Table 2

Comparative analysis of the proposed ITG Framework against Punctuated Equilibrium Theory and the Adaptive Governance Framework

Dimension/CharacteristicITG framework (proposed)Punctuated equilibrium theory (PET)Adaptive governance framework
Main focusDiagnostic: Explains why systems enter a state of inertia and become vulnerableDescriptive: Describes the pattern of change (stasis and abrupt shifts)Normative: Prescribes how governance should operate to be resilient
Focus of changeEndogenous: Interaction between systemic, institutional and cognitive levelsPrimarily Exogenous: External shocks and changes in the “policy image.”Dynamic: Continuous learning, adaptation and reorganization in response to changes
Role of administrationOften pathological, trapped in inertia and cognitive capturePrimarily reactive, maintains equilibrium until pressured by external forcesProactive and adaptive, actively manages resilience
Primary strengthHigh diagnostic power, explains the mechanisms of adaptive failureStrong descriptive power for the macro-historical dynamics of policy changeProvides a clear, practical guide for improving governance
LimitationLess normative, does not offer immediate “solutions.”Less explanatory regarding the mechanisms that maintain stasisLess diagnostic regarding the reasons hindering its practical adoption

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