Table 2

VAR lag order selection criteria

Endogenous variables: GN – E − GDP – dummy
Exogenous variables: consumers
Included observations: 712
LagLogLLRFPEAICSCHQ
0−2873.684NA0.0380788.0833818.1090458.093294
1−1059.5303602.8270.0002443.0323883.160705*3.081951
2−1011.73194.39052*0.000223*2.943064*3.1740343.032277*

Note(s): * indicates lag order selected by the criterion

LR: Sequential modified LR test statistic (each test at 5% level)

FPE: Final prediction error

AIC: Akaike information criterion

SC: Schwarz information criterion

HQ: Hannan–Quinn information criterion

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