embedding frames in routines and narratives | VUCA as default uncertainty frame |
| Saturation | Overexposure reduces clarity and usefulness | Content recycling by consultants | Routine shorthand use; media repetition | VUCA in the 2010s corporate slides |
| Replacement | New frames emerge as limits become visible | Thought leaders proposing alternatives | Managers seeking fresher narratives | BANI displacing VUCA; PUMO rising alongside BANI |
| Stage | Description | Supply-side drivers | Demand-side drivers | Examples |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emergence | New frames appear when existing interpretations no longer fit | Futurists, theorists, consultants, innovative scholars | Leaders sensing gaps in prevailing frames | VUCA, BANI, |
| Diffusion | Frames spread through institutions and platforms | Consulting firms, trainers, educators, influencers | Managers, | |
| Stabilisation | Frames become standard vocabulary | Business schools, coaching firms, certification programmes | Organisations embedding frames in routines and narratives | |
| Saturation | Overexposure reduces clarity and usefulness | Content recycling by consultants | Routine shorthand use; media repetition | |
| Replacement | New frames emerge as limits become visible | Thought leaders proposing alternatives | Managers seeking fresher narratives |
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