Estimation results for RD analysis
| Depended variable: winning dummy variable | Model 1: general competitive bidding | Model 2: designated bidding | Model 3: designated bidding | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coef. | Std. Err. | Robust P > z | Coef. | Std. Err. | Robust P > z | Coef. | Std. err. | Robust P > z | |
| Estimated discontinuity (robust) | −0.076 | 0.077 | 0.322 | −0.454 | 0.132 | 0.001 | −0.444 | 0.134 | 0.001 |
| Cutoff c = 0.95 | Left of c | Right of c | Left of c | Right of c | Left of c | Right of c | |||
| Number of obs. | 1,552 | 2,692 | 2,218 | 7,001 | 2,218 | 7,001 | |||
| Effective number of obs. | 557 | 973 | 1,139 | 1,486 | 1,451 | 2,781 | |||
| Order est. (p) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Order bias (q) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | |||
| BW est. (h) | 0.015 | 0.015 | 0.012 | 0.012 | 0.020 | 0.020 | |||
| BW bias (b) | 0.019 | 0.019 | 0.016 | 0.016 | 0.025 | 0.025 | |||
| Rho (h/b) | 0.810 | 0.810 | 0.759 | 0.759 | 0.821 | 0.821 | |||
| Number of clusters | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | |||
| Number of obs. | 4,244 | 9,219 | 9,219 | ||||||
| BW type | mserd | ||||||||
| Kernel | Triangular | ||||||||
| VCE method | Cluster (municipality dummy) | ||||||||
| Depended variable: winning dummy variable | Model 1: general competitive bidding | Model 2: designated bidding | Model 3: designated bidding | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coef. | Std. Err. | Robust P > z | Coef. | Std. Err. | Robust P > z | Coef. | Std. err. | Robust P > z | |
| Estimated discontinuity (robust) | −0.076 | 0.077 | 0.322 | −0.454 | 0.132 | 0.001 | −0.444 | 0.134 | 0.001 |
| Cutoff c = 0.95 | Left of c | Right of c | Left of c | Right of c | Left of c | Right of c | |||
| Number of obs. | 1,552 | 2,692 | 2,218 | 7,001 | 2,218 | 7,001 | |||
| Effective number of obs. | 557 | 973 | 1,139 | 1,486 | 1,451 | 2,781 | |||
| Order est. (p) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Order bias (q) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | |||
| 0.015 | 0.015 | 0.012 | 0.012 | 0.020 | 0.020 | ||||
| 0.019 | 0.019 | 0.016 | 0.016 | 0.025 | 0.025 | ||||
| Rho (h/b) | 0.810 | 0.810 | 0.759 | 0.759 | 0.821 | 0.821 | |||
| Number of clusters | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | |||
| Number of obs. | 4,244 | 9,219 | 9,219 | ||||||
| mserd | |||||||||
| Kernel | Triangular | ||||||||
| Cluster (municipality dummy) | |||||||||
The coefficients, standard errors and significance levels are robust estimates. One bidding process (with three bids) was excluded due to the lack of municipality dummies, reducing the number of observations. The polynomial order is set to one for estimation in Models 1 (general competitive bidding) and 2 (designated bidding). Model 3 extends the polynomial regression order to two for designated bidding to confirm the robustness of Model 2’s results
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