Impact of large deposits on the net interest margin and Z-Score of banks in India, 2013–2022
| Variables | Description | (1) | (2) | (3) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIM | Z-Score | Z-Score | ||
| T20DEP | Top 20 depositors share | 0.019* | −0.049*** | −0.050*** |
| (0.010) | (0.018) | (0.018) | ||
| CDR | Credit-to-deposit ratio | −0.002* | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| (0.001) | (0.012) | (0.013) | ||
| CASAR | Current account and savings account ratio | 0.037*** | −0.023* | −0.026* |
| (0.010) | (0.014) | (0.014) | ||
| NNPAR | Net nonperforming assets ratio | −0.087*** | −0.174*** | −0.169*** |
| (0.015) | (0.035) | (0.034) | ||
| SLSS | Lending to sensitive sector-to-total assets ratio | 0.442 | 4.579 | 4.685 |
| (1.208) | (2.976) | (2.974) | ||
| SPRIO | Lending to priority sector-to total assets ratio | 4.969*** | −0.231 | −0.589 |
| (1.237) | (1.483) | (2.154) | ||
| SUSL | Unsecured lending-to-total assets ratio | 2.273 | −0.304 | −0.572 |
| (1.630) | (1.737) | (1.978) | ||
| NLTA | Natural log of total assets | −0.138* | −0.959*** | −0.945*** |
| (0.073) | (0.112) | (0.120) | ||
| GDPR | Gross domestic product growth rate | −0.007** | 0.018 | 0.018 |
| (0.003) | (0.018) | (0.018) | ||
| REP | Repo rate | 0.071** | 0.200** | 0.197** |
| (0.035) | (0.098) | (0.099) | ||
| CTA | Cash-to-total assets ratio | 2.385* | 2.454 | 2.271 |
| (1.323) | (1.831) | (2.089) | ||
| NIM | Net interest margin | – | – | 0.070 |
| (0.238) | ||||
| Constant | Constant | 1.487 | 10.325*** | 10.272*** |
| (1.194) | (1.818) | (1.829) | ||
| Number of bank id | 49 | 49 | 49 | |
| Entity effects | YES | YES | YES | |
| Prob > F | 0.00*** | 0.00*** | 0.00*** | |
| Overall R2 | 0.667 | 0.561 | 0.562 |
| Variables | Description | (1) | (2) | (3) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIM | Z-Score | Z-Score | ||
| T20DEP | Top 20 depositors share | 0.019* | −0.049*** | −0.050*** |
| (0.010) | (0.018) | (0.018) | ||
| CDR | Credit-to-deposit ratio | −0.002* | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| (0.001) | (0.012) | (0.013) | ||
| CASAR | Current account and savings account ratio | 0.037*** | −0.023* | −0.026* |
| (0.010) | (0.014) | (0.014) | ||
| NNPAR | Net nonperforming assets ratio | −0.087*** | −0.174*** | −0.169*** |
| (0.015) | (0.035) | (0.034) | ||
| SLSS | Lending to sensitive sector-to-total assets ratio | 0.442 | 4.579 | 4.685 |
| (1.208) | (2.976) | (2.974) | ||
| SPRIO | Lending to priority sector-to total assets ratio | 4.969*** | −0.231 | −0.589 |
| (1.237) | (1.483) | (2.154) | ||
| SUSL | Unsecured lending-to-total assets ratio | 2.273 | −0.304 | −0.572 |
| (1.630) | (1.737) | (1.978) | ||
| NLTA | Natural log of total assets | −0.138* | −0.959*** | −0.945*** |
| (0.073) | (0.112) | (0.120) | ||
| GDPR | Gross domestic product growth rate | −0.007** | 0.018 | 0.018 |
| (0.003) | (0.018) | (0.018) | ||
| REP | Repo rate | 0.071** | 0.200** | 0.197** |
| (0.035) | (0.098) | (0.099) | ||
| CTA | Cash-to-total assets ratio | 2.385* | 2.454 | 2.271 |
| (1.323) | (1.831) | (2.089) | ||
| NIM | Net interest margin | – | – | 0.070 |
| (0.238) | ||||
| Constant | Constant | 1.487 | 10.325*** | 10.272*** |
| (1.194) | (1.818) | (1.829) | ||
| Number of bank id | 49 | 49 | 49 | |
| Entity effects | YES | YES | YES | |
| Prob > F | 0.00*** | 0.00*** | 0.00*** | |
| Overall | 0.667 | 0.561 | 0.562 |
Note(s): Robust standard errors are in parentheses
***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1
Figures in brackets are standard errors. ***, ** and * indicates statistical significance at 1%, 5% and 10%, respectively. The Hausman test was conducted for the NIM and Z-Score. The p-value for NIM was 0.0000, signifying fixed effects. The p-value for Z-Score was 12.98, signifying random effects. The key coefficients are qualitatively and directionally consistent under both the models. We have retained random effects in line with our econometric approach
The table shows the panel regression using random effects model results using equations (1) and (2). Equation (1) examines the regression model with the net interest margin (NIM) being the dependent variable. Equation (2) examines the regression model with natural logarithm of Z-Score as the dependent variable. The independent variables are large deposits (T20DEP), credit-to-deposit ratio (CDR), CASAR, net nonperforming assets ratio (NNPAR), lending to sensitive sectors (LSS), priority sector lending (SPRIO), unsecured loan (USL), natural log of total assets (NLTA), growth in gross domestic product (GDPR), benchmark repo rate (REP) and cash to total assets (CTA)
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