Table 9 Probabilistic calibration... | Emerald Publishing

Table 9

Probabilistic calibration assessment – ensemble model

Probability bin	Mean predicted probability	Observed failure rate	Bin size (n)	Absolute error
0.0 – 0.1	0.05	0.04	214	0.01
0.1 – 0.2	0.15	0.14	226	0.01
0.2 – 0.3	0.25	0.27	198	0.02
0.3 – 0.4	0.35	0.36	205	0.01
0.4 – 0.5	0.45	0.47	221	0.02
0.5 – 0.6	0.55	0.53	247	0.02
0.6 – 0.7	0.65	0.66	203	0.01
0.7 – 0.8	0.75	0.77	214	0.02
0.8 – 0.9	0.85	0.86	221	0.01
0.9 – 1.0	0.95	0.94	210	0.01

Probability bin	Mean predicted probability	Observed failure rate	Bin size (n)	Absolute error
0.0 – 0.1	0.05	0.04	214	0.01
0.1 – 0.2	0.15	0.14	226	0.01
0.2 – 0.3	0.25	0.27	198	0.02
0.3 – 0.4	0.35	0.36	205	0.01
0.4 – 0.5	0.45	0.47	221	0.02
0.5 – 0.6	0.55	0.53	247	0.02
0.6 – 0.7	0.65	0.66	203	0.01
0.7 – 0.8	0.75	0.77	214	0.02
0.8 – 0.9	0.85	0.86	221	0.01
0.9 – 1.0	0.95	0.94	210	0.01

Source(s): Authors’ own work