Education premium analysis – pairwise comparisons of FLFP rates by educational transitions, Sri Lanka (2017–2024)
| Education transition | Mean FLFP Difference (pp) | Standard Error | t-statistic | p-value | 95% confidence interval | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below Grade 5 → Grade 6–10 | +4.0 | 0.55 | 7.30 | <0.001*** | [+2.7, + 5.3] | Positive premium |
| Grade 6–10 → Ordinary level | −2.4 | 0.24 | −9.80 | <0.001*** | [−3.0, −1.8] | Minor decline |
| Ordinary level → Advanced level | +18.1 | 1.20 | 15.15 | <0.001*** | [+15.3, + 21.0] | Large premium |
| Advanced level → Degree and above | +36.3 | 1.17 | 31.08 | <0.001*** | [+33.6, + 39.1] | Very large premium |
| Education transition | Mean | Standard Error | 95% confidence interval | Interpretation | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below Grade 5 → Grade 6–10 | +4.0 | 0.55 | 7.30 | <0.001 | [+2.7, + 5.3] | Positive premium |
| Grade 6–10 → Ordinary level | −2.4 | 0.24 | −9.80 | <0.001 | [−3.0, −1.8] | Minor decline |
| Ordinary level → Advanced level | +18.1 | 1.20 | 15.15 | <0.001 | [+15.3, + 21.0] | Large premium |
| Advanced level → Degree and above | +36.3 | 1.17 | 31.08 | <0.001 | [+33.6, + 39.1] | Very large premium |
Adjacent-category differences are calculated from annual female labour force participation (FLFP) rates for 2017–2024 and are expressed in percentage points (pp). FLFP rates are population-weighted estimates from the Sri Lanka Labour Force Survey. Differences are computed as the higher education level minus the lower education level. 95% confidence intervals and t-statistics are based on year-to-year variation (df = 7). Conventional t-statistic–based p-values are reported in the table; statistical inference is additionally reassessed using wild cluster bootstrap procedures at the education-category level (Five clusters; B = 999) due to the small number of clusters. †p < 0.10; *p < 0.05; **p < 0.01; ***p < 0.001
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